Russia invades Ukraine {2022-02-24} (Part 1)

Boris has been one of Ukraine’s strongest supporters. But, he’s on only one voice within NATO.

Boris was speaking at a press conference in New Delhi.
Guardian blog

He’s also been one of the biggest boosters for Russian money coming into London and supporting the Conservative party, so let’s not get ahead of ourselves. But this is a breaking news thread, so further discussion on this should go elsewhere.

Russia isn’t waiting to conquer Ukraine. Apparently there’s plans to create multiple break-away Russian republics in former Soviet Bloc countries.

Anywhere there’s a population of Russian’s seems to be an opportunity to liberate them.

Nice to see that Ukraine is keeping its spirits up.

Ukraine was definitely in possession of larger SAM systems, such as SA-10/S-300. It is quite plausible that the capabilities of SA-10 systems exceed Russia’s SEAD capabilities.

Little else is known about the drones, including their range and precise capabilities, and Kirby declined to offer more details about them.

So the article basically says, ‘The U.S. is giving Ukraine drones, but we’re not going to tell you about them.’ (That’s a good thing.)

Still, he did say they were designed mainly for striking targets.

Well, that’s good to know! I don’t think that armed drones not designed to attack targets would be useful.

Exactly the sort of post I’d expect, if you ARE an assassin.

Btw the Russian General’s comments about Transnistria are extremely relevant because Odessa would be a target.

The land bridge to Crimea would be extended through Odessa to Transnistria. Russia would control the entire Black Sea coastline.

The Guardian has a map that I can’t link.

There’s been another purported leak of Russian casualty figures on a pro-Kremlin media outlet. As with the last time this happened, Russia claims it was a hack. Not possible to know its veracity for sure.

So, say that Ukraine goes after Crimea, Donbas, Luhanks, etc and wants to restore its pre-2014 borders. Would the rest of the world be likelier to side with Ukraine’s argument (“that was our land and what we should have always have had back”) or with Russia’s (“the post-2014 status quo is that Crimea is Russia’s and now Ukraine is invading sovereign Russian soil?”)

Met a lot of assassin’s, have you? That makes me suspicious. Just as if you were some sort of kill-people-for-money-person.

I knew a guy who met an assassin once.

You know, my dear sweet grandmother used to tell me every night as she tucked me into bed, “Everyone is an assassin once there’s enough money on the table.”

The only countries that have recognized Crimea as being Russian are a tiny handful of Russia syncophants. The rest of the world still considers Crimea to be part of Ukraine.

I commented earlier on this. If Russia tries to connect Transnistria, that’s possibly the best military move they could make for Ukraine to win. A column that thin and long just isn’t going to survive. The logistics chain is just too thin and easily disrupted.

I would have to imagine that Putin’s generals are arguing strenuously against it, if Putin is seriously making the proposal. If the current roster of generals start “disappearing” and getting swapped out with cranks, I would say that’s a safe sign that Putin has decided that it’s not an optional political objective.

I SERIOUSLY doubt there is any back and forth when discussing the plans. There is no disagreeing going on in those meetings.

I looked up the Ghost Drones and the first article I saw ended with this:

This would say that we were envisioning some sort of specific style of campaign and said campaign happens to be a close match for Ukraine’s coming offensive against Russia.

Any thoughts on what our intended goal was and what it would be for Ukraine? Or do we need to wait to see how the Ukrainians use it?

If I told you, I’d have to….arrange a meeting.

Ukraine’s access to ports is crucial to their economy. They are the bread basket of Europe.

Losing their port cities would be disastrous.

Their previous model, the Flee, was designed to retreat from the front lines, land, and bury itself under leaves or trash. To date, none have been found, so technically a success. Sales have been slow.