…where was I? Oh yes,
Pleonast
596 : Disagrees with NAF - votes are cheap. Analysis of reasoning behind votes is what counts. Asks “Why should townies be reluctant to vote?”
605 : Reply to Mtgman. Generally anti strategy discussions - better to talk and vote, which creates meaningful data for later analysis
610 :“Townies don’t have anything to fear by being dunked. At least, I don’t have any fear.”
632 : In response to a vote by Hockey Monkey “You seem to agree with my conclusions [snip] and only disagree with how I said it. I guess I’m playing too aggressively.”
764: Short of time. Sees no reason to switch vote from Mal. May change later if no-one else agrees.
823 : Doesn’t like Mtgman’s argument against ArizonaTeach. Finds Mtgman’s accusation against him shallow. Suspects Mal, Mtgman, **sach **and **FCOD **in that order.
871: Switches vote to Mtgman.
This is a major plank of the case against Pleonast, so it’s worth looking at in some detail. As has been discussed before, this vote puts **mtgman **6-4 ahead against AzT. It is also only 6 mins after Zeriel’s 5-4 vote, so it could have been intended as tie-breaker. What really interests me is the sequence from post 610 on. Up until 610, the message has been clear - vote early, vote often, leave it to scum to strategize and lurk. In 632, having picked up votes from **Cookies **and HM, we see a realization of over-aggressivness. What happens next looks like a carefully planned move to safe ground: 764 - Announces possibility of changing vote if he can’t get consensus on Mal; 823 - declares Mtgman’s argument scummy; 871 - changes vote. In three posts we’ve gone from aggressively picking out scum and laying out reasons for posterity to backing a popular candidate - co-incidentally or not, the wrong one.
The key question is, are his reasons for finding **Mtgman **scummy valid? Check out the AzT vote and Pleonast’s response. It’s worth noting that Mtgman’s FOS of Pleonast, story and Mad has turned out wrong (he believed they were all three scum staging a fight to make at least one look good). Of course, his vote on AzT was right. Pleonast again responds to an accusation with an accusation - that Mtgman vs AzT is as much of a sham as he, story and Mad are meant to be in. So why not vote AzT? His reason for suspecting Mtgman hinges on also suspecting AzT. But that didn’t even seem to be a consideration in his vote.
Day 2
I know what you’re thinking - this is going to go on forever. In fact, at the beginning of Day 2 we’ve reached the halfway mark. Posting frequency goes down. Voting frequency drops significantly - only one vote each on Day 2 and 3, and two on Day 4 (one so far on Day 5). Given the repeated emphasis on the importance of voting in Day 1, this looks like a big change of strategy - why?
1004: votes Mal for “heads I win, tails you lose” logic.
1036 : Scuba_Ben, Kat, Mal and Idle Thoughts have all expressed suspicion. Mal and Scuba_Ben for the early vote on Mal. Pleonast reiterates his voting philosophy. Kat (scum) didn’t like Pleonast shutting down the Oracle discussion. Pleonast repeats arguments against discussion and asks not to be judged on aggressive play. Next, Idle didn’t like the timing of the mtgman vote. Pleonast says he switched from suspect 1 to 2, as he said he would. Then miscounts and says vote was 5-3 - actually 5-4. This minimizes the suspicious air of his vote, obviously.
1205 : On semi-vacation, reading along. No reason to change Mal vote.
Day 3
1442 : Still voting Mal. Suspicious of MonkeyMensch. Repeats miscount of Mtgman vote. Says will switch to MM if that’s where the votes are at the end of the day.
1457 : Says he ignores FOS statements. Looks at arguments. Votes are accountable.
1520 : Summarises own posts
1568 : Captain Klutz has noticed low posting levels. “I’m not staying off the radar, I just have little new to say.” Reiterates suspicions of Mal and MM. Others have voted for him - they’re wrong but reasonable. Wants votes in today to avoid rush
1649 : Doesn’t believe either Hockey or Scuba are scum. Leaves vote on Mal.
Day 4
1814 : Votes Mal again. Also happy to move to Mad orQueuing. (all based on possible Oracle breadcrumbs). Also recognises possible breadcrumbs in favour of sach and Hockey
1822 : Repeats Oracle suspicion of Mal.
1839 : Idle has picked up on low-content posts (e.g. “I have little new to say”). A defence of this, based on the “easy vote” philosophy plus avoidance of fluff.
1891 : Mad has announced his master plan, which leaves FOS on Pleonast amongts others. Accuses Mad of trying to bring innocents down with him. Announces intention to change vote later but wants to avoid insta-dunk.
1934 : Ye gods, we’re back talking about Day 1 random voting, again.
1936 : Queuing has presented a list of other people to discuss, which includes Pleonast. Pleonast has no problems with the list in general.
1937 : Incomplete overview of fluiddruid (on Queuing’s list).
1978 : Promised change of vote to Mad
1980 : Completes fluiddruid workup. Concludes nothing particularly scummy.
1992 : Thinks DiggitCamera’s Crusader-trap theory is interesting
2035 : Explains to Mad why no-one’s investigating Mad’s FOS’s
Day 5
2087 : Votes **Mal **for the fourth day running. No-one else looks suspicious? No one else is worth investigating?. Has noticed critics, but gives no defence. Trying to avoid attention?
2095 : Asks for rehash of arguments against him. [Don’t mention it]. Says Idle and FCOD’s votes against him were not out of blue, as Cookies suggests.
:2112 : My point about miscounting Mtgman vote has been raised. Says it’s just a miscount. Points out that he flagged up move.
2112 : A list of potential suspects other than Mal (Finally!). 8 quiet players plus Idle for changing votes to protect against Mad being reverse-Avatar and Zeriel based on Mad and HM voting for him, plus NAF’s (admittedly incomplete) case. A nice long list - but very little of that analysis that was trumpeted as so important on Day 1
Conclusions:
Because of the drastic change in strategy after he realised his head was above the parapet; because of the shift to Mtgman which meant abandoning his strategy in favour of finding the crowd; because he misrepresented the effects of that vote; because of his repeated, low content votes for Mal rather than further analysis of players; because a bold “Townies shouldn’t fear dunking” attitude was replaced with high self-preservation tactics: Vote Pleonast