In practice, I think that the current climate is that players don’t spend much thought on why Scum chose the target they did, so it’s to Scum’s advantage to kill people who are on the right track, not those on the wrong track. Either way, though, the result is the same: The Scum can choose whom to kill based on who’s voicing which suspicions. I think that this makes it counterproductive to express suspicions too deep into your list, under most circumstances.
The coming Day, however, is an exception. Today, Town will be up 4-1. If they get the right kill toDay, then it won’t matter who else anyone suspected, since the game will be over. If they get the wrong one, then they’ll be headed into a 2-1 endgame, and in such an endgame, it’s essential that the two Town players agree on who the last Scum is (especially with a tiebreaker that goes to the Scum). So for that case, it’s definitely better for Town to communicate all of their suspicions.
This reasoning also applies to a lesser degree to any case where Town might be about to win, or where Town might be facing LyLo the next Day.
Man, I hope that Storyteller has time for a proper write-up whenever he does it, because I’d hate to see all the content the players are generating right now go to waste.
Storyteller is generally very good about updates. I’m sure he’s been unavoidably delayed.
Of course, I know how the Night is going to end here so there’s no anticipation for me - it’s pretty easy to take the “be patient and chill out” stance.
It is odd that Jimmy Chitwood died. If I recall correctly, the general consensus is that Prof. P and Cygnus are town by virtue of their voting for Sario on a scant and critical vote. The fact that Jimmy Chitwood died instead points to one of them being a Werewolf. Of course Wolves know this so, blah blah blah. Still weird. If I were in the game I’d be pushing Prof. P as the last Wolf so hard right now.
Precambrian’s reaction seems fake. Everyone knows a Townie will be dead in the morning. It isn’t exactly shocking or unexpected.
I don’t think Precambrianmollusc ever answered me directly. I have been kind of suspicious of him for various reasons throughout the game. So, I still like him for the last wolf.
Mostly I hope he’s the last wolf so I can say that I spotted all five wolves. That entitles me to the commemorative plaque, right?
Yeah, I thought for sure I had enough dirt on my resume to stay alive. I played it pretty fast and loose toward the end of the game, so I was expecting more heat from Town in the endgame than from scum.
Ahhh! Right?! But that is hard to reconcile with the voting record and with how blatant and blithe he’s been about certain things.
It’s weirdly comforting to see some of the posts in this thread having the same reaction to him (and weirdly disconcerting to see Sario’s post about it earlier).
And, combine Precambrianmollusc’s (can we just call him “Ammonite”?) “dismay” at the kill, with his subsequent post oh-so-helpfully explaining the Scum motivation (which conveniently also serves as a defense of himself), and I think that he’s a pretty safe bet.
Who do we think for the #2 prospect, in case it’s not him and it goes to 2-1?
Nonsuch’s vote doesn’t ring true to me, for purely gut-feel reasons. I’d be comfortable with lynching him, even though I can’t articulate why his post seems false. Maybe because it doesn’t acknowledge that he’s the center of everyone’s suspicions? Maybe because he doesn’t develop this crucial vote in any meaningful sense? Doesn’t seem towny.
Also, I’d still be fixated on Professor P if I was playing, so it’s a good thing I’m not!
My vote is going back to Sangfroid. He’s still doing that thing where he says he’s going to reread or check interactions, but we never hear back from him. He’s just stalling, waiting to see which way the wind is blowing.
I still can’t buy Cygnus or Prof. Pepperwinkle as wolf. Both voted for JSexton early. Cygnus unvoted septimus at the last minute when others might also have been doing it. Cygnus voted for Sario. **Sario **voted for Cygnus before switching to Sangfroid. Prof. Pepperwinkle is a newbie who has voted for fellow wolves multiple times. He unecessarily (if wolf) drew negative attention to himself by unvoting TexCat and voting for septimus on Day 1. He supported the tie-breaking schemes several times when other disclosed wolves have been shown to be against it.
**Sangfroid **seems unlikely. The whole “lynch me to help town thing” sounds much more like befuddled town than befuddled wolf. And Sario voted for him.
Therefore: **Nonsuch **and Precambrian.
Both have made pro-town posts. It would be great if Precambrian turns up wolf because I would love to see Bayard’s list be so perfectly accurate. Yet, I still can’t help feeling that Nonsuch is more likely.
I didn’t think about this before, but is Mafia a lot more stressful for wolf players than town?
I’m guessing that it is. It’s got to be tough making sure every post doesn’t have some sort of giveaway. Then the wolf has to imagine how a town player would think and post while at the same time trying to influence town to err. No wonder wolves want to lurk.
Yes, personally, being a wolf gives me such agita. The only games where it didn’t was Pleonast’s conspiracy games where there were 4 factions and being Town was not necessarily something to trumpet either.
I change my mind.
I think nonsuch is Town.
He voted with Johnny Bravo against precambrianmollusk Yesterday. I can’t see both remaining wolves voting together in such a futile way. It looks bad. Nonsuch would know it looks bad. It had no chance of getting precambrianmollusk lynched. And it would give precambrianmollusk reason to go after nonsuch.
I don’t see how a Wolf places that vote Yesterday. Therefore, town.
Analytically I’m just about 50/50 between Nonsuch and precambrian; gut feeling is it’s Nonsuch. I was pretty sure about Nonsuch before I reread (and honestly I read it starting from a pretty biased perspective, more to articulate the case than to make up my mind about it) and I still didn’t end up convinced.
Most of what smells wolfy about Nonsuch, I think, is all the things he doesn’t say.
For the record, I think being Town is way more stressful, but I’ve only been scum once and it was my first game, so maybe I didn’t know enough to worry.