2022 US Senate Races

I thought it might be something like that. So perhaps a nail biter…

As I’ve said before, thank God that there is no such thing in Canada, as our electoral boundries are drawn by non-partisan groups with plenty of transparency and opportunity for public input in the process.

Fetterman back to 56% on Predictit (very, very fluid obviously, but an encouraging sign).

PredictIt Pennsylvania Senate

And we have the NY Times “needle” firing up with this latest round of poll closings.

The Needle: Senate and House Election Results Forecast 2022 - The New York Times (nytimes.com)

Gerrymandering doesn’t effect U.S. Senate races at all, since they’re statewide.

Noting that there’s a watch along thread now: US Midterm Election watch along thread

Not sure which thread would be better for ongoing breaking results.

That is true. It does however explain why it is so red.

Just checked my building’s vote totals, we had 2 machines. I was number 248, there was a line behind me as people got back from work. The numbers for Fetterman and Shapiro were triple digits, oz and mastriano double digits, and 3rd party got a handful of votes. The gov.s race got more votes than the sen.s. For some reason when things were totaled there were about 8ish people that didn’t vote for gov. or sen…

One thing tonight confirms is that elections are no longer a stay up all night for the final results type of thing. I’m going to call it an early night and hope that tomorrow brings good news.

Nevada is 100% VbM now. I don’t know what he meant by “Election Day turnout”.

There are huge lines in Nevada at malls to vote. Josh is hanging out at a mall in Henderson and the line was out the door.

All Nevadans received a mail ballot, but there was an opt-out option and even those who got the mail ballot may vote in person if they did not send it in.

How so? Please explain. Gerrymandering has nothing at all to do with whether people vote blue or red for Senate.

Clearly these people need a lesson in how to do Vote-by-Mail. Maybe they misread it as Vote-by-Mall…

Two key races have not flipped.

Dems keep NH and GOP keeps OH.

NC called for budd. Kelly is looking good.

Trump had this to say about the loss in NH.

Imgur

I just grabbed the screenshot off Truth Social.

I still don’t understand why the NC Senate race seemed to be treated by Democrats as at best a second-tier pickup opportunity. Tillis only won reelection last cycle by 1.5%, and that was after Cunningham got busted with his pants down. Trump only won NC by 1.3%. And yet Beasley never seemed to get the big money or media push that might have made her more competitive.

Should have sent Obama to North Carolina.

Looks like, as expected, it will all come down to Nevada. Which somehow hasn’t released any results yet.

And possibly a run-off in GA. Which will probably depend on how many ballots Gwinnett and Fulton have left. If there are enough, then neither will reach 50%.

I found Beasley’s campaigning very frustrating. She was good about articulating her positions, but she never made it clear that those positions were under attack by her opponent. She kept trying to position herself as an outsider who was frustrated with both parties, and she was just too mainstream to pull it off. She seemed to actively avoid mentioning that she was a Democrat.
I get that she was trying to appeal to independent moderates, but I think that even if she accomplished that, it was at the expense of motivating turnout within her own party.