Splitting the Difference--Dead Thread for The Split

[Telcontar]

@Jimmy_Chitwood

That’s an interesting and fairly complete theory of the game. That isn’t quite where I thought you were coming from.

Really. Very interesting.

I mean, I could be wrong, and you’d certainly be the one to know if i was, but I was very serious about:

@Telcontar;10973015T

Jimmy has bugged me for a few days and I have this paranoid fantasy in which both he and mhaye are wolves. I’m impatient and I want to find out if i’m right.

@Telcontar

mahaloth is also pseudo confirmed innocent.

I want to kill primarily because 1.) I don’t think it hurts the villagers as a whole 2.) anything that helps end the game earlier helps my faction 3.) we’re a fragging lynch mob, killing people is what we do.

Anyway, in the even that i’m not around tomorrow i have really good feelings about **rex **and oredigger77, and I trust the test results of mahaloth. That means that, from my perspective, dawn tomorrow would see

Innocent:
Mahaloth
Oredigger77
Rexnervous

Potentially guilty:
Allwalker
[Undecided] Adrian the II
Jimmy Chitwood
MHaye

If I’m right about oredigger77 and** rexnervous** (and people agree i’m right) the game is trivial. Test 1. If not guilty, lynch 2. Next day: test 3, if not guilty lynch 4.

Why Mhaye is less innocent than Oredigger77 and Rex:
Looking at the voting around the death of EH, I noticed that Mhaye was happy to vote for me, but didn’t want to tie it. He said this right before the vote and was definitely around to break any future ties that developed. The aversion to ties makes jack sense, but I’m willing to pass on that per se. Had EH switched his vote twenty minutes earlier (perfectly sensible defensive voting) then mhaye could have swept in and broken the new tie (justifying it by his aversion to ties). EH lives, I die, wolves are in a much better position. It would also reframe the mhaye-justin standoff as wolf wolf, which explains why** justin** was so willing to die and makes** mhaye’**s testerizer analysis look like a bold wolf play. Jimmy broke the **mhaye-justin **tie near the end, which would count in his favor, but only if mhaye wasn’t also a wolf.

Anyway, i’d say test jimmy tomorrow. if he’s a wolf deal with him and then take a hard look at mhaye for the next day.

@Telcontar

If Jimmy is a wolf we should test MHaye next, for reasons that should be fairly clear.

Anyway, town has a very clear path to victory if the testerizer is correctly solved regardless of whether I’m right. Only advantages to being right today are speed and guaranteed tie. If we wait until tomorrow to be right then there is a 33% chance of a random faction winning outright.

I suppose adriann would be my next suspicion, but that’s primarily due to lack of better options.