Russia invades Ukraine {2022-02-24} (Part 1)

Because they are a propaganda arm of The Kremlin. They might be releasing some useful info they have gathered or they might equally be inventing something they would like to have gathered.

You’re asking why a document produced by a propaganda group might not be legit?

A hacker group aligned with Russia posts intel reports on Russian SAM positions. The info might be stale, but it would still give some insight into Russian methods and strategy – if the info is accurate. If it is not accurate, why would NATO provide Ukraine with faulty intel? There are so many things wrong with this.

In the circumstances I totally think its legit and I also don’t think the group hacked it’s opposed to the Russian intel services getting it and letting the group tale credit.

You haven’t read it have you, the latest detail is from early July, its obviously stale since most of its reports of the location of mobile units and launchers.

There are so many things wrong with this
Such as?

First,

Second,

And finally,

Why is Russia engaging in prisoner exchanges? Are they getting commanders in return for grunts? If the prisoners they are getting back have tales of humane treatment and a belief that they were lied to by Putin et al, that can’t be a good thing for Russia. Also, it indicates some level of diplomacy where I thought there was none.

Retired air force colonel Mikhail Khodaryonok, usually the sober voice, appeared on Russian state TV again and advised that the newly-mobilized soldiers should not be deployed until factories can produce modern equipment for them, or else the mobilization will be “largely pointless”.

(From 1:50)

The Russians got a separatist leader Viktor Medvedchuk in the prisoner exchange. He is a “personal friend” of Putin and Putin is the godfather of Medvedchuk’s youngest daughter. Russian milbloggers are livid with the exchange.

If we are to believe the reports that Russian authorities immediately pressed into service some of the protesters this week, things are going to be even worse than imagined from a morale perspective. Sure, let’s induct the most unwilling people we can find to support this crusade. :crazy_face:

Given Russian soldiers’ short lifespan in Ukraine, it’s a useful way of eliminating the opposition. With ethnic minorities from Russia’s colonial areas being disproportionately mobilized, the number of potential future separatists of fighting age is also reduced.

That’s assuming the protester platoon doesn’t turn around and open fire on the squad leader yelling at them to advance.

I hope the drafted soldiers surrender as soon as they get the chance.

Maybe, but the blocking troops will still eliminate them (unless they can surrender first).

I would almost expect the arrested protestors to be arranged into penal units which are given dirty or suicidal jobs and are always under the eyes (and gunsights) of politically reliable guard units to keep them from doing anything other than what they’ve been ordered to.

OTOH, I doubt Putin can waste actual combat capable units to play prison-guard-in-the-field over the most unwilling and unreliable of conscripts.

Maybe @AK84 is right: they send the arestee conscripts to garrison some hellish backwater base away from the battle zone to free up actual soldiers to be sent into the meat grinder to the front.

Qui custodes ipsos custodiet? (“Who watches the watchmen?” since this is an English language site)

At the beginning of the year, this kind of Orwellian measure would have been low on my “What sort of dystopian BS can 2022 bring us?” bingo card

This is classic psyops. A similar thing would be to exchange only soldiers from around Moscow. “LOOK, the leaders are ensuring that THEIR sons come home safely.”

Or, maybe exchange only soldiers who are NOT from around Moscow. “LOOK, the leaders are keeping THEIR sons away from the war - OURS are brought here to go back into battle.”

Well, they are on the way to training, those who can stand.

Maybe they should have fled as well. The ones from Vladivostok might even be better off fleeing to the nearest foreign country, even if that happens to be North Korea :rofl:

Ooooh- snap! :+1:

I’m hearing Lyman is almost encircled. ISW doesn’t put it that strongly. It does confirm some things in this YouTube report.
ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 22 | Institute for the Study of War

This channel is extremely pro Ukrainian. I’m not entirely confident with things he says unless it confirmed elsewhere