It’s week seven and the NFC East is the top division in the NFC conference. In other news, dogs and cats are now living together in harmony. Meanwhile, Rodgers and Brady look old, the Packers have their first back-to-back losses under Matt LaFleur’s tenure, and the drama continues with Goodell and the owners.
Here’s the slate, with current line, O/U, and 538’s QB-adjusted Elo forecast.
Thursday Night Football
Saints at Cardinals (-1.5, 45, Cards 60%)
Sunday
Early
Browns at Ravens (-6.5, 46, Ravens 78%)
Buccaneers at Panthers (+10.5, 40.5, Bucs 77%)
Falcons at Bengals (-6, 47.5, Bengals 75%)
Lions at Cowboys (-7, 48, Cowboys 77%)
Giants at Jaguars (-3, 42.5, Giants 51%)
Colts at Titans (-3, 42.5, Titans 62%)
Packers at Commanders (+5, 41.5, Packers 58%)
Jets at Broncos (-3, 42.5, Broncos 58%)
Late
Texans at Raiders (-7, 45.5, Raiders 73%)
Seahawks at Chargers (-7, 52.5, Chargers 70%)
Chiefs at 49ers (+3, 48, Chiefs 51%)
Sunday Night Football
Steelers at Dolphins (-7, 44, Dolphins 70%)
Monday Night Football
Bears at Patriots (-4.5, 45.5, Pats 76%)
On paper, the Chiefs/49ers game looks like the one to watch. I will watch the Lions with little hope. The Sunday night has a certain train-wreck appeal with the return of Tua and what I’m sure is a 100% recovered brain (everyone continues to insist that his original injury was strictly back related).
If you can’t decide what to watch, 538’s ratings say the Chiefs/49ers and Colts/Titans will be highest quality, and Colts/Titans and Jets/Broncos are the most important. If you’re looking for the bottom of the barrel, the Texans/Raiders have you covered in both categories.