Hypothetical: Trump ineligible, who emerges?

Not really relevant. Democrats go out of their way to promote women and minorities in office. It’s the only reason Kamala Harris is there. Minorities and women are treated like anyone else in the Republican party. This is even true on the MAGA side, where two of the most prominent members are women.

It’s also weird to say that Republicans would never elect a woman in response to Nikki Haley leading the non-Trump field. Modern Republicans love female and minority candidates, so long as they espouse the right values, because they are tired of being accused of being racistsexistmisogynist and would love to disarm that issue.

I’ll point out that the Republican field this year was very diverse. Tim Scott, a black Republican. Nikki Haley, a female visible minority. Vivek Ramiswamy is a visible mimority.