How will/can they win?
I’m not interested in platforms, issues, name calling, and the like. That’s the gist of a dozen other threads.
My ideas for victory. Remember they just need the core 20% or so and few swing voters to get up around 26-27%. That’s the equal of a majority if only half the eligible population actually votes:
Massive / unexpected turnout of the Republican base; Born again Christians, anti-abortionists, NRA folks, lifer Republicans, Bubbas. I feel Palin was good choice here to lock up the base. Not much appeal outside of it but perhaps she can steal some women votes as well. The big surprise the last few days. Discussed in another thread; it would have to be big and essentially unverifiable until after the election. The "Bradley" effect. He was up a similar margin in California for Governor but lost. Old aunt Matilda just couldn't bring herself to vote for the "colored man". Massive registration/voter fraud. I suspect disallowing voters in massive numbers in key areas/states. Possibly moving poling places or adjusting polling hours. Is this ACORN organization working for Obama, McCain/Rove, or independently. Their suspect registration actions taint other voter drives. Are the voting machines vulnerable? Old fashion stuffing, loss, or computer hacking are all possibilities. Apathy. "Did you vote today?" "No, I was too busy planning the Obama victory party this evening - how about you?" "No, I need a new dress/had a meeting - he'll win so big it won't matter". As I've just seen, Chenney gives it up for the party and dies garnering a big sympathy vote. Pretty far fetched.
Any other thoughts or mechanisms?