I would say Russian supply has been significantly diminished for the forces located on the north bank of the Dneiper River. You know that Russian command is gravely concerned by this turn of events, because they actually diverted considerable forces to the south that were allocated to their main strategic objectives in the east. That’s usually a big no-no in terms of military strategy, unless it’s to stave off a big disaster. Losing Kherson would be a decisive political (and military) loss.
I must say that identifying and taking out the chokepoints supplying Kherson was a good piece of generalship on the part of Ukraine. Otherwise, they currently have nowhere near enough forces to stage an effective counter-offensive to retake the city.
I seen reports that leaders in Kherson should have blown the bridges on day 1 of the war.
I doubt it would have been saved from a sustained attack. The Sievierodonetsk bridges were blown and Russian artillery eventually made occupation possible.
The Russian forces in Kherson may be less inclined to die defending the city. Ukraine may eventually recover that territory.
No kidding. I’m pretty sure it says Vul. Myronivska 12 on it – no Google Street view images of it, but there is a road on the south of Popasnaya leading into the town. You can get some pictures of a cafe near there that matches the general brickwork shown in the photo. It wasn’t that easy, was it? (Also, it’s possible the sign is not the address of that location, but rather of something else, like say, the building owner.)
ETA: Of course, I should have googled the address first to see many others are discussing this and have figured it out independently:
It was reported yesterday that the traffic jam of vehicles attempting to leave Crimea was many miles long. Crimea is no longer a popular Russian holiday destination.
They should have heeded the words of a famous Russian:
Garibaldi: No boom?
Sinclair: No boom.
Ivanova: No boom today. Boom tomorrow. There’s always a boom tomorrow. What? Look, somebody’s got to have some damn perspective around here! Boom. Sooner or later. BOOM!
The Ukrainians must have thought long and hard about attacking sites in Crimea as well as how to do it. The Russian’s regard it as their territory so they might perceived as an attack on Russia itself and use that as a reason to escalate. However Russia doesn’t want to admit that locations in “it’s” territory can be vulnerable nor create the impression that the army is on the back foot. And in order to encourage this stance the Ukrainians are not publicly admitting responsibility.
I was trying to think how Ukraine might try to take back cities without having to shell them into nothing, the way that Russia has been doing. In general, I feel like they would largely need to focus on cutting off supply paths from over the border. The problem there being that there’s not much you can do to block off a road or train track that isn’t fairly easily undone.
I’d wonder if anyone has experimented with expanding foam as a quick-blockade technology?
I think they’ll have to do it the old fashioned way. With infantry. Mostly because until they get to the Russian border, they probably wouldn’t want to block off those roads. After all, they will be using them to advance further once their initial objectives have been achieved.
ETA. I’m referring to the roads east of Kherson. Crimea is obviously a different story.
hopefully they scampered away in time.