I pit the goat felching douchenozzle(s) who blew up the Boston Marathon

WTF? They want government to work better. That’s pro, not anti.

Or just broke-ass. Whole lotta that goin’ on.

How much lower than 50% are you willing to go? 10%? 1%? 0.01%? Willing to give odds?

Your experiences might be different, but if I know something has a 25% chance of happening, I would not be surprised if it does happen. If it is less than 10%, then yeah, I might be surprised (in the context of this discussion).

So unless you think the odds are less than 25%, then you are admitting you wouldn’t be surprised if a Tea Party OK city type were behind this. It isn’t like you and Snowboarder Bo are completely opposite. Just different degrees.

If you are saying less than 25%, are you willing to give 4:1 odds?

Yes, they’re dangerous but tend to be a moron trademark. I’m leaning more toward seeing them arrest a nutcase saying, “Had to do it 'fore president Osama sells us all to the Chinamen!”

That’s not a nutcase, that’s a patriot. A nutcase would say that his invisible friend told him to. Unless the invisible friend is God.

Oh, fuck it, all are mad but thee and me, and thou, I’m not so sure about…

This just in…gunpowder. Gunpowder? What the fuck kind of dipshit terrorist uses gunpowder? Its the Moron International Liberation Front (MILF), which is going to cause Google some problems…

Well he went and started a thread on the topic. Read the OP. I’d certainly say “eagerness” is an applicable description.

So? That’s what we’ll hear about the terrorist(s) even if they are officially a member of the Tea Party. Atrocities committed by the Right in this country are always just “random nut jobs” and “lone wolves” who “have no affiliation” with any official right wing group or leader. Funny how that works.

Let’s first see what all these people will give me for odds that seem so confident they know who is responsible.

Your missing a key difference here: It’s a very different thing to say you wouldn’t be surprised something happened and saying you’d be surprised if anything other than that thing happened.

Would I be “surprised” if it were a home grown, conservative terrorist? Probably not. There’s a chance that is the case. But I also wouldn’t be surprised if it were Al Qaeda or some unaffiliated nut.

Saying you’d be surprised if it were anything other than your forgone conclusion would indicate to me that the percentage change of happening is a hell of a lot higher than 25%. I’d say more like 90%. But I’ll let Snowboarder Bo speak to that if he wants to give a percentage.

Cite?

The banks and Wall Street run the government of course.

Who’s they? It was a very splintered group. It included everything from suburban school teachers to hardcore anti-government anarchists. Whoever was behind this will turn out to be on the fringe of whatever ideology they identify with.

I thought you were the coward who didn’t do the Pit?

You’re an idiot. Clearly your name has an “r” where there should be a “d”.

By giving odds, you’ve done exactly the same thing I did, yet you try and make me out to have done something else, and try and excoriate me for it.

And then you still try and claim that I said something that I never said.

You’re an idiot, a liar and an asshole.

Der, the Tea Party as a discrete entity doesn’t really exist. Google “tea party rally”, for instance, and you get directed to the Tea Party Express (Dick Armey’s outfit) and their agenda for the 2012 election. Tax Day rallies that spattered on the sidewalk like pigeon poop. Dey delisted, devoid and defunked. An ex-parrot.

The Weathermen are a more likely suspect. Followed by a radical militant splinter group of the Unitarian Church.

Unitarian Jihad has been around awhile.

:rolleyes: I don’t post in threads Pitting me, and therefore as a matter of courtesy usually avoid threads where other people are being Pitted. Unless you are trying to claim that an SDMB member was behind this attack, neither condition applies.

I remember something about a group of Occupy Cleveland who wanted to blow up some shit. To lazy to see what happened or something but the movement was far from 100% peace, love, and stuff.

As far as I’ve seen you are the only one to put up the suggestion of a bet with odds. I’m just trying to gauge how strong your own convictions are using your methodology for measuring it. As it turns out, you are as unwilling to make any bets as those you accused.

I get the difference which is why I worded things the way I did. As I said, you two are different in degrees only. He isn’t certain it is a Tea Partier and you aren’t certain it isn’t.

I can attest to that. Der is widely known hereabouts for his delicate sensibility and tactful demeanor.

Fair concern – how many have, these days?

Thank you for bringing a chuckle to a depressing subject.