Let’s face it, Obama is floundering miserably an it is only going get worse. He won’t make reelection. My home state of Louisiana has an Indian/American Republican governor in Bobby Jindal (he won 88% of the popular vote there) that can match the minority card and he just caught a break with the massive oil spill off the coast of Louisiana that will give him free press for months and show what he can do in times of crisis. I’m calling it: Jindal 52% Obama 47%. This isn’t a campaign post. I just want to test my psychic ability.
If you want a real life Chuck Norris of the intellectual, business and political world, check him out. I am not sure why you are prejudiced against someone from Louisiana. He could be hiding under your bed tonight and you would never know.
“Jindal was named a member of 1992 USA Today All-USA Academic Team. He was accepted by both Harvard Medical School and Yale Law School, but studied at New College, Oxford, as a Rhodes Scholar. He received an M.Litt. degree in political science with an emphasis in health policy from the University of Oxford in 1994 for his thesis “A needs-based approach to health care”.[7] He could have studied for a D.Phil. in politics,[9][10] but instead joined the consulting firm McKinsey & Company, where he advised Fortune 500 companies.”
I don’t think Jindal fronts the ticket. He might get the VP slot. Not sure who gets the nod at the top, but Obama is in trouble. If he doesn’t pick up his game, he’s one and done.
I call Generic GOP Nominee 49%, Obama 47%, Other 4%. Dems keep the Senate, but lose the House and POTUS.
This is the same Jindal who looked so lost with the GOP “rebuttal” to the State of the Union, right? The creationist in spite of his education? The anti-choicer? Him?
You may think he neutralizes what you call “the minority card”, but are you so sure it wouldn’t be dismissed as pandering? You think he’ll look good on the basis of the oil spill, but how will that play out? What’s he done so far that has made anybody notice, and what can he do that will? You call it a crisis, an opportunity to shine, but isn’t it already a bit too late? The moment to shine doesn’t last long. And won’t his strong “Drill, baby, drill” background make it look like he contributed to the situation in the first place?
You list all those pre-governorship accomplishments, but none as Governor. Don’t you think that sort of stands out?
Obama re-elected, min 350-400 EV’s, doesn’t matter what talking-point panderer Fox has the GOP nominate.
I sadly believe Obama will lose in 2012. But not to Jindal.
I hope not to Palin, but at this point, I have no idea. I just have a sinking feeling that it’s not gonna be 8 years of Obama though.
In a surprise twist, a constitutionally ineligible, foreigner who goes by the name orcenio wins by a landslide due to a brilliantly run campaign, which included the promise of 40,000 new government run (blow)jobs
Obama. And if Jindal is what they’ve got it will be a landslide. We laugh at Jindal because we’ve seen him speak. He’s an idiot. Not because he’s from Louisiana. But because he makes Chuck Norris sound like an Einstein.
As to your premise about “floundering” - actually I think Obama’s done quite well under some very difficult times. But I presume that you do not mean to debate the merits of what he has accomplished and is setting up to accomplish but plain old polling, that shows him currently at 49%, and having been down as low as 45% in recent months. After all G W Bush was at 76% at this point! Heck even his Daddy was polling at 68%!
Well, if polling at this point, or even at the end of the second year, was predictive then one would have though Reagan would have been a one-termer and we’d have had a President Mondale, or did you forget how Reagan polled his second and even his third years? His
And oh yes, we know how those early strong polls turned out for Bush the elder.
Presidential job approval at this point in the term has NO predictive value. Of recent one termers one, Carter, polled 43%, the other was Bush the elder, referenced above. Johnson was above 60% this many months after assuming office and then dropped like a rock while Ford was in the 40’s climbing up from the 30’s and ended in the mid 50’s. OTOH, in addition to Reagan’s low numbers, Clinton was running only 50%.
Never forget that Obama is a poker player. You can bet that by the time he’s up for re-election he’ll have slowly collected the chips.
Jindal was being groomed for the 2012 or 2016 nomination, and blew it. He looked ridiculous and made the Republican party look ridiculous in front of the country.
If the fact that he embarrassed the party doesn’t scuttle any campaign he tries to mount, the fact that he’s only going to be 41 on election day 2012 will lose him the party’s blessing. He doesn’t have enough charisma to draw in the votes a young candidate needs.
The election is two and a half years away. It’s probably a little soon to be speculating on how poor Obama’s shot at re-election is, considering presidents have seen 60 point swings in approval ratings in shorter spans of time.
FWIW, Reagan’s approval in May of '82 was in the mid 40’s. By November 1984 it was near 60, and I recall he did pretty well in that election.
Personally I don’t believe the polls. And Jindal is intelligent and articulate and could wrestle a giant alligator in his sleep. The only reason I won’t vote for him is that I’m prejudiced against someone from Louisiana.