I should have known I couldn’t beat the Chance here.
I’m not as much against the bounce in some situations. It does tie up units, but failure to bounce in certain territories (primarily the Black Sea) telegraphs immediately an alliance, or at least non-aggression. That will guarantee an alliance between Italy and Austria. With Italy’s two fleets heading immediately east, that can really slow down Turkey.
In the English Channel, as a contrast, lack of a bounce does not necessarily mean an alliance. There are directions for either of them to go without necessarily working together. Plus, E & F alliances won’t turn the whole board against you like a R & T might.
How well do you trust Turkey?
You are starting out pretty weak in the south there. If Austria Turkey get together, they could bounce you out of Rumania quite easily, or even give it to either one of them. If they have any brains at all, they’ll be in contact with Germany, and have him move F Kiel-Denmark, and then bounce you out of Sweden, leading to No builds for the Tsarists in the first year. Disaster.
I would seriously consider moving Moscow to Ukraine, to support your fleet into Rumania in the fall. That way, if Turkey reneges and moves into the Black in the fall, Sev would be open for a build of a fleet if necessary.
The T & R alliance is best done if nobody notices it until it’s too late. If you can somehow arrange for your fleet to take one of Turkey’s territories in the spring and for him to retake it in the fall, you accomplish two things. One, you hide your alliance. Two, you get rid of your Black Sea fleet, allowing Turkey to safely take his fleets into the Med.
I’m a big fan of Russia/Italy. You can pretty much divide up Austria, and then go into Turkey. Also, if you decide to stab Turkey, having Italy in his rear would be a big help.