Super Tuesday Primary Discussion

And we will also have the Clintons and Michelle Obama out there.

I kind of hope the Clintons sit this one out. But I’d be delighted to see Jimmy Carter, John Kerry, Al Gore, Valerie Plame, Mark Kelly, Stacey Abrams, Jon Tester and many others jump to the fore.

Bill Clinton still knows how to work an audience. I don’t want him sitting out.

Yeah, Biden seems to be winning most states, even fairly liberal states like MA. However 7 of the states in play today are southern states, which have high black population who go heavily for Biden.

Sanders will probably win TX & CA which make up half the delegate count from today. He also won CO. Obviously he will win VT (But by a smaller margin than he won the state in 2016).

At the end of the night I’m guessing the delegates awarded will be roughly similar, maybe ~600 something for Biden and ~500 something for Sanders.

I believe latino population lean towards Sanders, at least they did in NV. I’m not sure how that’ll impact southwestern primary states.

Early exit polls seem to have Biden running away with it (except in Vermont…no surprise there).

Biden keeps doing inexplicably well with the black community.

Full disclosure: I voted for Warren in Colorado.

This is shaping up to be a monster night for Biden. He may end Super Tuesday with both the popular vote and, more importantly, the pledged delegates leads. That was unthinkable a week and half ago.

After tonight we’re 40% of the way there and Bernie’s paths to the nomination are closing with a path through the midwest his lifeline.

I wouldn’t say that it is inexplicable. Many associate him with Obama.

Maine, Massachusetts, and Minnesota may all go Biden. Unbelievable.

Even if things swing Bernie’s way as the vote comes in, he’s only going to net a handful of delegates there. Massively below expectations.

That shit is explicableAF.

No disrespect to the Latino community, but the states that really, really matter are states in which the black community felt uninspired to show up and vote: Wisconsin (Metro Milwaukee); Pennsylvania (Pittsburgh, Philadelphia); North Carolina (Charlotte). And Florida’s Latino vote isn’t pro-Bernie; in fact, Bernie-ism might cost Florida, not just in the presidential election but down ballot. Dems aren’t going to lose California and they’re not likely to win Texas, so I don’t think Bernie really accomplishes anything by winning those two states other than racking up delegates.

E.W. does not appear to be doing well. That disappoints me, greatly. She is, by FAR, the best candidate for Prez this time around in my estimation.

Exactly, there’s certain places he can definitely be an asset, even those senate races in purple states could use a boost from Bill.

Also Arkansas, Tennessee and Oklahoma.

And she has definitely lost her home state and may finish 3rd.

It’s true that you don’t much resemble the legion of really nasty Bernie Bros that many of us have had to deal with for years now. But I also really dislike Bernie himself. He is dishonest and destructive to the party. So it’s hard for me not to feel schadenfreude.

Biden takes Minnesota.

Thank you, Amy!

As far as I know, those are done deals and going Biden.

Oklahoma is mildly interesting because Sanders won that over Clinton in the 2016 caucus. They switched to a primary this year which may be part of the story.

Biden takes Massachusetts! Wow.

I’m caught up in the moment. :slight_smile:

Watching/listening to Biden’s speech right now. Awful. Awful. AWFUL! Sounds like he has a mouthful of marbles. “The gun mannuhfacturers.” He sounds like he has dentures that are falling out. Just at this moment, there’s also a giant wave of boos from somewhere in the crowd. More mumbling and sentence fragments that make no sense… oh my God, I can’t stand it. UGH. UGH! Cringe, maximum cringe.

This guy is going to lose to Trump.