See Posts #107 and #130 for the last two weeks’ versions of this data and try to predict movements in and out, and up and down, in the Top 25 this week:
Alabama (1) 2-1 5-1 Southeastern West
Ohio State (2) 2-0 6-0 Big Ten
Oregon (3) 3-0 6-0 Pacific-10
Boise State (4) 1-0 5-0 Western Athletic
TCU (5) 2-0 6-0 Mountain West
Oklahoma (6) 1-0 5-0 Big 12 South
Nebraska (7) 1-0 5-0 Big 12 North
Auburn (8) 3-0 6-0 Southeastern West
Arizona (9) 1-1 4-1 Pacific-10
Utah (10) 2-0 5-0 Mountain West
Arkansas (11) 1-1 4-1 Southeastern West
LSU (12) 4-0 6-0 Southeastern West
Miami (FL) (13) 1-1 3-2 Atlantic Coast Coastal
Florida (14) 2-2 4-2 Southeastern East
Iowa (15) 1-0 4-1 Big Ten
Stanford (16) 2-1 5-1 Pacific-10
Michigan State (17) 2-0 6-0 Big Ten
Michigan (18) 1-1 5-1 Big Ten
South Carolina (19) 2-1 4-1 Southeastern East
Wisconsin (20) 1-1 5-1 Big Ten
Nevada (21) 1-0 6-0 Western Athletic
Oklahoma State (22) 1-0 5-0 Big 12 South
Florida State (23) 3-0 5-1 Atlantic Coast Atlantic
Missouri (24) 1-0 5-0 Big 12 North
Air Force (25) 3-0 5-1 Mountain West
North Carolina State 2-1 5-1 Atlantic Coast Atlantic
UTEP 2-1 5-1 Conference USA West
Northwestern 1-1 5-1 Big Ten
Maryland 1-0 4-1 Atlantic Coast Atlantic
Syracuse 1-0 4-1 Big East
Kansas State 1-1 4-1 Big 12 North
West Virginia 0-0 4-1 Big East
Southern Methodist 3-0 4-2 Conference USA West
Georgia Tech 3-1 4-2 Atlantic Coast Coastal
Virginia Tech 2-0 4-2 Atlantic Coast Coastal
Northern Illinois 2-0 4-2 Mid-American West
Hawaii 2-0 4-2 Western Athletic
Baylor 1-1 4-2 Big 12 South
Southern Miss 1-1 4-2 Conference USA East
Temple 1-1 4-2 Mid-American East
USC 1-2 4-2 Pacific-10
Mississippi State 1-2 4-2 Southeastern West
Army 0-0 4-2 Independents (FBS)
If records were the only way polls were constructed, the Top 25 would come from these 30:
LSU (12) 4-0 6-0 Southeastern West
Oregon (3) 3-0 6-0 Pacific-10
Auburn (8) 3-0 6-0 Southeastern West
Ohio State (2) 2-0 6-0 Big Ten
Michigan State (17) 2-0 6-0 Big Ten
TCU (5) 2-0 6-0 Mountain West
Nevada (21) 1-0 6-0 Western Athletic
Utah (10) 2-0 5-0 Mountain West
Oklahoma State (22) 1-0 5-0 Big 12 South
Boise State (4) 1-0 5-0 Western Athletic
Oklahoma (6) 1-0 5-0 Big 12 South
Nebraska (7) 1-0 5-0 Big 12 North
Missouri (24) 1-0 5-0 Big 12 North
Florida State (23) 3-0 5-1 Atlantic Coast Atlantic
Air Force (25) 3-0 5-1 Mountain West
Stanford (16) 2-1 5-1 Pacific-10
Alabama (1) 2-1 5-1 Southeastern West
North Carolina State 2-1 5-1 Atlantic Coast Atlantic
UTEP 2-1 5-1 Conference USA West
Michigan (18) 1-1 5-1 Big Ten
Wisconsin (20) 1-1 5-1 Big Ten
Northwestern 1-1 5-1 Big Ten
South Carolina (19) 2-1 4-1 Southeastern East
Iowa (15) 1-0 4-1 Big Ten
Maryland 1-0 4-1 Atlantic Coast Atlantic
Syracuse 1-0 4-1 Big East
Arizona (9) 1-1 4-1 Pacific-10
Arkansas (11) 1-1 4-1 Southeastern West
Kansas State 1-1 4-1 Big 12 North
West Virginia 0-0 4-1 Big East
Michigan lost to MSU. Denard missed 3 wide open receivers and tossed 3 interceptions. Michigan could move the ball if they kept their hands on it. It was not as bad as the reporters are saying. MSU busted 3 big plays too.
It was a great game! I had some really crappy seats way up in the top of the upper deck amongst a bunch of Bama fans. They weren’t too rowdy until the score got close, but they got real quiet late in the second half and most of them left with about 5 min left.
Alabama’s loss helps Boise who is a very good team playing girls academies and high schools. If the top teams knock each other off, Boise will rise by default. It is ugly but so BCS.
I truly believe that the starting lineup of Boise State is good enough to beat almost any other team in America in a bowl game. It WASN’T a fluke that they beat Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl a few years back. Their starters were about as good as the Sooners’ starters.
BUT… the big difference between Oklahoma and Boise State is depth. Oklahoma (and most of the better schools) has that. Boise State doesn’t. If Oklahoma’s starting right tackle gets hurt, Bob Stoops can plug in a backup who’s almost as good. If Boise state loses a starter, the backup will be nowhere near as good as the starter, and a good opponent will take full advantage.
THAT is precisely why Boise State resorted to trick plays late in that game- they KNEW their starting lineup was worn out and that their scrubs were no match for Oklahoma’s scrubs. If the game had gone to overtime, the Sooners would have whipped Boise State’s exhausted starters or steamrollered their scrubs. Boise State turned to trick plays to win in regulation, because they KNEW they didn’t have the depth to win a war of attrition.
I have little doubt that Boise State COULD beat Ohio State or Auburn or Oregon in a January Bowl game. But I DON’T believe they could run the table or win conference championships in the Big Ten, SEC or PAC 10. Football really IS a war of attrition in a major conference, and schools can’t win championships in those conferences without depth.
Wow, astorian…that’s the most balanced and reasoned analysis of the whole “BCS Buster” conundrum I’ve read.
ETA: I think, though, you mis-remember the Fiesta Bowl. Boise State tied it in regulation using a desperation gadget play (the hook and ladder). They won it in overtime using a trick play (the statue of liberty).
I watched Boise a couple times this year. They are well coached. Their tackling is excellent. They do play well. It is their schedule that causes them to be scoffed at. They offered to play a good team earlier this year. I forget who. But Boise could zero in on that game for weeks. Most teams in good conferences don’t have that luxury. Any team in the league can give you a serious battle. You can not overlook a team to save it for a game in the future.
I hate the BCS.
Good but not great win for Michigan State. MSU exposed the UM defense as a fraud, the O Line for MSU gave a clinic on what O Lines should do in a game. Denard Robinson is a truly gifted player but on Saturday he did the hokey-chokey and he turned himself about.
Looking ahead, the biggest challenge for MSU will be Iowa on the road. If they manage that, they’ll be 11-0 going into Happy Valley against a very ordinary Penn State team. 12-0 is not out of the question. The title game probably is, because I’m sure there will be a 1 loss or even 2 loss SEC team that will be put in there just because federal law requires an SEC team in the final.