I think that the last few people who voted for Menocchio are villagers:
sturmhauke
Rysto (dead villager) Captain Carrot
Kat
The Alpha Werewolf is the most powerful werewolf character and I think that the wolves would bandwagon on **JSexton ** or jsgoddess (who both had 3 votes apiece) rather than give him up. If any on that list are wolves my guess would be sturmhauke, who voted once it was obvious that Menocchio was doomed and later might be able to point to his vote and go “would I be stupid enough to lynch the Alpha Wolf?” But I’m pretty certain he’s a villager.
I get a kind of Werewolfy vibe from:
**ComeToTheDarkSideWeHaveCookies
One and Only Wanderers **
I tend to think that JSexton is a villager and wouldn’t be surprised to see him killed soon. IMO the Angel should be protecting him until the Seer comes out.
I see that One And Only Wanderers has claimed to be a Mason. That has to make him prime werewolf fodder come nightfall.
Of course, now a werewolf could claim that he himself is a Mason, and that he knows that OAOW is not one… and then a third party could judge between them, but we would still not know if the third party was a werewolf or a Mason, and hence which way round the other two were.
Hmm… Assuming that OAOW is actually a Mason: If a werewolf claims that he himself is a mason and OAOW is not, then OAOW would be lynched, the townspeople would find out that they lynched a Mason, and they’d kill the werewolf that called him out the next day. Exchange 1 wolf for 1 mason. Good deal? Probably not considering the wolves are outnumbered and masonry is not that great a benefit for the townies.
Assuming OAOW is a werewolf: If a werewolf calls him out, OAOW gets killed (down 1 wolf), and the masons know that the werewolf that called him out is a werewolf.
I think OAOW knows he’s doomed and is trying to reveal a Mason to get some benefit out of his death. If that’s true and no Mason comes forward, it’s a big win for OAOW because the guardian’s vote tonight will most likely be OAOW.
… I just proofread this and I’m not even sure I understand what I wrote.
I agree with Rysto: One And Only Wanderers and Richard Parker voted together the first day, then on the next day were very quick to vote and then unvote each other, like they were trying to distance themselves. Could be Masons but could also be Werewolves, and I’m leaning towards the latter.
I hope the Angel doesn’t protect him. I still like the idea of protecting JSexton for now. I’m not 100% he’s a Villager (especially since he’s an experienced player) but he’s the most influential person at the moment and I like seeing how people react to him.
Long Time Lurker I got what you wrote and I totally agree. Maybe I’m overanalysing (in fact I probably am given that it’s 3:15am and I can’t get to sleep so I’m up commenting on a game thread!) but he didn’t seem very convincing. Personally I’m expecting a Werewolf who has been low-profile so far to poke holes in his story, thereby establishing their Village credentials. And if I’m wrong and One And Only Wanderers actually is a Mason and gets eaten tonight, then I have no idea what’s happening.
I think it’s a safe bet that if OAOW doesn’t get eaten tonight, he’ll be assumed a wolf get lynched tomorrow.
Unless he’s protected by the GA and it is made known to the townspeople that he was protected by the GA and not by the wolves.
Can the GA only protect against the wolves? Or can the GA protect against the townspeople as well? What if the Townspeople vote to lynch the GA?
I think** JSexton** is the Guardian Angel - I read this post as him basically telling the Seer how to play, and tipping him off that he had his back. I think he’ll be conflicted between covering OAOW (as the only out VIP) or who he thinks the seer is, this turn.
I think dnooman is wrong, BTW - all the Masons shouldn’t out themselves, it’s enough that they remain silent, it allows the GA to protect OAOW without divided loyalties (unless he has a Seer suspect).
We do at least have good reason to think Miller is not a Mason, as OAOW didn’t drop his vote for him. He’s also not the Seer or he’d say something by now, as the he’d be worth more to the GA than one Stonecutter. I think he just might be a werewolf.
I definitely think Suburban Plankton is a werewolf. And I think the wolfies are going to go for JSexton next. If they don’t, then he’s most likely a unibrow.
Looks like Miller’s in a bad place at sunset, and is trying to dig out now.
Damn, why do I avoid MPSIMS? I could have been in on this!
How do you think I feel, MrDribble? I did make the cut, and got the top dog position, and then got cut down pretty much randomly the first damn day.
Oh well, at least I still can read the super-secret Werewolf planning boards, and can hold that knowledge over all y’all’s heads.
It doesn’t look like OAOW is going to be contradicted. Shame. The game would probably unravel quickly if the werewolves started to claim Masonhood, but all the counteraccusations would be fun while it lasted.
It does look like I’m completely wrong with my first instinct. Based on the conversation in the thread, it would be unlikely a real mason wouldn’t reveal themselves to out OAOW for the good of the team.
JSexton is hilarious. His reasoning is so convoluted, yet he’s be far the most aggressive player.
That’s not to say that he isn’t right sometimes (he got me, obviously), but if he is, I think it has more to do with luck than logic.
His analysis of my first accusatory post is particularly amusing. I’m a worse player than even he realizes. There’s no strategy there whatsoever. I’m not saying that any of those guys aren’t werewolves*, but if they were, I didn’t intentionally mean to shield myself/them by casting suspicion.
I was just riffing on the names.
He’s so funny that one has to wonder what his real motives are, despite his leading the charge against me. Perhaps his in-game critics are right to cast doubts. Then again, maybe they’re trying to avenge me.
*To be perfectly honest, I didn’t even remember with perfect clarity who my teammates were at that point. Not everybody had checked into the werewolf board yet, and of those who did, some of them used a different handle than they do here. I *still *feel compelled to double check now and again. Some of my guys are quite good at what they’re doing, and some of the innocent folks have been acting mighty suspicious.
I lurk way to much to play, but have been following this at lunchtimes (free soap opera at work!). Looking through the werewolf thread is anyone else getting suspicious of Kytheria, now dnooman. Kytheria didn’t post much, which was a bit out of character. Dnooman took over and seems to be playing a more active role suggesting other masons should out themselves, which (if OAOW is a mason), would only benefit the werewolves.
I haven’t played before (and I’m pretty dreadful at mystery solving) but if JSexton isn’t killed during the night phase it may not mean he is a werewolf. If the werewolves know the townsfolk are thinking like that, then it makes sense to “lunch” someone else and let the villagers lynch him tomorrow - get two villagers for the price of one.
You’ve got me. I’ve played Mafia (which is similar) in real life. I doubt we ever had a day phase last more than about 5 minutes–maybe ten at the most. Our biggest problem was keeping the zombies from revealing what they’d now figured out to the townspeople. I don’t think I could stand the pace of this online version. And besides, lurking (or just sitting quietly) is perfectly in character for me, but not so effective in this game, it appears.
