What the title says. I’ll post my “Start Me” and “Sit Me” lists each week of the season. Since NFL.com and ESPN and all those people pretty much cover the top guys, I’ll mostly be covering guys who most people will keep benched in my “start me” list. The “sit me” list will cover guys who most people will start, though.
I’ll also have an “Add Me” list from time to time. I’ll give you reasoning behind the start picks, but not the bench picks unless specifically asked.
This week, Giants and Skins players won’t be mentioned, for obvious reasons.
Feel free to ask questions, throw out your own advice, or critique mine.
My qualifications? I have made the championship game in my long-time 12-team league for four straight years. And lost all four times. I’m the Marv Levy of fantasy football.
However, I’m going to win the SDMB He Hate Me Some Me Keeper League this year. Or lose in the championship game, at least.
Kurt Warner (v. 49ers): If you didn’t know by now, Warner is the starter for Arizona. With a healthy Fitzgerald and a healthy and angry Anquan Boldin, plus a declining running game, Warner’s stats will be excellent, whatever his win-loss record. If you don’t have a must-start #1 (Romo, Manning, Brady, Brees), get Warner in there. Prediction - 350 yards, 2 scores, 1 pick
Jeff Garcia (v. Saints): The NO offense will put up points even against a healthy Tampa D. This means the Bucs will be throwing a good amount to keep up, and the Saints’ defensive backfield sucks. Joey Galloway has been out of practice, but is expected to start. Antonio Bryant has looked monstrous since camp opened. The Bucs have arguably the best receiving tight end pair in the league. Get him active if your #1 guy is sore or playing a top defense. Prediction - 225 yards, 2 scores, 30 rush yards
Selvin Young (v. Raiders): For the first part of the season, I expect Young to get the majority of the carries. Anyone getting carries against the Raiders is worth starting. I have Young pegged as a top-end #3/Flex, but this week, he’s a borderline #1. Prediction - 150 yards, 10 rec. yards
Ricky Williams (v. Jets): I don’t believe Williams will be starting for too long, but he is for now. Get points from him while you can- and you can this week. Miami’s offensive ineptitude last year belied an excellent run-blocking line, which will be improved with Jake Long at left tackle. The Jets’ run D is not good at all. Prediction - 90 yards, 2 scores
Darrell Jackson (vs. Oakland): Really deep sleeper here. He’s starting, and with Brandon Marshall out, he’s the only decent wideout Denver has. Keep expectations in check, though, because Jay Cutler hasn’t done well throwing to anybody but Marshall. And keep him reserved if you’re in a PPR league. Prediction - 75 yards, 1 score
L.J Smith (vs. Rams)- with both of Philly’s starting wideouts gone this week, it’s the Smith and Westbrook show this week. He was incredibly productive before getting hurt last year. Prediction - 85 yards, 1 score
Oh, come on. They’re kickers. If you’ve got two to choose from, you are way behind the fantasy curve. There’s a foolproof method to picking your kicker- play matchups until midseason, then pick the highest-scoring guy on the waiver wire, and start him for the rest of the year. I guarantee he’ll be in the top 5 by season’s end.
Cardinals- They have the potential to be one of the better units in the league this season, especially fantasywise. I think Antrel Rolle will be the force at safety that he never was at corner. Plus, they’re playing the 49ers. They may give up yardage, but expect plenty of picks and maybe a return score. Prediction - 15 points*
*My D/ST point prediction is based on NFL.com scoring- every takeaway is 2 points, every sack gets a point, you get 2 points for every 6 points allowed under 27, and 2 points for every 50 yards allowed under 299. Plus, you get 2 points for a safety and 6 points for a kick, punt, pick or fumble returned for a score. The Chargers were the #1 NFL.com fantasy D last year and averaged 16.4 points/game.
Carson Palmer (QB), Ryan Grant (RB), Jamal Lewis (RB), Darren McFadden (RB), Nate Burleson (WR), Hines Ward (WR), Ben Utecht (TE), Pittsburgh (D/ST).
That’s it for Week 1 - I’ll be around to answer questions, hopefully right up until gametime tomorrow, and I’ll try to do a review of my advice after the week’s games.