Fixing the Bears Draft
After having a few days to digest and ingest commentary on the Bears’ draft, I’ve come to a conclusion. It sucked. My opinion on this seems to be a minority view.
Let’s see if I can fix this draft with the benefit of hindsight.
For starters, the pre-draft trade of the 1st overall pick is unquestionably a huge win for the team. No changes there. That said, I really wish we’d have found a way to exploit the Texans more. The Cardinals will probably have 2 picks in the top 4 next year. Who knows what would have happened if we’d have waited to trade that pick until closer to draft day…
The Pick: Round 1, Pick 10 - Darnell Wright, OT, Tennessee
No changes. I broke this down upthread, but this is the right pick for us and we couldn’t have moved back any further. This pick is a homerun.
None of the players taken later make me jealous, in fact 10 of the next 11 picks all have massive question marks. The only question is if we should have stood pat and drafted Carter. I think he’s going to flame out, and even if he doesn’t, he wouldn’t have helped Fields at all. Adding a pick in next year’s draft, which looks more talented, is a win. Though I do think the Eagles under paid.
The Pick: Round 2, Pick 53 - Gervon Dexter Sr., DT, Florida
The more I look at this the more I hate this pick. He’s an under achiever and can’t get off the ball. Not a great trait for a zero-technique NT.
The Right Pick: John Michael Schmitz, C, Minnesota
We really need help at Center. Pressure up the middle has killed Fields and this offense. Mustipher is terrible, Lucas Patrick can’t stay healthy and is a declining player, Whitehair is declining and was terrible at Center when he played there early in his career. So many bad snaps. Poles has said that he feels good about our situation here…he’s nuts.
I prefer Tippmann and I think Poles preferred Tippmann too. Poles loves size/traits guys and Tippmann fits that mold, were he still on the board I wonder what Poles would have done. Schmitz solves a huge issue for this team and is great in the run game. It’s not important, but he’s a hometown kid too.
I briefly considered packaging up some picks to move up in this round to target either Tippmann or an edge like Keion White, but ultimately, I think the cost would have been prohibitive.
The Pick: Round 2, Pick 56 - Tyrique Stevenson, CB, Miami
I’m going to give Poles the benefit of the doubt on this one. I hate that we gave away a 5th round pick to move up a few spots here. I definitely would have stood pat and let the draft come to me here. If Stevenson was gone, we have other needs and could have taken Jalin Hyatt or Cedric Tillman here.
I do like the player. Not the greatest need, but this kid has the chops to make a difference for our defense. Again, he’s a physical traits guy who’s a bit raw. Will need a lot of coaching and we may end up starting him out at nickel or safety, but he can go out there and man up against a big bodied WR. We really need some size and physicality in our secondary and this fills the need.
The Pick: Round 3, Pick 64 - Zacch Pickens, DT, South Carolina
I’m going to stay with this pick as well. Poles definitely over invested in DT during this draft, but it is a big position of need. There are a bunch of 3rd rounders coming off the board here that I’d have liked. I already mentioned Hyatt and Tillman, I think Devon Achane might have been interesting. But both the DT and DE spots get really scarce here, so the value holds.
I think Pickens is an interesting player. He’s a bit undersized and really needs to be used as a 3-tech, he has no real versatility as a NT or a DE. But he’s quick for a big guy, explosive and has pretty good hands. That said, he was another under achiever in college. Getting him into an NFL strength program and coaching could produce a big payoff. Another traits guy and a project, Poles definitely has a type.
The Pick: Round 4, Pick 115 - Roschon Johnson, RB, Texas
We traded back and recovered a 5th round pick which is great. Balanced out that 2nd round trade up.
People are blowing a lot of smoke up the Bears ass over this pick, but I don’t see it. This dude’s tape is bad. Everyone loves his intangibles, and I’m sure he’s an A+ human, but he’s a backup running back. I like that he’s got less wear and tear having been Bijan’s backup, but his measurables are just okay and his production is pretty pedestrian. His highlights are mostly against weak competition and second stringers in garbage time. He’s not elusive and he’s not “the bruiser” that some reports make him out to be.
The Right Pick: Tavious Robinson, Edge, Mississippi
I’ve been griping about our lack attention to DE all draft and this is the time to address it. Robinson is a Poles guy, great physical ability but needs a lot of polish. I really love the way he attacks the ball when he closes on a QB. Some time in an NFL weight room could unlock something great here. He’ll take a year or two to develop, which the Bears can afford, but in this weak pass rusher class you need to look for diamonds in the rough. You really see some flashes in this guy’s tape, and his story is pretty cool.
The Pick: Round 4, Pick 133 - Tyler Scott, WR, Cincinnati
Keeping this pick. I really wanted us to add a WR in this draft to help the passing game. We have a pretty solid group, but we need speed and we need guys that can work the middle of the field. Scott is a smallish guy but he’s not the twerp that a lot other guys already off the board are. He had a 2nd or 3rd round grade on most draft boards making this seem like a terrific value. Like most Poles picks so far he’s an elite athlete who needs coaching.
The Pick: Round 5, Pick 148 - Noah Sewell, LB, Oregon
In the 5th round you generally shouldn’t be drafting for need, but we just signed 2 ILBs and we found Jack Sanborn as an UDFA last year. Sewell feels wasteful. If he’s the next Bobby Wagner, then great, but most likely he never gets off of special teams. Best case scenario he makes TJ Edwards redundant.
The Right Pick: Chase Brown, RB, Illinois
This pick should have been a layup. RB wasn’t a huge need for us after some nice FA additions, but the Johnson pick above indicates that Poles is interested in keeping the pantry stocked there. Not a bad strategy. Brown was simply one of the best rusher in college football and his combine numbers were near the top of the class. He’s discount Bijan Robinson. He’s not really a slasher, but more of a one-cut downhill runner. He’d have been a terrific complement to Herbert.
The Pick: Round 5, Pick 165 - Terell Smith, CB, Minnesota
This guy looks like a good get. I am keeping this pick here in spite of us double dipping at CB. This kid’s tape is excellent, and he’s got the athleticism to suggest he should have been a day 2 pick. Kind of a late bloomer, but he caused problems for a number of WRs in this draft.
I briefly considered suggesting we take another blocker in either Asim Richards or Warren McClendon, but Smith looks like a better value. Though if Wright misses snaps we may regret not having another big man to turn to.
The Pick: Round 7, Pick 218 - Travis Bell, DT, Kennesaw State
The Pick: Round 7, Pick 258 - Kendall Williamson, S, Stanford
Seventh round picks here, so I’m not going to pretend to second guess Poles here. These guys are all dart throws. But I would argue that maybe we could have bundled these two picks together to get back into the 6th round. In my draft we already have a Center, but Poles could have maybe gone up to get Luke Wypler in round 6. Also, AT Perry and Elijah Higgins could have been intriguing pass catchers around the same range.
In the 7th, Andrew Vorhees and Alex Forsyth could have been interesting depth guys on the line. Both have medical red flags but have starter upside. Just about every team drafted a lottery ticket at QB, wish the Bears would have done the same. Though pickings were slim late on day 3.