NFL Discussion, week 4

In My Humble Opinion
1

What happened to our weekly NFL discussion threads? I can’t search for “nfl” but football related term searches have come up empty so I don’t think there’ve been any.

Omni used to make these with comments every game like this old thread, but I won’t this week because I’ve managed to partially break my keyboard.

But I’d like to have the thread for general NFL discussion for this week.

If Omni wants to do his old thing, that’d be great. If not I’ll start making these threads - and earlier in the week.

Bodog lines. Home team capitalized. Favorites, spread, dog, over/under.

MIAMI 4 oakland 41

Oakland runs well enough against Miami’s surprisingly crappy defense to squeeze by. Oakland, under.

Houston 3 ATLANTA 40

Houston is off to a good start. Receiver injury will keep the score down. Houston, under.

Baltimore 4.5 CLEVELAND 40.5

Baltimore isn’t that good, having barely won their last 2 games against bad teams who had their backup quarterback in. Cleveland, over.

Chicago 3 DETROIT 45

Chicago’s defense isn’t that hot against the pass. The lions only pass. Detroit, over.

Green Bay 3 MINNESOTA 38

I know the Kelly Holcomb experience. I’m almost reliving it with Derrick Anderson. Beautiful pass followed up by “why did he just throw to that linebacker’s hands with no receiving nearby?” - Green Bay, under.

DALLAS 13.5 St. Louis 47

St. Lous is beat up and their best offensive weapon is out. Dallas’ offense has been dominant. I generally hate to pick teams to cover 10+ point spreads, but Dallas, under.

NYJ (away) 3.5 BUFFALO 37.5

Who knows where to go with games like this? Marshawn Lynch shines. Buffalo, under.

CAROLINA 3 Tampa Bay 39.5

David Carr might perform adequately, but TB’s defense has decided to stop the suck lately. Tampa Bay, under.
Seattle 2.5 SAN FRANCISCO 41

Lots of rushing, but still plenty of scoring. I like San Fran at home. Over.

Pittsburgh 6.5 ARIZONA 42

The yinzers have been unstoppable, and NFC teams aren’t going to start. Pittsburgh, over.

SAN DIEGO 12 Kansas City 38.5

Tough one. Will San Diego’s offense see this as a chance to rebound? LT run wild? Hard to say. KC, over.

INDIANAPOLIS 10 Denver 46

Indy owns Denver, especially in Indy. Good pass defense and bad run defense all around in this game leads to low scores. Indy, under.

Philadelphia 3 NYG (home) 47.5

Shootout. Philly isn’t as good as they were last week, but not as bad as they were the previous weeks. Better than the Giants, certainly. Philly, over.

New England 7.5 CINCINATTI 54

This will be a fun one to watch, but Cinci is only offense whereas New England has balance. New England, over.

2

My spread pickinghas sucked on ice lately so I’ll just comment in teh win lose variety. Oh and as far as I know this is the first thread of this type this season, I asked about it in another thread last week. There are a ton of us in the Pick 'em league but no trash talking, let’s hope this thread changes that.

MIAMI V Oakland

Don’t let Oakland fool you, they’ve played a better than their one win would suggest. If they follow true to form they’ll beat Miami, who is as bad as their record suggest, by 2.

Houston v ATLANTA

Speaking of that thread last week, Atlanta had the best chance of going 0-16.

Baltimore v CLEVELAND

I’m taking Baltimore. I haven’t seen the Ravens play yet this year but nothing about Cleveland makes me want to pick them either.

Chicago v. DETROIT

I think Chicago’s defense can more than keep them in the game and with the switch at QB, I say Bears.

Green Bay v. MINNESOTA

If you had asked me before the season started I’d have said Green Bay would be in the bottom third of the league. Favre and Co.

DALLAS v. St. Louis

I’m surprised to see the Rams struggle so badly this year. Dallas all the way (man I nearly trew up writing that)!

NY Green v. BUFFALO

When both teams suck take the home team. Bills.

CAROLINA v. Tampa Bay

I like both teams and would love to see this game but since I’ll be getting the Niners locally, oh well. I just like the energy Garcia brings to the field. I’m taking Tampa to upset.

Seatlle v. SAN FRANCISCO

The Niners proved last year they had the Hawks number. I like the 49ers at home. I hoe to se some big plays out of Darryl Jackson facing the Seahawks for the first time as a Niner.

Pittsburgh v. ARIZONA

Pittsburgh in a run a way.

Kansas City v SAN DIEGO

At the beginning to the season I’d have predicted this as a cakewalk for the Chargers. I’m still picking them but if thjey struggle I suspect Nurv Turner may be looking for a job.

Denver v. INDIANAPOLIS

I see no reason not to take the Colts.

Philly v. NY BLUE

3

oops…

I’m not sure how I evn posted that but finishing up…

Despite last week, I just don’t see Philly as a good team this year, besides that was the Lions. Don’t get me wrong, the Giants aren’t looking to good either. When both teams suck take the home team. Giants.
New England v. CINCINATTI

Pats.

4

I’m sure anyone in the leagues will see my picks tomorrow, but here’s my opinion on the lines:

First, what’s with all the home dogs?

Taking Green Bay and giving the points. 1.5 is a tiny spread which Green Bay should be able to cover. Minnesota’s got a good defense and that’s about it, while GB looks great on both sides of the ball.

Taking Houston. Atlanta has to win sometime, but I don’t see it this week. (They better not win this week, I’ve got Houston in the survival league.)

Taking the points with Buffalo. That 3.5 point spread makes it tempting, even with as bad as the Bills have been.

Baltimore over Cleveland. No brainer.

Dallas. Ditto.

Chicago. Detroit isn’t that good, Rex is finally out, and the Chicago D may be banged up but they’ll be fine if they get to stay off the field for a while.

Oakland. They’ve been playing better than Miami and it’s a 4 point spread. They ought to be able to win it outright or at least keep it to a field goal.

Seattle. Niners aren’t great, then again, neither are the Seahawks. Mostly taking Seattle due to the 2 point spread.

Carolina. They’ve looked better than Tampa, in my opinion. I had hoped it would stay as a pick-em.

Pittsburgh. The Arizona coaching staff may have inside info, but it might be obsolete. The 6-point spread is nice.

Kansas City. Yeah, the Chiefs are bad. Really bad. But it’s still a divisional game and the Chargers haven’t been playing well. Big spread too at 11.5. I don’t think the Chiefs are going to be blown out that badly.

Denver. I hate to say it, but the Broncos have been looking bad this year. And there had been this rock-paper-scissors thing going on with the Patriots, the Broncos, and the Colts, with the Colts always beating the Broncos. But I think they have the secondary to finally slow down Wayne. So then it’s a question of whether or not the safeties (who are better at run defense than pass coverage) can make plays in the middle of the field. And, of course, if the defense can finally stop the run. The Broncos will probably lose, but I think it’ll be closer than 9.5.

Philly. Another divisional game but the Eagles are the better team, even with that ugly 1-2 record. They have to win this week to have any shot at playing in the postseason.

Patriots. No brainer.

5

No brainer indeed.

Most overrated team in football… their run defense might get them 8 wins this year.

6

Of the first 12 games of the week, which are winding down now, we are looking at 8 upsets.

Week 1: 4/16
Week 2: 7/16
Week 3: 5/16
Week 4: 8/12 (so far, 2 games not started yet)

I’m not sure what this means, though.

7

How bout them Cowboys? :smiley:

And my other team, The Saints, had a week off. Thank goodness. :eek:

8

Romo is on fire. :smiley:

9

Romo is burning?

10

It means the public is backing the wrong team.

11

Yep. Of course, it didn’t hurt that the St. Louis defense pretty much gave up on him. They had TWO defenders right on him on that flubbed snap that ended up 30 yards behind the line of scrimmage, and they made a half-assed attempt to get him that made it look like each guy thought the other one was going to do the actual tackling. And the entire defense phoned it in the rest of the game. Jim Haslett (Rams defense coach) had to be furious.

In other news, da Bears finally got what they wanted this week with Griese. I can see the stats aren’t great (3 ints), but how’d he do overall?

12

I don’t think so!

Go Cards!

13

What the hell happened to San Diego?

They’ve gone from 14-2 to a joke in the span of an offseason.

Is their current coaching staff that bad? Was the old one that good?

14

Stay tuned. Next week I make my picks by throwing darts while blind folded.

15

Norv Turner sucks as a head coach.

16

Maybe LT should take play some downs
in the pre-season next year.