At this point, I more worried about what Trump might do if he meets with Kim. He’s shown how easy he is to manipulate.
Kim: “Obama was afraid of me. So were Bush and Clinton. That’s why they all needed to keep American troops in South Korea. Are you a pussy like them?”
Trump: “Hell, no, I’m not scared of you.”
Kim: “Prove it. Pull all American troops out of Korea.”
Trump: “Well… I would… but the people who briefed me said I shouldn’t…”
Kim: “Cluck, cluck, cluck. Are you a man or a tiny-handed little chicken.”
Trump: “I’ll show you who’s chicken! I’ll pull all my troops out of Korea - and Japan too!”
Trump: “Didn’t think I’d do it, did you?”
Kim: “Yeah, I owe Xi fifty yuan.”
Why not? The armistice was worked out via the United Nations. A final treaty could be negotiated by the same means. The two Koreas could work out a deal between them and the UN would sanction it. The United States could be easily bypassed.
As for the American troops in South Korea, they could also be handled separately. If we did, for some reason, decide to withdraw our troops, we’re free to do so. The UN resolution gives America the authority to station troops in South Korea but it doesn’t require us to do it.
And if a treaty was signed and the Korean War is officially over, we can keep troops there is the South Koreans wish us to. They’re a sovereign nation and they can ask other countries to station troops in their country just like Japan or Great Britain or Canada can.
Given Iran, Kim is not about to give up nukes based on any promise Trump makes.
What he really wants is to be treated as a real leader. Previous policy was not to meet with Kim until there were some major concessions. This kind of stuff it too deep for Trump to understand.
There are also the South Koreans who have figured out how to play Trump by appealing to his ego.
All signs indicate that Kim would be an idiot to bargain with him.
Maybe he thinks the hostages count, or China gave him a military parade - who knows with this guy?
I think the entire world is in on that little secret. The question is who has the stomach to kiss his ass. Objectively I can see that some people would find it amusing to manipulate him so easily. I wouldn’t want to do it myself.
Yeah, I think this is the best explanation. “Hey, wait for me!!”
Even so, I’ll believe this “summit” is happening when it is actually happening. I think odds favor it, but not overwhelmingly. And as much as I accept Realpolitik as often being a necessity, I have real reservations about photo ops with Kim shaking hands with any leader in the West (or the free East). Kim is not just a dictator. The guy is a monster, from a family of monsters.
Seth Rogen was telling about making his movie The Interview, a dark comedy about two bumbling journalists who get access to Kim Jong-un.
The script had originally been written about Kim Jong-il. But then he died and his son took power. Rogen said that they decided to suspend working on getting the movie made because they didn’t think it would be fair to target Kim Jong-un who had just taken power. For all they knew, he might turn out to be a reformer who would undo the policies of his father and grandfather.
Then there were news reports of Kim Jong-un having his own uncle executed by a pack of dogs. And Rogen said that was the green light to get back to work on the movie.