At this point, I think we can divide the living players up into three groups. Confirmed Town, Known Werewolf and the Unknown. It should come as no surprise that I want to lynch one of the Unknown.
The Unknown are :-DarkCookies
NAF1138
Omi no Kami
peekercpa
ZsofiaThese five, plus Pollux Oil, must contain all the remaining unidentified non-Town players; however those six are probably not all scum.
It is in the interest of all the scum groups to eat people who are confirmed Town at this stage, to maximise the other player’s fear and uncertainty. Hence I wouldn’t be surprised to find that I was targeted last Night; the Wolves and / or Vampire must be playing head games with any remaining protectors; if I were a scum picking a target knowing a protector was on the loose (as per Omi’s claim, say) Storyteller would be low on my list because of the risk he’d be protected. I might well argue against killing Koldanar too, certainly Today.
So who to vote for?
DarkCookies : In post [post=10081022]2267[/post] she claims to have been blocked. Koldanar also claims to have been blocked (post [post=10081888]2309[/post]). If the Cabal’s regular block is the only explanation, then one of those two is lying. Since Koldanar is on my Known Town list, I trust he is not lying. Thus, if there was only one block available DarkCookies has lied; in which case she does not have a Vigilante role, and is non-Town.
That does not preclude the possibility of a mass block power. I think DarkCookies is right in [post=10081434]2290[/post] though, where she speculates on the results of a hypothetical mass block on players with roles such as Magician or Scotsman. The thing is, no-one has stepped forward to claim they did such a thing. Of course, if that was the Cabal secret power, then they wouldn’t would they?
NAF : His jumping to conclusions about PO. He tried to push the idea that PO was a Wolf, because back on Day 1 he’d been defended by no less than two players who have been ID’d (one by reveal, the other almost certainly) as Wolves. Tying yourself to not one, but two other members of your faction when (for it to be true) there would have to be no less than seven of you at the time, seems to be a bit unlikely. The group most likely to want to kill Werewolves, at this stage of the game, is the Cabal.
Omi : Zsofia summed it up for me in post [post=10081514]2297[/post]. It really does seem weak; to turn a Scotsman into a regular Doctor who loses his power if he is ever lynched to test his claim?
peeker : The one thing I currently have against him is that he refuses, in the face of my assurances, to let go of the idea that Storyteller might be a non-Townsman. Consider post [post=10082648]2323[/post]. For this to be true, now, requires that one of the scum groups have a secret power that spoofs investigations, and that Storyteller used it on Night 1. I was willing to entertain doubt on Storyteller’s faction until Drain Bead was outed. Not any more.
Peeker also suggested Drain Bead commit suicide by Mod (post [post=10086892]2342[/post], which would intentionally screw over one and only one faction; that of the Town. That makes it a clearly anti-Town action.
Zsofia : her end of Day action looks to me to be a scramble motivated by a desire for self-preservation. A Scotswoman doesn’t need to worry about self-preservation; she’d survive the noose. Looking back at the last 30 minutes of Yesterday, I can’t be sure whether she had seen post 2196 when she unvoted; the evidence is equivocal. However, I’m quite sure she saw Storyteller’s post after her unvote and before her vote for PO. She still put the vote in, nullifying anything the two of us might do, and forcing us to accept a lynch of PO even though I was not in favour of that.
At this moment it seems to me that Zsofia and DarkCookies are the two leading candidates, with NAF third and the others well below the lynch line. I could (reluctantly) accept a lynch of Omi because we’d get instant feedback on the claim’s basic truth.
Vote Zsofia.
If you are a Scotswoman, you’ll move into the Confirmed Townies pool. If you’re a non-Town you’ll die. Win-Win.
Oh Zsofia, if you happen to be a Wolf, let us know. I’d rather not lynch Wolves Today. 