mahaloth is also pseudo confirmed innocent.
I want to kill primarily because 1.) I don’t think it hurts the villagers as a whole 2.) anything that helps end the game earlier helps my faction 3.) we’re a fragging lynch mob, killing people is what we do.
Anyway, in the even that i’m not around tomorrow i have really good feelings about **rex **and oredigger77, and I trust the test results of mahaloth. That means that, from my perspective, dawn tomorrow would see
Innocent:
Mahaloth
Oredigger77
Rexnervous
Potentially guilty:
Allwalker
[Undecided] Adrian the II
Jimmy Chitwood
MHaye
If I’m right about oredigger77 and** rexnervous** (and people agree i’m right) the game is trivial. Test 1. If not guilty, lynch 2. Next day: test 3, if not guilty lynch 4.
Why Mhaye is less innocent than Oredigger77 and Rex:
Looking at the voting around the death of EH, I noticed that Mhaye was happy to vote for me, but didn’t want to tie it. He said this right before the vote and was definitely around to break any future ties that developed. The aversion to ties makes jack sense, but I’m willing to pass on that per se. Had EH switched his vote twenty minutes earlier (perfectly sensible defensive voting) then mhaye could have swept in and broken the new tie (justifying it by his aversion to ties). EH lives, I die, wolves are in a much better position. It would also reframe the mhaye-justin standoff as wolf wolf, which explains why** justin** was so willing to die and makes** mhaye’**s testerizer analysis look like a bold wolf play. Jimmy broke the **mhaye-justin **tie near the end, which would count in his favor, but only if mhayewasn’t also a wolf.
Anyway, i’d say test jimmy tomorrow. if he’s a wolf deal with him and then take a hard look at mhaye for the next day.
Problems:
Are Rex and Oredigger innocent?
Rex in particular has cast a lot of the right votes. His analysis is almost always on point, and now that we know a few alignments his random pairings for the research task a few days back look solid (known townies investigating known wolves, no conspicuous patterns). Oredigger I’m much less sure about, but he was going after EH long before it was cool. My suspicion of him was largely driven by “why would anyone argue X,” especially around the seeker votes. Looking back, i’m more comfortable putting him in the innocent category than any of the four other plays.