MLB Postseason prediction and playoff talk thread!

I am in no way qualified to make predictions but damnit…100 years already! This had better be the Cubs year! Of course it is the Cubs we are talking about. You could give them an all-star lineup of the giants in baseball from all of baseball history and the Cubs, if anyone would, can find a way to lose.

This town (I live in Chicago) will go stark, raving nuts if the Cubs are in the Series and especially if they win the series. If we get a crosstown classic, subway series with the White Sox this city will flat-out implode.

Could be awesome! Keeping my fingers crossed!

ALDS

Rays over Sox in 5

Angels over Sox in 4

NLDS

Cubs over Dodgers in 4

Brewers over Phillies in 5

ALCS

Angels over Rays in 6

NLCS

Cubs over Brewers in 4

WS

Angels over Cubs in 7 (sorry Cubsfan)
The above said, I’m taking my son to every game I can and hope the Rays can keep this thing going deep in. Hopefully we’ll at least win a few and have some great moments to remember.

Good luck to the everyone else who has a rooting interest.

DS:
Angels over Red Sox (4)

Rays over White Sox (3)

Cubs over Dodgers (5)

Phillies over Brewers (4)

CS:
Angels over Rays (5)

Phillies over Cubs (6)

World Series:

Phillies over Angels (7)
(OK, I’ll admit that I might be going a little overboard on the whole winning the World Series. But the Phillies will take care of both NL Central teams–just wait and see.)

Would you please stop saying shit like this. Fuck.

It’s OK, I am not a Cubs fan and I am not Sports Illustrated. My pick won’t jinx them if that is what you’re worried about.

Oh, go ahead and jinx away… :slight_smile: I don’t mind.

What a thriller last night! A one-nil result complete with its own homer in the gloaming and Ken Griffey coming back from the dead with a bullet to the plate. Go Sox!

…Tampa scares the bejeezus outta me. They could… go… all… the… way.

Just found this table, which compares teams based on strength of schedule, similar to some of the college football indicies:



MLB RPI Rankings
RNK 	TEAM 	RPI 	W 	L 	PCT 	SOS 	PWR 	RS 	RA 	ExpW-L 	ExpWP
**1 	Tampa Bay Rays 	.538 	97 	65 	.599 	.517 	3 	774 	671 	92-70 	.571
2 	Boston Red Sox 	.533 	95 	67 	.586 	.515 	4 	845 	694 	97-65 	.597
3 	Los Angeles Angels 	.531 	100 	62 	.617 	.502 	2 	765 	697 	89-73 	.546
4 	Chicago Cubs 	.525 	97 	64 	.602 	.499 	1 	855 	671 	100-61 	.619**
5 	New York Yankees 	.524 	89 	73 	.549 	.515 	8 	789 	727 	88-74 	.541
6 	Toronto Blue Jays 	.520 	86 	76 	.531 	.516 	10 	714 	610 	94-68 	.578**
7 	Chicago White Sox 	.518 	89 	74 	.546 	.509 	12 	811 	729 	90-73 	.553**
8 	Minnesota Twins 	.512 	88 	75 	.540 	.503 	9 	829 	745 	90-73 	.553**
9 	Milwaukee Brewers 	.512 	90 	72 	.556 	.498 	7 	750 	689 	88-74 	.542
10 	Philadelphia Phillies 	.512 	92 	70 	.568 	.493 	5 	799 	680 	94-68 	.580**
11 	Houston Astros 	.510 	86 	75 	.534 	.502 	13 	712 	743 	77-84 	.479
12 	St. Louis Cardinals 	.506 	86 	76 	.531 	.497 	14 	779 	725 	87-75 	.536
13 	New York Mets 	.505 	89 	73 	.549 	.490 	6 	799 	715 	90-72 	.555
14 	Cleveland Indians 	.501 	81 	81 	.500 	.502 	16 	805 	761 	86-76 	.528
15 	Texas Rangers 	.501 	79 	83 	.488 	.505 	18 	901 	967 	75-87 	.465
16 	Florida Marlins 	.500 	84 	77 	.522 	.493 	15 	770 	767 	81-80 	.502
17 	Oakland Athletics 	.496 	75 	86 	.466 	.506 	19 	646 	690 	75-86 	.467**
18 	Los Angeles Dodgers 	.495 	84 	78 	.519 	.487 	11 	700 	648 	87-75 	.539**
19 	Kansas City Royals 	.494 	75 	87 	.463 	.505 	22 	691 	781 	71-91 	.439
20 	Baltimore Orioles 	.492 	68 	93 	.422 	.515 	26 	782 	869 	72-89 	.447
21 	Detroit Tigers 	.491 	74 	88 	.457 	.502 	23 	821 	857 	78-84 	.479
22 	Cincinnati Reds 	.491 	74 	88 	.457 	.502 	21 	704 	800 	71-91 	.436
23 	Arizona Diamondbacks 	.490 	82 	80 	.506 	.485 	17 	720 	706 	83-79 	.510
24 	Pittsburgh Pirates 	.481 	67 	95 	.414 	.503 	28 	735 	884 	66-96 	.409
25 	Atlanta Braves 	.480 	72 	90 	.444 	.492 	24 	753 	778 	78-84 	.484
26 	Colorado Rockies 	.477 	74 	88 	.457 	.483 	20 	747 	822 	73-89 	.452
27 	San Francisco Giants 	.475 	72 	90 	.444 	.485 	25 	640 	759 	67-95 	.416
28 	Seattle Mariners 	.471 	61 	101 	.377 	.503 	30 	671 	811 	66-96 	.406
29 	Washington Nationals 	.462 	59 	102 	.366 	.494 	29 	641 	825 	61-100 	.376
30 	San Diego Padres 	.461 	63 	99 	.389 	.485 	27 	637 	764 	66-96 	.410


Not necessarily predictive, but possibly indicative.

It’s always fun to go in as the underdog – I’m not scared. :wink:

The Dodgers taken for the whole year are clearly the worst of the 8 teams. However, they have played so much better in the last 60 games since acquiring Manny that the chart ShibbOleth posted doesn’t seem to mean very much to me. I actually think they might be the second best NL team after the Cubs.

I want to predict the BoSox will beat the Angels, but I really don’t know that I can. The injuries are going to be a big hurdle to overcome. I’m going to Game 3 at Fenway and I really hope it’s not the last game of an Angels sweep.

Unless they are playing the Red Sox I’m rooting for Tampa in AL. They were impressive down the stretch and except for their awful stadium I like them.

In the NL I’m rooting for the Cubbies all the way. I really want the Dodgers to go down in flames for the way Manny treated the Red Sox, but I have to admit that he’s really helped that team.

Just chiming in to say the BrewCrew will beat the Phillies and there will be a Wrigley/Wrigley North matchup on the upcoming schedule.

Gallardo being the key. If he can pitch like he did last week and go an inning (or 20 pitches) deeper each game the Crew will be hard to stop. Between him and CC they make a mighty one-two punch. Forget Sheets, he can relief pitch if they can squeeze an inning or two out of him.
McClung and Parra, Suppan and Busch…you can squeeze some starting work out of those guys if needed, or long relief. Good thing for them there is a plethora of travel time during and between series.

Three days rest will be the term you hear most when referring to the Brewer’s pitching.

Batting Average:
Red Sox (3rd)
Cubs (5th)
Angels (10th)
Dodgers (14th)
White Sox (18th)
Rays (21st)
Phillies (23rd)
Brewers (25th)

**Home Runs: **
White Sox (1)
Phillies (2)
Brewers (5)
Cubs (8)
Rays (10)
Red Sox (12)
Angels (18)
Dodgers (22)

**Team Slugging: **
White Sox (2)
Red Sox (3)
Cubs (5)
Phillies (6)
Brewers (9)
Rays (13)
Angels (18)
Dodgers (23)

Stolen Bases
Rays (1)
Phillies (4)
Angels (5)
Dodgers (6)
Red Sox (7)
Brewers (11)
Cubs (15)
White Sox (25)

Runs Scored:
Cubs (2)
Red Sox (3)
White Sox (6)
Phillies (8)
Rays (13)
Angels (15)
Brewers (17)
Dodgers (24)

Runs Allowed:
Dodgers (2)
Cubs & Rays (3)
Phillies (5)
Brewers (6)
Red Sox (8)
Angels (9)
White Sox (14)

ERA:
Dodgers (2)
Rays (3)
Brewers (4)
Cubs (5)
Phillies (6)
Angels (8)
Red Sox (9)
White Sox (12)

**Opposing BA: **
Cubs (2)
Rays (3)
Red Sox (4)
Dodgers (5)
Brewers (8)
Phillies (12)
White Sox (13)
Angels (14)

Saves:
Angels (1)
Rays (2)
Phillies (4)
Red Sox (5)
Brewers (6)
Cubs (7)
Dodgers (21)
White Sox (26)

Just for poops and chuckles …

ShibbOleth’s rankings averaged out look like this:

Cubs: 5.78
Red Sox: 6.00
Rays: 7.67
Phillies: 7.78
Brewers: 10.11
Angels: 10.89
White Sox: 13.00
Dodgers: 13.22

Therefore:

American League
-Red Sox over Angels
-Rays over White Sox

-Red Sox over Rays

National League
-Cubs over Dodgers
-Phillies over Brewers

-Cubs over Brewers
And finally …

World Series
Red Sox over Cubs

…because even though the Cubs have a better average rating, they’re jinxed.

See … my original prognosis was correct all along.

:stuck_out_tongue:

(Strains to pull predictions from nether regions)

Actual predictions:

Cubs in four
Phillies in four
Red Sox in three
Rays in three

Cubs in six
Rays in seven

Cubs in seven

If I had my way:

Cubs in three
Phils/Crew: don’t really care. Five games, hopefully with the winning team sustaining multiple serious injuries.
Red Sox/Angels: meh
Rays in…oh, I’ll be generous. Four.

Cubs in four
Rays in seven

Cubs in four. Repeat next year.

The View from Vegas (sportsbook odds on winning the Series):

Cubs 3-1 (12-1 on Opening Day)
Angels 4-1
Rays 4-1 (200-1 on Opening Day! Wonder how much action that got)
Red Sox 4-1
Phillies 7-1
Dodgers 12-1
Brewers 15-1
White Sox 18-1

About an hour left before today’s first pitch is thrown, so I’ll get my predictions in:

OPENING ROUND

Red Sox are defending champs and also took ‘04 Series to bury “Curse of the Bambino”, while Angels’ only world title came seven years ago. I’ll go with Boston’s recent post-season success to continue.

Although having to play Monday and yesterday didn’t allow White Sox the luxury of setting up preferred rotation, I’ll go with experience again. Rays’ dream season ends as Chicago’s AL reps advance to LCS.

Windy City’s senior circuit representatives also move on. Cubs are the best team in the NL this year, and Dodgers’ lack of offense will be fatal.

Philadelphia-Milwaukee series will be the most interesting of the opening-round matchups. I’ll go with the Phillies, whose October record over the years is hardly stellar, but still outshines the Brew Crew’s.
LCS

Battle of Sox will be won by the “Carmines” (as Chicago broadcaster Ken “Hawk” Harrelson refers to Boston’s team) over the “Pale Hose”.

Meanwhile, the Wrigley faithful of the “Second City” get to keep singing Go Cubs Go as Lou Piniella’s squad knocks out Charlie Manuel’s Phillies.
FALL CLASSIC

It’s been 63 years since they even represented the NL in the World Series, and 100 since they won it all, but both droughts will finally end. On the North Side of Chicago, the Annus Catuli counter can finally be reset to straight zeroes as the Cubbies win the final game of 2008!

Phillies over Brewers 4 games
If the Brewers could get Sabathia to pitch every game I wouldn’t be as certain. As it is, I like the Phils chances. Good bullpen and a lot of bats.

Dodgers over Cubs 5 games
Dodgers have great pitching and Manny has been there before.

Rays over White Sox 4 games
Rays have played like a team with experience this year, and I expect them to keep it up in the playoffs.

Angels over Red Sox 5 games
Injuries will be too much for them to overcome.
Angels over Rays 7 games
Hard fought series that comes down to the last game.

Phillies over Dodgers 6 games
Phillies steal a game in LA to finish the series out in 6.
Phillies over Angels 6 Games
Of course bottom of the ninth in the 6th game Lidge gives up a homer to Joe Carter. Luckily, this time they pull it off anyway.

Brewers seem to be a little thin on starting pitching right now. Maybe CC Sabathia can start every other game?

Oh I swear to god…when I was six the Phillies made my cry with that ridiculous loss, convincing me that it’s arguably better to not get close at all than it is to watch victory slip through your fingers.

That said, the Phightin’ Phils are going to beat the crap of the Brewers (Sabathia cannot carry them against the Phillies), decimate the Cubs, and then own the Red Sox, winning their second World Series.

Then the city of Philadelphia will have the biggest damn party that the world has ever seen. I swear to god, if the Phillies win, we can go ahead and cancel every holiday for the rest of the year, because nothing in the world could possibly be better.

Well that was an exciting 9th inning.

**Congrats to Phillies as they go up 1-0. **