Donald Trump's 2016 General Election Campaign

Even by having more control of the Tweets and speeches, the Trump Handlers can not manage his press conferences.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/06/24/donald-trumps-brexit-press-conference-was-beyond-bizarre/?tid=pm_politics_pop_b#annotations:9759011

[QUOTE=Chris Cillizza at the Washington Post]

To sum up:

The collapse of Britain’s currency is a good thing for Trump’s Turnberry golf course.

Got it? Good!
[/QUOTE]

The writer also noted how dumb it was for Trump to claim that Scotland wanted to get out of the EU, in reality most of the people of Scotland wanted to remain.

Really, how do the people that are thinking to vote for him not realize how much of a disaster he will be when dealing with issues around the world?

Like most elections, the election will be a referendum on the state of the country. I don’t think it’s necessarily a referendum on Obama’s performance, given the fact that congressional approval ratings are at near historic lows. People will blame Obama if there’s a recession, but I doubt republicans will escape the blame. Sure, a lot of voters are dupes, but the fact is that the republicans are so incompetent they can’t even nominate a candidate for the general election? They’ve done absolutely nothing but obstruct. They seem more interested in protecting guns than in expanding health coverage. I don’t think everyone ignores this. A recession doesn’t automatically mean that Trump wins.

Do I think that the race will be surprisingly close? Maybe too close for comfort? Yeah, I kinda do because I’ve lost faith in the average voter. But Trump is already making the kinds of blunders that will make it very hard for him to recover.

Details don’t actually matter here. What Americans will remember is that pro-Brexit = pro-Trump = winning. The establishment told the British public to oppose Brexit, the establishment is telling the American public to oppose Trump. Simple. Trump wins.

I’m old enough to have seen this movie before, with another old white guy with weirdly colored hair and a gift for catchy slogans. He won two terms, and working class white folks still think of him fondly.

Actually 2 Trillion were lost in the markets, and Trump was happy to see the Pound fall.

Trump= we all lose, Trump does not care because he wins regardless, not the presidency but his companies will do good.

I do also remember that a few months back at this time in the campaign Carter was free falling in the polls, **currently Trump is still behind Clinton **and he recently lost ground.

Yep, I have seen this before, in the previous presidential campaign were Romney constantly remained behind Obama by 2 or 3 points. Clinton is ahead by 7 now.

*but for me

I have to assume

I do think that *

It’s only natural to assume that most people are more or less like you. They aren’t.
Most Americans don’t know the difference between Scotland and Britain, and can’t find these places on a globe. Not just that, they resent people who do know the difference.

Quite really! :slight_smile:

[Sherlock Holmes in the Red Headed League] My dear Watson, I do not guess… [/SH]

I base what I say based on the polls and past history of what past presidential contests showed. If there is something unprecedented here is the fact that there are cave ins in the right wing media echo chamber that were not there before.

Yet another reason why I have more confidence on Trump going down in the general election, the circular firing squad by the right wingers is set.

Seriously, let him tie himself to Brexit-- let him say it was good, he predicted it, his campaign is fighting for the same anti-establishment maverickey-ness, etc.

As the world economy starts to take a slow, hot shit over the next few months, it’ll be harder to connect it to Obama and, by association, Hillary. And as the Brits continue to express buyers’ remorse over the vote, it’ll be a yuuuge lesson for American voters not to support this same isolationist rhetoric.

Oh, just remembered that Holmes never said it that way, I remember now that Watson told Holmes that the crooks robbing the bank on Saturday was a guess. Then Holmes replied to him: “Watson… you disappoint me… I never guess.”

He is the happy genius of his household!

http://www.writing.upenn.edu/~afilreis/88v/wcw-danse-russe.html

George Will did give the world one of the best descriptions of football (from my faulty memory): “Football combines the two worst parts of American culture. It is violence punctuated by committee meetings.” Nothing else he’s said is worth a damn, but in my book that line moves him down to the Second Group to the Wall Come the Revolution.

Feh. A proper draftsman, which he claims to be, is FAR too OCD to allow anybody to touch, much less sharpen, his tools. Harumph!

Indeed, sister.

Trump seems sooo far behind on polls. These polls will make polling percentage among Trump supporters high (as their candidate is losing so badly) and Hillary supporters low.

So democrates should come up with fake polls where they show it is neck n neck. This will boost Hillary chances.

The charitable interpretation of this advice is that you don’t understand that people tend to support the winner and that people won’t be suspicious if the man most people hate gets a sudden and inexplicable boost in popularity. The charitable interpretation would demand that you also be unaware that the FiveThirtyEight people who, while they have been wrong about some things in the past still have a good record, are good at ferreting out irregularities in polls have the ear of the media both online and off.

The thing is that voter turnout is low in USA (at 57% in 2012). If it was high, say at 70% I would not have made that post.

After looking at the opinion poll, say just (57-4=) 53% of Hillary supporters vote, thinking there is no chance of Trump winning so why make the effort to go and vote. And the determined Trump supporters vote say (57+4=) 61%, then Trump has excellent chance of winning.

Maybe same thing happened in brexit poll also

Checking in to see if Trump has said or proposed anything useful lately. No? Okay, I’ll check back in a week.

He says something useful every day… to the Hillary campaign.

So have I got this straight? The RNC is concerned that there candidate has wasted a month by not campaigning, and the candidate responds by flying off to Scotland to attend to his personal business empire?

He’s doing less damage to his poll numbers that way, you gotta admit.

It makes me wonder if he was ever truly serious about winning the election? A while ago someone else on this site basically said what I had been thinking for some time: a part of Trump is probably terrified of the thought of being president and would be relieved if he lost, but his ego and his competitiveness won’t let him quit.

Man, if Trump manages to win, the American people fully deserve the crapstorm that he will unleash with his cluelessness. This election has 5 months to go and I fear that Trump will manage to come from behind somehow to win the thing. Nobody should be complacent with this guy, no matter what the polls say right now