Trump is now slight favorite in the betting market.
I don’t feel like she’s been overconfident; I don’t think she underestimated. She never suggested she had it in the bag.
I think if she goes down it will be pollsters who underestimated. They underestimated the extent to which people would vote based on their primal instincts, but were so embarrassed by their primal instincts they weren’t prepared to admit it even to a pollster.
The thing about Michigan is that Wayne county(Detroit) is large,overwhelmingly Dem, and overwhelmingly unorganized.
I think Silver won the election, even if Clinton pulls it out.
And wow this is close.
And the entire world (or at least the Northern Hemisphere) will suffer the fallout from that reality show.
NYT has trump at 51%
edit 59% chance of winning
Illinois is being called for Clinton. If this election turns out worst case, it wasn’t Illinois’ fault. (note to rest of country: You guys are off your rockers!)
Michigan seems like a dream to me now
The way I see it, the same voters who got Obama into office and kept him there are the same ones who could do it for Hillary. But - enough of them don’t like Hillary to the extent they absolutely won’t put in a vote for her. They really have made sure Trump wins by splitting their votes out to Johnson and Stein, and the ones I’ve spoken with are fine with it. Making their point is more important even though Bernie told them not to.
What are the Republican excuses going to be four years from now after the economy has tanked, unemployment has skyrocketed, the UN declares us a pariah state and Putin has an office in the white house?
This is sickening to watch. The triumph of hatred.
The only thing that makes sense to me is the terrifying notion that there are a LOT of people in this country who have no problem with his behavior – hell, many of them probably wish they could get away with acting the same way. If that’s true, then I’m honestly not sure where that leaves us – it’s sure as fuck nowhere good.
America, what is wrong with you
Don’t ask me; I voted for the other person.
I think she’ll pull it out in VA, but FL and NC are lost. I’m not feeling great about PA, and am terrified about MI.
I can’t believe it either. The man bragged about sexually assaulting women. He even tried to turn it into a campaign slogan.
I just woke up. Trump might win?
Ohio had always had the reputation of being progressive. How the hell is Trump winning there.
Is this how Brits felt with Brexit?
AR15.com is down, probably swamped by people refreshing the election thread, so I’m back. I think you guys are crying in your oatmeal a little early still, but certainly Wang seems to have been very wrong here.
Even if Clinton wins at this point, this is a profoundly sad outcome.