I am following these “distroyed today” graphs closesly, and notice that the “Tanker-truck IOW mobile-gas-stations” has stayed on 60 for the past 3 or 4 days.
I’d read that rather as “there are no gas-trucks circulating” (as opposed to: “there are gas-trucks circulating, but we cannot destroy them” )
this is one possible reason … another could be: there are simply more russian airplanes/copters flying now then in the beginning.
On a sidenote, (but related) … there have been a number of high-rank russian “brass” being killed in the past 2-3 days … there was some consensus that this has its roots in a change of minds of the russian echelons, forcing their officials to show more leadership upfront. This suggests they get killed more now, as they actually start engaging in theaters.
Very interesting report coming out on various media.
In Belarus, the Chief of the General Staff and deputy minister of defence, General Viktor Gulevich has resigned.
He says in his letter of resignation that it hasn’t been possible to find a single battalion group that’s willing to take part in hostilities against Ukraine. He also says that replacing the commanders wouldn’t help, suggesting that the refusal comes from the soldiers themselves, not the officers.
If this true, then it looks like Russian propaganda hasn’t been effective in Belarus, and if Russia was relying on Belarus to invade western Ukraine, that’s not going to happen.
This is said to be the English translation of his letter of resignation:
Dear Viktor Gennadievich,
In pursuance of your order regarding the formation of shock battalion groups, I have to report the following: due to the massive refusal to take part in the hostilities of the personnel of the military units that were supposed to be involved in staffing the above battalion groups, the Armed Forces of Belarus are not able to staff a single battalion group.
Conducting explanatory work with the commanders of military units did not produce results. I have the courage to assume that the replacement of the commanders of these military units, who were unable to organize the formation of groups on the ground, will not give us the result we need.
In view of the above, I ask for your decision regarding the acceptance of my resignation.
Chief of the General Staff
First Deputy Minister of Defense of the Republic of Belarus
Major General
I understand NATO pilots can’t fly the planes. It’s not unusual to fly over countries. The US did it in the Gulf wars. We couldn’t have fought the war without using air space over Turkey and other countries.
NATO is walking a fine line here; how much aid can NATO nations provide, without triggering a direct conflict with Russia? Sending NATO warplanes into the theatre would be likely to trigger a direct war, I would think, which would make the Balts very nervous.
I think a fleet of drones would be far more effective. HQ the pilots in the remotest and most secure part of Ukraine. Drones are easily replaceable. They can be quietly shipped in by cargo planes or trucks. They’re well suited to attack troop transport or supply trucks.
Fighters require highly trained pilots. They get killed and are hard to replace. Friendly countries have to supply planes that Ukraine pilots are trained to fly.
That’s what we’ve heard every time an externality has driven up energy prices in my lifetime. (And to be fair, there’s been a lot of progress in renewable energy.) But don’t expect U.S. demand for gas guzzling SUVs to drop off any time soon – there’s always the expectation that fuel prices will drop again, and so far it’s always come true.
I don’t think drones are very effective at air-to-air combat, which is why Zelensky says they need jets (they are already getting drones, which are more useful for reconnaissance and ground attack, but I’m sure more drones would be helpful). And Poland and other nearby countries have the kind of Russian-made jets that Ukrainian pilots are familiar with. Hopefully this will happen soon.
Yeah, on the one hand, POWs are being put on TV. On the other hand, we have shelling of civilians attempting to evacuate along agreed-upon humanitarian corridors, not to mention the unprovoked invasion itself. I’m reasonably confident that my conclusion from this will not be “both sides do it.”