As speculation belongs in other threads, hidden by What Exit?
This war makes me wonder about the efficacy of tanks in forward combat. They are big and heavy and eat a lot of fuel – losing one is costly, and their size makes them prime targets that are really not that hard to total (as in render useless). Way behind the front, and in civilian areas, they are useful and intimidating, but rolling them into the fray looks like a losing proposition.
Once in awhile the organization can show some backbone. As long as the deck hasn’t been stacked too far in favor of the totalitarian states under the original Charter.
2+ leading spaces in content are interpreted by Discourse (Markdown really) as being a sign you’re entering computer code. Easy to fix while editing on a PC. Not so much on a phone.
I’m all for Russia getting bled white then retreating tail between legs, ideally followed by some introspection and insurrection. But one good day’s haul does not a victory make.
thats the RU attacking Avdiivka … and A. is very well dug in …
so it seems that UKR is degrading the RU very significantly … and ISW mentions that those are not meat-wave offensives, but more sophisticated … but extremely costly for RU with regards to all kinds of resources…
probably THE reason why UKR offense is moving so slowly in the south … to avoid scenarios like that … and burning through your cache of materiel
German aid package, far less detail and includes future deliveries.
"FRANKFURT, Oct 10 (Reuters) - Germany on Tuesday unveiled a fresh support package for Ukraine worth around 1 billion euros ($1.1 billion), its defence ministry said, adding the programme covered air defense, weapons and ground vehicles.
“Germany will continue to support Ukraine with what it needs most urgently - air defence, ammunition and tanks,” German Defence Minister Boris Pistorius said.
Pistorius said the package covered an additional Patriot air defense missile system - which was flagged by Chancellor Olaf Scholz last week - as well as an additional IRIS-T system and Gepard anti-aircraft-gun tanks. Germany announces new defense aid for Ukraine worth $1.1 bln | Reuters
UK new package, even fewer details:
"£70m of capabilities provided to Ukraine – including the MSI-DS Terrahawk Paladin, a platform which can track and destroy drones and protect critical national infrastructure. This latest package will also provide crucial equipment to help Ukrainian soldiers cross minefields, bridging capabilities to assist with river and trench crossings, and heavy duty plant vehicles to destroy Russian non-explosive obstacles and help build defensive positions to protect Ukraine’s critical national infrastructure."Major new package of support for Ukraine's counter-offensive announced by Defence Secretary Grant Shapps - GOV.UK
This in particular is interesting. The “M” variant of the AIM-9 Sidewinder missile is outdated in NATO service (having been replaced by the AIM-9X in 2003). If we were deliving actual air-to-air missiles, I doubt we would give these; they’re consideably less capable than almost any missile system in the field now.
However, there’s a mention in the Secretary of Defense’s comments on this delivery that makes this make a bit more sense:
It includes AIM-9 munitions for a new air-defense system that we will soon deliver to Ukraine
(emphasis added)
From:
There have been developments in the past of a surface-to-air adaptation of the AIM-9 platform as a moderately-capable SAM system. (For instance, the MIM-72 Chaparral system.) This seems to be to be particularly adaptable to close-in air defense for advanced Ukrainian formations, or as an anti-drone and anti-cruise-missile capability.
The AIM-9M is still a non-trivial weapon. The game-changer advantage of AIM-9X is the ability to be launched by stealthy platforms. Which the West are not delivering to Ukraine.
AIM-9X has more range, higher G, etc., than AIM-9M But against even modern Russian equipment, AIM-9M is pretty darn effective when used within it’s capability set.
Much better to expend them against Russian equipment now than leave them to rot in a warehouse unused. Whether it’s launched from an e.g. F-16 or a ground launcher. MIM-72 is way, way out of date.
More information / speculation here. Possible acquisition of Chaparral from friendlies that still use (Taiwan for example), modification for use with the IRIS-T (can fire the AIM-9X version), or integration with existing Ukrainian OSA (SA-8) launchers.
Sure, it’s based on the ancient AIM-9D. But it’s the idea. It’s looking like a 21st Century reinvention of the platform. It could even be based on the M-113 APC, since we’re sending those too.