Ireland is expected to get at least a storm-force wind lashing. This is so rare that America’s National Hurricane Center’s Atlantic projection maps amusingly cut off in eastern England, which luckily is not expected to get hit hard.
There’s a chance it could still be a hurricane when it hits Ireland which couldn’t be good. But I’m wondering if Ireland and Scotland could still receive a lot of damage if they get hit with a powerful near-hurricane.
Earlier in the week I was looking at the forecast cone and noticed Ophelia may impact the Azores, which it is/has. Even if it technically may not be a hurricane when it hits Ireland, there can still be significant rain/wind/surge
This weekend is also the 30th anniversary of the hurricane-that-wasn’t Great Storm across the south of England. Thousands of trees down, power cuts and some dramatic (for us) sights of huge trucks being blown over, roofs ripped off and so forth. I’ve just been watching a segment in the BBC’s Countryfile programme about the effects on old-established woods and forests. Power cuts stopped many or most train services for a few days and fallen trees blocked some lines for even longer. Here’s hoping it isn’t as rough for Ireland.
It’s in the “Tropical Force Wind possibilities” tab which, since the purple covers most of Ireland, it’s projected that they have a greater than 90% chance of receiving a tropical-storm-force storm. But the right side is suddenly cut off rather than making a deformed-cone shape, so one can’t be sure what the chances of a storm are in east England, not that it matters too much unless it keeps up its speed and veers to the east because the probabilities can’t be that high.
The forecasts here are that it will move across Ireland and up the west coast of Scotland. Schools are closed across Ireland, most plane and ferry schedules suspended and people generally advised to stay at home.
Unfairly, perhaps, London and the south-east of England are enjoying a warm and peaceful sunny day today, up to 21C </smug>.
While the South-West (Bristol at least) has had a strange blustery yellow sky all morning, apparently caused by Saharan dust being blown up to us. I wouldn’t normally post about the weather (despite being British) but this does quite resemble the ‘radiation storm’ effect in Fallout 4.
Well, I guess it must be either the computer monitors we’re using or we’re in parallel universes, because all nine of the current NHC graphics charts (including the overall storm track link which I posted) show all of the British Isles.
The NHC site is no longer showing its typical full complement of cyclone-related reports, graphics and discussion (which is what usually happens when a storm becomes extratropical or dissipates). Or maybe they’re deliberately dissing the Brits.
Hope our Doper friends out that way make it through the storm OK.
For one thing, if those areas don’t normally get those windspeeds buildings and other structures may not be engineered to withstand them.
For another, a lot of trees will fall down, as will other tall, pole-like structures.
Sure it could.
Yes, I know the post has been banned but for those thinking along similar lines - this will be hours and hours of high winds, blown debris, and the like in addition to lots of water. It sure could cause extensive damage.
I’m wondering about the effects of geography. The eastern coast of Ireland, like the eastern coast of the US, mostly slopes up gradually from the sea, but the western coast of Ireland is mostly high, rocky cliffs plunging down into the sea, with at most a narrow strip of beach at the bottom. Might this decrease the impact slightly? On the other hand, the mouth of the Shannon might channel winds and make things locally even worse.
That was my thought too, but looking at the forecast it appears the east and west might be spared high waves but not the south which will be looking at 20-foot high waves. That could be bad if they don’t have a high beach but I don’t know what they do have.
If anyone’s interested, this is the BBC Weather page for central Edinburgh (where I am, on the east coast of Scotland). The black windspeed dots are the ones to watch. We quite often get black dots indicating gusts over 40 mph but upper 40s and into the 50s are much rarer. As you see, the wind’s due here this evening and right through the night.
Over on the west, the speeds are greater; this is the Stranraer page, down in the SW, just across from Northern Ireland.
There’s a box on the page for entering place names or postcodes and it covers the whole UK, and at least some places in Eire.