I get the feeling that **Florida **will go to McCain. Obama’s got a lot of supporters and volunteers busting their butts out there…but I know just as many people voting for McCain as I do Obama.
It’ll be tight.
I predict that if Utah goes for Obama, then Obama will carry every state.
Yowza. Can you imagine if the Republicans found it necessary to spend ad campaign money to fend off the possibility of losing Utah?
Another vote for Missouri going to Obama. It won’t be by very much, but he will win this state.
More long lines at Georgia polls today. At 4:00 there were again approximately 500 people in line at the polling station to which I was assigned. (And the lines were moving faster today.)
Despite the ubiquity of McCain & Yes On 8 signs in inland Santa Barbara this past weekend, I think California will probably come through for Obama.
Insider Advantage has Georgia at McCain 48% to Obama 47% today. I remain convinced that pollsters are missing large cohorts of voters. (In defeating Hillary, Obama outperformed his pre-primary polls here by a significant margin.)
California by 7-8% for Obama, even with Prop. 8.
How about we put some numbers on the margin of victory:
I predict Obama wins Illinois by 25+ points, mainly thanks to my vote.
We’ve never gotten over being in right in '72, have we?
I don’t think I’ve ever voted for a major party candidate in Massachusetts, but this year I’m voting to make history.
I remain convinced that the polls are unreliable, given how wrong so many of them were during the primaries. I’m taking nothing for granted.
Obama wins MN, of course.
I think Al Franken will squeak out a victory over Norm Coleman. I had been predicting Coleman since the beginning on this one, but he is going nowhere. He might not get 1/3 of the vote. I’m am thinking this election is going to turn into a rout for the Dems so I think Bachmann will lose her seat and Aswin Media will take a Republican seat as well. That would leave Kline as MN’s only Republican Rep. and if this turns into a blue wave even that seat could go, but I doubt it.
Unfortunately, I think you’re right.
Lines at the Georgia polls are not quite as long today. That is partly a result of greater efficiency at moving voters through. The polling station to which I’m assigned added two machines, and the lines were moving reasonably well.
At 3:00 (which would normally be the slow part of the day), there were approximately 200 people waiting to vote. The folks at the front told me it had only taken them about 45 minutes to move through the line.
I’d just like to say that [del]this is the first time I’ve been on television[/del] I nailed this prediction.
I was right about New Mexico. 
I’m not sure if all the votes are in yet, but I THINK the guy who predicted DC was going to Obama might have been right as well. It was a real nail biter though…
-XT
In WA, it was a blowout, Obama won by almost 18%. So I’m happy; I underestimated, but so what!
And Gregoire was reelected, woo-hoo!
As pointed out by Captain Carrot and ultrafilter I was quite, quite wrong about PA being close. However, given that Nebraska District 2 (Omaha) is close enough to require a recount (and possibly with less than 400 votes difference, depending on your source), I’m claiming that one as a win. I was also right about Lincoln (or rather Lancaster County) going for Obama, but the (rural) rest of District 1 tipped it back to McCain by a healthy margin.
Any idea why neither of CNN or MSNBC is showing a winner for NC on their websites?
Well, I was right about MO being extremely close, even though it looks like Obama will not take the state. As of 11:00 central time, CNN’s website hasn’t called the state for McCain yet. Anyone know more about that? I haven’t had much luck finding out what’s going on here. Our county and three other surrounding counties needed to get to 40% for Obama to help put him over the top statewide. We almost did it-- 38% in Vernon Co the last time I looked. We knocked on tons of doors because we were expecting this sort of outcome in MO.
I was correct about SD, CA, and WI, but those were easy.