Tired of winning yet?
Awesome! I have been waiting and looking for this news!
Facebook meme from a few days ago:
“He turned one day of losing into eighteen* days of losing. It’s like Republican Hanukkah!”
*Now up to 25 consecutive days of losing.
This is why establishment Republicans are so desperate to keep alive the farce that the Presidential election outcome somehow hasn’t been “decided.” The Trumpers aren’t motivated by whether Republicans hold the Senate. And if Trump lost, then it must be because the Republican establishment failed him.
As each legal challenge gets shot down in increasingly blunt language, it becomes harder and harder for Republicans to maintain that fiction. And it’s still over a month until the runoff election date.
Ohpleaseohpleaseohpleaseohplease…
OK, so what are odds/percent-predictions on the Georgie Senate seats? I’d say:
Both go Republican - 60%
Both go Democratic - 20%
One R, One D - 20%
I think it might even be more likely they both go Republican. I know people are hopeful after Joe Biden won the election there, but I think they will still vote Republican now Trump is not on the ballot.
I’d say
Both GOP - 75%
Both Dem - 10%
Split - 15%
Republican Ramadan
Gut instinct is that a split is most likely, followed by both R, then both D.
That’s pretty much what I was going to say. It’s possible the chance of a split might be slightly higher, but I think it is all in that ballpark. I was mildly shocked Biden won Georgia. It would be a much bigger shock if it also produced two Democratic senators.
I say both Dem 30
Split 40
Both GOP 30
But give an extra 10 to the Dems if trump continues this silliness.
I’d guess both R 90%, both D 9%, and split 1%.
For those who think a split is possible, what makes you think voters will split their votes when everything is so partisan these days?
The pre-election polls showed one Dem candidate more popular.
The vote with be something like 49.9/50.1 so only a few votes will change the results.
*A week before the November election, CBS News polling showed just 4% of likely voters were undecided in the Perdue-Ossoff race. Perdue led with 49.7% to Ossoff’s 47.9%, falling just 0.3% short of outright victory. Libertarian Shane Hazel was eliminated with 2.3% of the vote. *
*Perdue’s vote wasn’t divided between Republicans, as Senator Kelly Loeffler’s was in her race, and he actually won a fraction more votes than President Trump, with 49.7%, compared to the president’s 49.3%. Ossoff finished with 47.9% support, leaving him about a two-point margin to make up in January. *
In the other Senate race, the special election to fill former Senator Johnny Isakson’s seat, Loeffler and Collins won a combined 45% of the vote, ahead of Warnock’s 32.9%. The other Democratic candidates received 15% combined.
For one, Perdue is reportedly more popular than Loeffler.
It’s less that I think a split is likely and more that I think if the Dem are more likely to win one than two. Perdue seems more popular than Loeffler so I can see a scenario in a very, very close race where he wins, but Loeffler just misses. That seems more likely to me than a race where both Dems squeak by.
But I suspect the most likely outcome will be that Perdue just wins with a bigger margin than Loeffler. It will be interesting to see just how much vote-splitting occurs.
Also remember that Loeffler is a Republican woman up against Warnock a Democratic man. It wouldn’t surprise me if ironically misogyny trumps tribe for a few Georgian troglodytes. Not necessarily voting for Warnock, but maybe voting for Perdue and just not bothering to vote for Loeffler.
I agree that a split is by far the least likely outcome. Both Loeffler/Purdue and Ossoff/Warnock are essentially running as teams. The election is going to be determined by whether the R team or the D team is more successful in getting their voters out.
The only way I see a split happening is if the vote margin is so razor thin that it’s essentially a coin flip.
Every time another case gets thrown out it creates another precedent, making it easy for subsequent judges to also rule unfavorably with respect to Trump’s legal team. He is being “hoisted by his own petards.”
I joined parler to see what some “left facebook and twitter” friends are saying.
Yeah, so they think Trump will be president on January 21 and the whole thing is building to the election being overturned and it all going to Trump.
I said nothing, just looked around.
Yeah, it’s a safe-place for loony conspiracy theories.
Did you have to give them any personal info other than an email address?