My power limits me to confirming either Mafia or Wolf or not those. It’s never going to tell me definitively if someone is 3rd party. So investigating a claimed 3rd party would have been a waste unless I was reasonably certain they were lying about being 3rd party…and even then it’s a 50/50 shot on guessing the right scum clan.
If I were the Understudy and inherited the Investigative Journalist role, I would not be thanking MHaye for outing me.
Your claim is plausible, I question the decision to investigate a claimed Doctor for a second time, however it’s at least consistent with your continued suspicion of him:
Was that D3 or D4? Your D3 comment does not look like something a cop would say lightly…(snips)
Any reason you did not investigate Lightfoot again?
BTW, I have some questions for MHaye (and others who wish to weigh in).
Day 5 you watched Paul. What actually happened that Day/Night? Did the mod PM actually say he was targeted by wolves or is that your guess?
The reason I ask is, well, to know. But also because of what you saw on Day 1. We know that Cookies has a Day power. She was the only one to visit Septimus which means she HAS to be involved…unless mafia and wolves, when acting as a group to decide who to kill, can go in undetected.
In other words, let’s say Cookies is the Godfather. Would she personally go in to kill Septimus? Or would it be a “mafia” kill for anyone looking? Or would it simply not show up at all since no individual did it? That’s why I think it’s important to note how Paul’s death showed up for you.
Eh. I’m not really thankful for the outting per se. But the claim as a whole is super useful to Town. Besides, I’ve been so low on participation, it at least gave me a reason to provide something - anything - of value to Town.
As to your second question…not really. The best I can offer is that after wasting two Days on ToeJam it seemed counterproductive to do the same again. Especially with the # of Wolves outted, the odds weren’t in my favor. Besides, I was curious about Lakai for the reason previously mentioned.
Ender, What about Day 6? Didn’t you investigate someone toDay?
I was confused by MHaye’s description of Hockey’s death, as well as Paul’s. But I think I worked it out. The mafia and the wolves kill as groups. They are not watchable, trackable. Therefore if MHaye was watching someone who died and didn’t see anyone kill them, it must have been scum, mafia if it was a day kill, wolves if it was a night kill. (Whether or not the mods confirmed that to MHaye.)
I’m sure we’ve had a discussion before about the scum killing as a team. They clearly do, based on things like this from the Godfather role:
“As the leader of the Mafia team, you may meet with your troops at a location to be provided under separate cover to discuss strategy by Day or by Night. Each Day, your team must select a target for its Day kill and post it in red at your private board; if your team is unable to reach consensus on a kill, yours is the final word on the matter.”
No mention of them having to pick someone to do the kill, or a specific pass down kill order, which I would assume would be included.
Cookies - Day Power - Available possibilities - Zoning Inspector, Town Day Blocker; Bloodhound, Wolf Day Tracker; Omega Wolf, several one shot powers, only one of which would be trackable during the day(one shot tracking)
Ender - Day Power - Available Possibilities - same as Cookies, plus Investigative Journalist(claimed role) and EMT via Backup
Hal Briston - Night Power - Available Possibilities - Investigative Journalist(backup)(Claimed by Ender); Leprechaun Town Night Blocker; Bodyguard Mafia; Hitman Mafia; Informant Mafia Watcher; Enforcer Mafia Blocker
Going purely by odds, Hal is more likely than not Mafia, since there’s only 1 unclaimed/unaccounted for Town role that would have a Night power, versus 4 different Mafia ones.
For Ender, barring a counter claim(which if it is coming should wait until break of Day, but not really any later than that), his claim seems reasonable and fits. Could be The Omega, but seems like a weird fake claim if so.
For Cookies, same thing about a counter claim as with Ender. The Omega doesn’t fit, why would the Wolves blow a one shot power on Day 1 randomly? And if they did, why is MHaye still alive? They would have seen him I would think, and that would be a pretty damn fine target. Given all that, it’s obvious what she is.
I’m pretty sure this is accurate. Did I miss anything?
How do you know that? The only (known) Day role that could kill Septimus and be tracked is Outrider, which we know she isn’t since that was Boozy’s role.
Bah, totally missed the dead Leprechaun and Omega. Too many roles, too many bodies.
Well, the dead Leprechaun means that Hal is either Mafia, some third party role, or counter claiming Ender. Based on the post Hal made Tonight, I’m going with Mafia.
Why is Cookies the zoning inspector blocking the claimed Doc? A very good question. I’m interested in her reasoning.
NETC:
On second look, I see that it’s possible for the mafia to have killed Septimus and the SK to have killed Normal Phase on Day One. You’re right. Still it’s likely that Cookies is SK.
Why is the existence of an unknown SK more likely than her being the known role that fits her action? How do you know that the extra kills are coming from a SK rather than, for example, the LUTHA having a killing power?
This feels like you know who the Mafia kill was and therefore are jumping to SK for Cookies.
It is not very likely I’ll admit, but it is at least possible that Septimus decided to protect someone, and Boozy targeted that same player. Boozy would then have killed Septimus without coming anywhere near him.
For me to detect that, I’d have had to target septimus’s protectee.
Now, that’s a long shot. It’s very likely that Cookies is some kind of killing role, and killed Septimus. If I was certain DarkCookies killed Septimus. I’d vote for her Tomorrow, in order to reduce the number of kills per cycle and maybe defer LyLo.
I was explicitly told in my N4 PM that I saw the Wolves kill Hockey Monkey. and similarly that Wolves kill Paul on Night 5.
I interpreted that to mean that I saw the Wolves in Wolf form carry out both kills, but since they were in Wolf form I was unable to recognise them.
I also suspect that the same rules apply to the Mafia - that I’d see them jump out of cars and hose people down with tommy guns a la 1930s gangster movies. So I don’t believe the Mafia killed septimus.