I don’t concede that the Broncos won the Superbowl. Release the passing yards.
adaher is wrong about the Democratic results in Nevada. Clinton has been projected to be the winner by the networks, and appears poised to win by about 4-6 points.
Add Nevada Democratic caucus: 1 prediction made, that Sanders would win, and it is incorrect. Total through today: 3 out of 7 correct. Stay tuned for South Carolina Republican results.
That one’s gonna be wrong too. Well, I might get Rubio in 2nd, but that’s a long shot.
SC 2nd place for the GOP is still possible for Rubes. Since you definitely got the #1 spot wrong, you’re at 3 out of 8 correct right now. If Rubes gets second, you’ll be at 4 out of 9, and if Cruz gets it, then you’ll be at 3 out of 9.
With 99% reporting, it looks like Rubio did take 2nd.
Umm …
Well, at least my final 3 are in the final 4.
Please note that you have the same confidence in Clinton that you do in Trump.
IOW, better get used to saying “Madame President”.
Isn’t she behind in delegates right now?
No. And “Mr. Irrelevant” is leading, too.
Time to stop and take stock, isn’t it?
adaher’s Nevada Republican prediction is wrong, so the count on his predictions is now at 4 out of 10 correct. After South Carolina, I’m not sure if we have any more adaher predictions (other than the overall winners) – care to make any for Super Tuesday?
Sure:
Sanders wins CO, MA, VT, and MN.
On the Republican side:
GA: Trump
VA: Rubio
MA: Trump
TX: Cruz
MN: Rubio
OK: Trump
AL: Trump
TN: Trump
AR: Trump
AK: Trump
Cruz drops out.
Thanks! I’ll take the other Democratic states as predictions that Clinton will win, correct?
No, because I suspect Sanders might win one or two more, I just don’t know which ones they will be. But I am comfortable predicting that Clinton will win more delegates, which isn’t exactly a tough prediction.
And I REALLY hope I"m wrong about the Republican side on Super Tuesday, but it looks like Trump is set to roll until he faces just one guy. Rubio may very well be our only hope. Kasich’s polling is just not looking good enough to make him viable and Cruz’s path to the nomination looks to be closed off now. Cruz was expected to win the southern primaries but if anything that’s where Trump is now strongest.
So the best I can hope for is that Rubio picks up a couple of wins and makes it closer than expected in other states, so that he doesn’t get ridiculously behind while we’re waiting for Cruz and Kasich to make their exits.
Okay, looking forward to evaluating your new predictions. You picked Clinton to win South Carolina, so you’ll probably be at 5 out of 11 after this Saturday, unless Bernie has an absolutely shocking upset.
I did predict Bernie would do better than the polling. As for today, the RCP average has Clinton up by 24. I predict he does a little better than that.
As expected, Hillary wins SC, so adaher’s prediction record is now at 5 out of 11.
Is it too late to ask what the point of this thread is?
To track, evaluate, and discuss adaher’s 2016 election predictions.