How? The case against Pleonast is marginal at best. The case against Menocchio is even less substantial.
I’d be surprised if either Pleonast or Menocchio were scum. The probability of one being scum is actually quite small. Though now that I think about it more, I’d say that scum would actually be less likely to make the Statement that CapnPitt made. hmmm. Perhaps I was hasty about CapnPitt. I think Town is generally hasty on Day One (and this is Day One, despite it being Day Two).
I would be suspicious of the cautious players. Unfortunately, so many Townies play cautiously, that doesn’t seem to work either. Caution allows scum to be cautious too. My current guess is that the Boss is a low poster.
Non-voters/non-voted so far:
NAF
Hockey Monkey
chrisk
MHaye
Santo Rugger
Koldanar
Hotflungwok
Darth Sensitive
OneCentStamp
sinjin
Hal Briston
Which is a rather long suspect list to have, but I gotta start somewhere. Town often focuses on Town on Day One because scum are really cautious on Day One, while Town feels free to say whatever they want, and get in trouble for it.
People I think are Town:
Menocchio
Pleonast
Freudian Slit
HazelNutCoffee
bufftabby
Precisely because others have found reason (poor reasons) to suspect them. With only 1-2 scum, this list is easier to make
I also think that the odds of either Pleo or Menocchio being scum are very small.
I have no doubt that the Boss is a low poster. Early on it is almost always noisy Townies who get lynched on the flimsiest of evidence, so it’s really in her best interest to stay quiet.
sinjin has had some good participation, even if he didn’t vote, so he wouldn’t be on my list. Same with Santo (although maybe he deserves automatic suspicion )
NAF is way too quiet for my taste, as he is normally more active. But maybe he’s burned out from modding.
An interesting suggestion by Menocchio. If the Vig is in doubt about Pleonast’s role-claim, Vig targets him tonight. Best case scenario, Pleo is scum and gets killed. Worst case scenario, Pleo is a Priest, gets killed and the Vig takes his spot. Net loss of the Vig, which may not be so bad for Town.
For some reason, I remembered him being fairly vocal in Sekham (the only game I was a participant), but from other games I’ve watched, you’re right.
I have no doubt that my suspect list is casting a wide net (obviously).
With 23 players alive, picking out 2 is a losing proposition. Scum aren’t going to announce themselves, so process of elimination is my next choice.
I feel bad for One And Only Wanderers. He’s really been screwed early in these SDMB games. Day One lynch in Conspiracy; Day Two outing by dossier in YST; and now killed on Night One.
I agree with Rysto. The whole thinking that the Detective should investigate Pleonast is crazy wrong. The Detective should investigate someone who is opaque and hasn’t given out any information yet. Pleonast’s case will shake out one way or another. Wasting the investigation on a prime candidate for lynching, vigging, AND scum-kill is counterproductive.
But at the same time, I don’t think scum would say what Hawkeyeop said. I think this will be a search by process of elimination.
Blaster Master is being exceedingly reasonable.
On one hand, he’s saying pretty much what I’m thinking.
On the other hand, I think he lacks the paranoia usually associated with Town. I’d keep an eye on him. He might be too reasonable.
That does not seem to be in the game plan for some reason. If I was in there, I would be all over lurkers at this point (<24 hours to go).
On another note, I’m surprised that Pleo is still in the lead. Every game I’ve played, the vast majority of players have been very deferential to role claims (sometimes too much, IMO), to the extent that posters who vote for role-claimed individuals often garnered suspicion themselves. That’s not happening this game - I wonder why. Sure, there have been people saying they will give him the benefit of the doubt, but no one is making a strong argument.
I wonder if both of these issues can be explained by the players falling into two categories: some are newbies in their first game and don’t want to draw much attention to themselves and the rest played in the You-Solve-It and have forgotten how to treat power roles and role claims.
Woah and for some reason this post from Millet the Frail
majorly pinged my scumdar. I’ll be watching him/her closely from now on. Good ole confirmation bias, or whatever bias it is that makes you see what you already think is there!
I totally think CapnPitt is Town now.
I fell into the same trap as NAF, but I never label my suspicions as “classic scum tell” so I wasn’t as critical of my own thinking. Seeing it labeled as such makes mistrust the ‘tell’ all the more.
So given the events of Today… who will Scum recruit next?
If he wasn’t recruited already, I think Blaster Master would be a good choice.
best interest to stay quiet.