NFL 2006 Weekly Predictions

It used to be completely true, and thus was a longstanding truism. The caveat (he has to be touched) was either added or re-emphasized at the same time the other modern possession rules were instituted:[ul][li]A catch is defined as two feet[sup]1[/sup] down plus a “football move.”[/li][li]You must retain possession of the ball after you hit the ground, even if you fell out of bounds.[/li][li]When making a catch, part of the ball is allowed to touch the ground as long as you have firm control of it and some part of your hand is under it.[/ul]It’s when these three rules were put into effect that the “ground can’t cause a fumble” doctrine eroded.[/li]
[sup]1[/sup]“Two feet” means either two feet literally, or any body part other than your hands. (Elbow, shin, butt, shoulder, knee, etc…)

Week 5

Early Games
19 **GIANTS…4½…**3 **Redskins.**22 **45…**4½?! Hmmm. Giants and the over?
14 **COLTS…18…**13 **Titans…**27 **48…**Titans and the under.
26 **VIKINGS…6½.**17 **Lions…**43 **40…**Vikings all over this. Over.
24 **SAINTS…6½.**21 **Bucs…**45 **35…**Saints have a QB, unlike the Bucs. Over.
23 **Rams…3…**20 **PACKERS…**43 **47…**Packers for the last time. Under.
20 **PATRIOTS…9½.**10 **Dolphins.**30 **37…**Patriots should cover easily. Over.
40 **BEARS…10…**7 **Bills…**47 **34…**Billies could actually win outright. Over.
20 **PANTHERS…8…**12 **Browns…**32 **37½…**I smell an upset. Browns and the over.
Late Games
41 **JAGUARS…7…**0 **Jets…**41 **37…**Jets gaining some momentum. Over.
23 **Chiefs…3½.**20 **CARDS…**43 **39…**Can’t go against Chiefs after last week. Under.
34 **49ERS…3½.**20 **Raiders…**54 **40…**Yuck. 49ers I guess. Mortal lock on the under.
38 **EAGLES…2…**24 **Cowboys…**62 **44…**Cowboys are the better team. Over.
Night Games
23 **CHARGERS…3½.**13 **Steelers.**36 **37½…**Steelers bounce back. Under.
13 **BRONCOS…4…**3 **Ravens…**16 **33…**Ravens keep rolling. Over.

Spread Picker Picks
5 Bucs WIN
5 Cardinals WIN
4 Dolphins Loss
4 Lions Loss
4 Packers (push)
4 Panthers (push)
3 Broncos WIN
3 Raiders Loss
3 Titans WIN
2 Steelers Loss
1 Cowboys Loss
1 Giants WIN
1 Jaguars WIN

Well it’s nice to see the spread picker go 2-0 on its best bets. Just for clarification, its best bets are defined as the top 3 picks, or 4 if there is a tie for 3rd and all 4 are higher picks than all others. Any more than four and that “star level” gets removed from best bet status. So only the two 5 star picks count as best bets this week.

It’s also nice to see the spread picker at least have a winning week, though 6-5-2 isn’t much to rave about. Meanwhile, I continue to be oddly accurate picking the early games, going 9-5-2 at one o’clock, and then revert to form going 3-5 in the late games and another dismal 1-3 in the night games. Those night games are just killing me, but even still I managed to tread water with a combined 13-13-2 for the week. sigh

Early Games
Risk 30 for 25 on a 3-team tease: Saints getting 1½, Vikings getting 1½, Patriots giving 1½.
Risk 30 for 25 on a 3-team tease: Giants getting 3½, Colts giving 10, Bills getting 18.

Losing money in the early games is not a good sign, but at least it’s only -5. Got killed on the Colts and Bills; thankfully I grouped them together, minimizing the damage.

Late Games
Night tease: Risk 30 for 25 on a 3-team tease: the Jets getting 15, Steelers getting 11½, Ravens getting 12.
Risk 30 for 25 on the Bay Area Under

Ouch, absolutely slaughtered on both these bets. Not even remotely close on either of them. To add insult to injury, the “night tease” covered for both the night games, but the Jets already sunk it. Now down 65 heading into the scary night.

Sunday Night
If Night Tease lost, risk 30 for 25 on the Under.

Hot damn, I went 1-3 in the night games and managed to win money on that 1. Now that’s some fine picking. Heading into Monday night down 40.

Monday Night
If Night Tease lost, risk 30 for 25 on the Over.

Ugh, this one so never had a chance I’m wondering what the hell I was thinking. Same deal with the Bay Area Under. Oh well, can’t win 'em all. The week ends with me down 70.

Standings
This week: 13-13-2 (-70)
Season: 77-66-3, -20 (-4 per week)
Spread Picker: 19-21-2; Best Bets: 4-2

And so it begins. I held out for five weeks before going into the drink; now it’s a matter of how deep into the hole I sink by the end of the season.

Against the Spread
4-1 Bears
4-1 Eagles
4-1 Saints
4-1 Vikings

3-1 Bengals
3-1 Chargers
3-1 Falcons
3-1-1 Jaguars
3-1-1 Rams

3-2 Bills
3-2 49ers
3-2 Jets
3-2 Patriots
3-2 Ravens

2-2 Broncos
2-2-1 Browns
2-2 Bucs
2-2 Chiefs
2-2-1 Colts
2-2 Cowboys
2-2 Giants
2-2 Seahawks

2-3 Redskins
2-3 Titans

1-3-1 Packers
1-3 Steelers
1-3 Texans

1-4 Cardinals
1-4 Lions

0-4-1 Panthers
0-4 Raiders

0-5 Dolphins

Sunday, Oct. 15
Cincinnati 5½ TAMPA BAY 42
This game isn’t a no-brainer. At first glance it’s easy to pick the Bengals off a bye week with that potent offense against a scuffling Bucs squad. But after taking a step back you remember how totally inept the Bungles looked playing New England two weeks ago. More importantly Bruce Gradkowski actually looked like a football player last week, getting off to a hot start and showing some impressive athletic ability. The Bengals had struggled to stop the run and the key to the Bucs improvement last week was having an effective running game. It’s possible that will repeat itself here. Of course you can’t deny the fact that the Bucs defense is playing a step slow and that they’ve been missing too many tackles, against a rested and recovered Cincy offense that won’t get it done. I’m going to give the Bengals a little slack after starting the season with a brutal schedule, we’ll see if that Pats game was a fluke before long.

The Pick: Bengals, Over

WASHINGTON 10 Tennessee 39
The Titans looked downright scrappy last week and the Redskins couldn’t do anything. There’s some talent on the Tennessee defense, it’s easy to forget that when they are losing, but the Indy game showed that with a couple breaks they can play with anyone. I think the Redskins are going to improve steadily over the course of the season and they probably have too much talent to lose this game at home. The Giants loss makes you wonder about Saunders offense and Brunell, but Portis alone will get them the W here. Still, I’m going to bet the Titans cover that double digit spread for the second week in a row.

The Pick: Titans, Under

DALLAS 13 Houston 43
Crap, it’s looking like another one of those weeks where I load up on too many road teams. Hrrrmph. The Cowboys are a sloppy team. They may or may not be distracted but they are certainly playing beneath their ability. Dropping passes, poor blocking, poor tackling, bad play calling. Top to bottom they are looking bad. They have gotten their wins in spite of themselves. Still, they ARE a very talented team. The Texans are about the exact opposite. They aren’t very talented. They don’t have a running back and they don’t have much of a defensive secondary, however they’ve had moment where they’ve played well. Carr has developed into a very efficient QB and they have been well prepared week after week. If the Texans can get to Bledsoe, Mario Williams I’m looking at you, they’ve got a real chance to win this game. If they don’t you can bet that Drew, TO and Glenn will get real healthy against the secondary. I’m not sure Houston can do enough to disrupt him.

The Pick: Cowboys, Over

DETROIT PK Buffalo 39
Seems like every week there’s a game that I really go back and forth on. This is the one this week. On one hand the Lions defense played exceptionally well last week and for 3 quarters Kitna was dealing, and that was against a solid Minnesota team playing at home. The Bills of course got spanked by the Bears but I’m going to throw that out on the basis that they don’t even play the same game as everyone else. A more important note is that they actually beat the Vikes two weeks ago. The Billies strength is they running game and it does right into the teeth of the Lions strength, defensively the Bills are young but playing well and for all their flaws the Lions do have talented WRs to keep them honest. Both teams are banged up at key positions but it looks like the Lions losses are a little more crucial. The Lions secondary is utterly awful but Losman still isn’t the kind of QB who you can rely on to exploit that. The game’s a total crapshoot.

The Pick: Bills, Under

Seattle 3 ST. LOUIS 44½
This one is just a gut call. The Rams are going to dominate this game. There’s not much evidence to support it. The Seahawks had a bye week and they match up well against the Rams offensively. It’s easy to see this game being back and forth, but I think the Seahawks are going to struggle a little in the dome. They’ll still be without Alexander and forcing too many passes on first and second down. Bulger has been close to perfect all season and the Seattle defense hasn’t been able to muster enough of a rush to expect that to change this week. Like I said, it’s mostly instincts here, but I’m taking the Rams big.

The Pick: Rams, Under

ATLANTA 3 N.Y. Giants 42
The Giants are paper tigers. Some of their impressive wins aren’t that impressive when you look at what the competition has been doing. That Eagles game was a fluke. The Giants will make the playoffs off wins over Dallas and Washington who are badly over rated. They’ll beat other flimsy teams but against anyone good they are screwed. Atlanta is a good team. The Giants vaunted D line hasn’t shown up this season and won’t do much to make Vick uncomfortable and you need elite linebackers to contain him. The Falcons running attack will exploit the same shortcomings. Everything about this matchup plays to Atlanta’s strengths and Eli will have a hell of a pass rush to cope with. Looks like a blow out to me.

The Pick: Falcons, Under

Philadelphia 3 NEW ORLEANS 45½
We get to see if the Saints homefield energy can boost them over another good team. All season long I’ve pointed out how good the Saints players are so I’m not surprised by how they have played. I’m not waiting for the other shoe to drop like just about every other “expert” out there. They won that game against Atlanta on talent, not just emotion. Emotion helped make it a blowout though. Could be more of the same this week but McNabb has been playing so well I think they’ll get theirs this week. I’m betting this game will be a shootout. I like the way the Saints are using Bush and Deuce who is quietly having a huge start. Westbrook is dinged up and Stallworth will probably not play. The loss of those playmakers has me leaning towards the Saints extending the feel-good story.

The Pick: Saints, Over

BALTIMORE 3 Carolina 33½
McNair looked pretty bad again last week, I really didn’t think he’d struggle so much. Few people attributed the fall of the Titans to McNair over the past couple seasons but I’m starting to think he was more to blame than originally thought. Carolina isn’t fairing much better and they lost Dan Morgan and DeAngelo Williams for this game. This game more than any other on the slate will be influenced by homefield advantage. The Ravens need to get back on track and had a short week to prepare but I just don’t think Steve Smith will be able to do enough by himself against this defense. Betting on McNair scares the crap out of me, and I’ll be taking the under for that reason, but the Panters just have too many holes to expect a big road victory against a good team.

The Pick: Ravens, Under

N.Y. JETS 2½ Miami 36½
This one is an easy pick. As crappy as the Jets are they aren’t nearly as out of sorts as the Dolphins. You will never catch me betting on Joey Harrington in his first start on the road. As far as rules to live by go, that one’s about as important as any. Pennington should be able to manage the game against a pretty ineffective Dolphins defense, especially at home. It’s even supposed to be on the cold side, always trouble for the Dolphins. If it’s wet and rainy I might switch up though, something tells me that wind and rain would throw Chaz off his game and put Ronnie Brown in a position to dominate the game. Forecast says a 20% chance.

The Pick: Jets, Under

San Diego 10 SAN FRANCISCO 42½
The Chargers are rolling right now. Riding high after the primetime win last week and that defense is playing insanely well. I’ve been pimping the Niners as a team on the rise so far this season and they have looked better than expected against beatable teams. They aren’t yet ready to hang close versus a loaded squad. There’s always the risk of Marty-ball under cutting a big spread like this but I’ll take my chances that LDT and Burner manage a few garbage time scores.

The Pick: Chargers, Under

PITTSBURGH 7 Kansas City 36½
The Steelers don’t deserve to be a TD fave over anyone, regardless of where the game is played. LJ is expected to be fine coming off that ugly facemask last week and both Joey Porter and Deshea Townsend are nursing hamstring injuries. Those losses cannot be discounted against a team with a great RB and TE. Big Ben has just crushed my fantasy team this season and still has a negative value on the season. I’m in the same boat with everyone else in assuming they’ll eventually get him turned around, but I don’t think it’ll be all at once. Even if the Steelers can win this game it’s unlikely to be by two scores. Willie Parker continues to prove me wrong but they still struggle in the redzone. FGs don’t make a TD fave.

The Pick: Chiefs, Under

DENVER 15 Oakland 36
Yeah. I’ll give those points again. This team is just a joke and there’s no way Moss gives any effort at all. LaMont Jordan is sleepwalking and now they have to go on the road, to altitude, and try and play against a rabid Broncos crowd? Easy as pie. Lets not forget how much Shanahan will enjoy piling on Al Davis too. This will be a huge blowout.

The Pick: Broncos, Over

Monday, Oct. 16
Chicago 10 ARIZONA 38
Da Bears!!! Damn this season has been fun. I almost pity Leinart having to face this defense in only his second start minus Larry Fitz. Grossman will probably go for 300 yards this week against the Cards secondary and I have a feeling the MNF spotlight will motivate these guys to really play big this week. There’s a let down game along the way somewhere but they have a tough stretch of road games on the horizon so this game should be a excellent opportunity to fine tune their system and build confidence. The real question is going to be how banged up the Cards get before their big match-up with the Raiders next week!

The Pick: Bears, Over

Last week I posted a 9-5 mark ATS and a 8-6 mark versus the O/U. Solid but not the spectacular week I was expecting when I made them. My pick 'em league was dominant, like about everyone else’s, but some of those big spreads bit me. Gaining a 4-1 mark on my OMNI picks is terrific.

On the season I’m 41-31-1 ATS, 41-31-1 O/U and 14-11 on my OMNI picks. 10 games over .500 for both versus the spread and over/under is pretty damn good at this point in the season. Not legendary by any stretch but better than all the experts on Sportsline and in the neighborhood of some of the other sites experts picking straight up.

OMNI Picks for the week: Bears, Falcons, Chargers, Broncos and Jets.

There is no such thing as a push on an over/under. As I said upthread, 41 is neither over nor under 41.

I’m the one keeping score, I get to make the rules!!!

I don’t think this is a universal rule. My real-life bookie considers an exact hit on the O/U to be a push, and my on-line sportsbook (at least, until yesterday, when it was effectively shut down to me :rolleyes: ) would push an O/U tie. In such cases, the bet is returned (no action/no vig), and if part of a parlay, it would revert. That is, a 4-bet parlay with a push (either spread or O/U) reverts to a 3-bet parlay. It doesn’t kill the entire bet.

I stand corrected. I know I wouldn’t allow pushes on an O/U if I were a bookie, but as long as somebody somewhere does, it’s fair game.

I’m heading out for the day, but will post my picks later tonight.

Week 6 Picks

1:00pm…**Bengals…5½…BUCS…42…**Bengals should cover this, right? Over.
1:00pm…**REDSKINS…10…Titans…39…**Titans cover the points. Under.
1:00pm…**COWBOYS…13…Texans…43…**Cowboys get revenge for 2002. Over.
1:00pm…**LIONS…PK…Bills…39…**Bills pissed about last week. Under.
1:00pm…**Seahawks…3…RAMS…44½…**Home dog Rams to cover. Under.
1:00pm…**FALCONS…3…Giants…42…**Giants good against the run. Over.
1:00pm…**Eagles…3…SAINTS…45½…**Home dog Saints to cover. Way over.
1:00pm…**RAVENS…3…Panthers…33½…**Panthers and the over.

4:15pm…**JETS…2½…Dolphins…36½…**Jets by a mile. Under.
4:15pm…**Chargers…10…49ERS…42½…**Chargers would cover 20. Under.
4:15pm…**STEELERS…7…Chiefs…36½…**Until Ben gets his groove back, Chiefs and the under.

8:15pm…**BRONCOS…15…Raiders…36…**Broncos at home. Under.
8:30pm…**Bears…10…CARDS…38…**Bears by 50. Over.

Spread Picker Picks
6 Cards
6 Dolphins
5 Panthers
4 Lions
4 Raiders
2 Bucs
2 Giants
2 Seahawks
2 Steelers
2 Texans
1 49ers

Holy crap I hate the spread picker best bets. Dolphins against the Jets? Cards against the Bears?! Yuck. The Panthers look decent against the Ravens at least.

Early Games
Risk 30 for 125 on the Giants, Panthers, and Eagles / Saints Over

Late Games
Risk 55 for 50 on a 3-team tease: Jets getting 5½, Chargers giving 2, Steelers getting 1
Night tease: risk 55 for 50 on Chargers giving 2, Broncos giving 7, Bears giving 2.

Sunday Night
If night tease lost, risk 30 for 25 on the Under

Monday Night
Risk 30 for 60 on the Bears & the Over

I’ll score my bets last week later, I’ll just put down 2 this week.

70 on seahawks -3 vs rams
30 on chi/ari over 38

Man, what a tough week. Lots or terrible teams elevated their game and bit me in the ass. Oakland only giving up 13 points on the road? Tampa holding the Bengals to 13 points? Pittsburgh getting real healthy at home? Lets hope the Cards don’t get in on the act.

Choke Of Ages.

Second Biggest Choke of the Week: I went into Monday Night up a single point in the SDMB fantasy league… I had Desmond Clark against Grossman and Berrian.

Let’s just say that if you were betting on me winning by ten points, you’d have made a killing. Six turnovers for Grossman, big ouch.

Sucks for Rackers, after having such a great year last year, he’s blown it two weeks in a row now. That was a great game to pick up after Studio 60 was over, tons of fun in the last hour or so.

Thank God for Brian Urlacher!

Oh, and both conference races are officially wide open, now. We have Indy who has shown little to no running game or running defense. We have San Diego who everyone is lining up to fellate - as they conveniently ignore who they’ve played (a loss to a Ravens team that has been mostly beatable, a win against a Pitt team that was decidedly below average at the time, and three big wins against doormats). We have the Patriots, who have shown flashes but have some obvious potential weaknesses and laid an egg against Denver. We have Denver, that has been far less than impressive with their ~13 points per game. Cinci was the it thing a few weeks ago, now they aren’t even in the conversation. The Jags are a mystery wrapped in an enigma wrapped in whichever version of the team decides to show up on a given week. The NFC East and South are both positively inscrutable. The Seahawks… again, less than impressive at times, and now Alexander is out at least two more weeks. And now the odds-on favorite for the whole thing just had its defense in Arizona and its offense in Chicago for a prime-time road game - actually, the offense being in Chicago would have been an improvement, because they wouldn’t have turned it over six times and it’s not like they contributed any points. But they’re still undefeated.

So if anyone thinks they can make a credible Super Bowl prediction at this point, you’re crazy.

(Also, props to Hester, because if he doesn’t return that kick for a TD, there’s no way the offense drives 60+ yards.)

The NFL is always a crapshoot to predict at this point of the season. As crappy as the Bears looked, you can spin it a different way and call them a team of destiny.

I can say one thing with confidence, the Bears were believing their own press. I said it a few weeks back that they have a tendency to get a little too pleased with themselves and it appeared to manifest itself here on Monday Night. All the pregame revolved around how great they were and was interspersed with clips of '85. Things had been coming far too easy for them.

Frankly I’m glad they got checked here. They’ll have some things to think long and hard about when they break out this game film.


We learned that a spread offense can slow down this defense and putting the QB in the shot gun is a smart idea.

We learned that Denny Green is still a terrible in-game coach for not sticking with what worked in the first quarter and playing Marty-ball for 3 quarters.

We learned that the Cards defense is pretty damn good.

We learned that Neil Rackers intends to carry on the proud legacy of Illini football.

We learned Matt Leinart is no bullshit and will be a fantastic NFL QB.

We learned that Oakland is monumentally stupid for passing on him in favor of Aaron Brooks.

We learned that the Cardinals have the Bears number between this game and the preseason match-up where they whipped us.

We learned Rex Grossman is still effectively a rookie and that big pressure games cause him to get too pumped up and erratic in his throws.

We learned that stud WRs still give this defense trouble and if Denny Green had kept going to him Boldin could have had Steve Smith-like numbers.


I was debating going out and watching the game at a bar with friends, and decided I was too lazy to brave the rain tonight. As I watched the first 3 quarters I was feeling really happy with my decision. That final 10 minutes on the otherhand made me wish I’d have been someplace crowded and drunk. I’m sure my neighbors wished I was elsewhere too. I think this game would have been almost as rowdy as the Illini-Arizona game from a couple years back.

Week 6

Early Games
13 **Bengals…5½.**14 **BUCS…**27 **42…**Bengals should cover this, right? Over.
22 **REDSKINS…10…**25 **Titans…**47 **39…**Titans cover the points. Under.
34 **COWBOYS…13…**6 **Texans…**40 **43…**Cowboys get revenge for 2002. Over.
20 **LIONS…PK…**17 **Bills…**37 **39…**Bills pissed about last week. Under.
30 **Seahawks…3…**28 **RAMS…**58 **44½…**Home dog Rams to cover. Under.
14 **FALCONS…3…**27 **Giants…**41 **42…**Giants good against the run. Over.
24 **Eagles…3…**27 **SAINTS…**51 **45½…**Home dog Saints to cover. Way over.
21 **RAVENS…3…**23 **Panthers.**44 **33½…**Panthers and the over.
Late Games
20 **JETS…2½.**17 **Dolphins.**37 **36½…**Jets by a mile. Under.
48 **Chargers…10…**19 **49ERS…**67 **42½…**Chargers would cover 20. Under.
45 **STEELERS…7…**7 **Chiefs…**52 **36½…**Until Ben gets his groove back, Chiefs and the under.
Night Games
13 **BRONCOS…15…**3 **Raiders…**16 **36…**Broncos at home. Under.
24 **Bears…10…**23 **CARDS…**47 **38…**Bears by 50. Over.

Spread Picker Picks
6 Cards WIN
6 Dolphins Loss
5 Panthers WIN
4 Lions WIN
4 Raiders WIN
2 Bucs WIN
2 Giants WIN
2 Seahawks Loss
2 Steelers WIN
2 Texans Loss
1 49ers Loss

The spread picker is starting to catch its groove, posting a solid 7-4 record this week with a nice 2-1 showing on best bets. I, on the other hand, went a passable 9-7 in the early games, a dismal 2-4 in the afternoon, and a middling 2-2 in the night games, for a total of 13-13 on the week. That generally bodes ill for my action, but luckily this week I focused on games where my picks agreed with the spread picker, so it might not be so bad…

Early Games
Risk 30 for 125 on the Giants, Panthers, and Eagles / Saints Over

Holy shit, I hit a 3-team parlay! That’s a nice +125 to start the week.

Late Games
Risk 55 for 50 on a 3-team tease: Jets getting 5½, Chargers giving 2, Steelers getting 1

This one was never in any doubt by any of the three teams. Hell, the extra 8 points weren’t even needed, as all three covered straight up. At least I manned up and made it a real amount, so the additional +50 brings the total up to +175. Also, the Chargers easily covered to keep the night tease alive.

Sunday Night

Not only did the Broncos fail to cover, but they didn’t even score as many points as they were favored by. That’s just pathetic. Luckily, they came close enough to cover a tease, so the night tease is still alive going into Monday night.

Monday Night
Night tease: risk 55 for 50 on Chargers giving 2, Broncos giving 7, Bears giving 2.
Risk 30 for 60 on the Bears & the Over

Fucking Bears killed me. They couldn’t even cover a tease on a spread that was too low to begin with. Oh well, whaddya gonna do? The -85 would normally be bad here, but since I was already up +175, my net for the week is +90. Considering that I went 13-13 for the second straight week, and went -70 on that 13-13 last week, +90 is an excellent showing.

Standings
This week: 13-13 (+90)
Season: 90-79-3, +70 (+11.67 per week)
Spread Picker: 26-25-2; Best Bets: 6-3

It took until week 6, but the spread picker has finally climbed above .500, and its best bets are looking pretty solid. (Except that one week where I parlayed them, of course.)

Against the Spread
5-1 Saints

4-1 Chargers
4-1-1 Rams
4-1 Vikings

4-2 Bears
4-2 Eagles
3-1-1 Jaguars
4-2 Jets

3-2 Bengals
3-2 Bucs
3-2 Cowboys
3-2 Falcons
3-2 Giants
3-2 Patriots

3-3 Bills
2-2-1 Browns
2-2-1 Colts
3-3 49ers
3-3 Ravens
3-3 Titans

2-3 Broncos
2-3 Chiefs
2-3 Seahawks
2-3 Steelers

2-4 Cardinals
2-4 Lions
1-3-1 Packers
2-4 Redskins

1-4-1 Panthers
1-4 Raiders
1-4 Texans

0-6 Dolphins

From Green’s press conference (warning, language):

One point. All I needed was one point, and he got me -6.08. I still can’t believe I lost this week.