Regarding Yul taking Jonathan to final two…
[QUOTE=Jaade]
Realistically, he couldn’t pull that off anyway. The jurors of Survivor are typically a LOT more forgiving of the snake they know. To get to the final two with Jonathan, Yul would have to betray his entire alliance. It could be done easily at first maybe before tonight. Convince A, C and P to vote off Ozzy maybe with Yul and Jonathan being the surprise votes. Flip Parvati and make it a three person alliance of Yul, Jonathan and Parvati. Get Candice and Adam to vote with Parvati and take out Sundra. At this point, he can plausibly get rid of Becky next without her knowing that he’s the mastermind. Convince Parvati that she’s the odd man out with Candice and Adam, tell her you will take her to final two. Bam, bam..they are gone, provided they don’t win immunity. (of course, then you just reverse the pecking order) Then, just hope that Parvati loses in the three person challenge (provided the two person final is still in effect). That is the only way he could sit in the final two with Jonathan and not be outed for destroying his own alliance, as far as I can see.
However, voting off Candice tonight means that his alliance sees that Adam and Parvati go next and then they look to him to vote off Jonathan. Any resistance puts doubt in their mind…they were supposed to be the final four! Now he’s “stuck” voting off Adam and Parvati, then Jonathan. Ozzy and Sundra just seem way too complacent with their place in all of this. I think the fact that Yul has the immunity idol is really playing havoc with any thoughts of outside strategy on their parts. Yul can win this entire game easily if he just stays the course and keeps Becky, Ozzy and Sundra happy.
[/QUOTE]
I think your first plan just might be overthinking things. Yul does the right thing by at least appearing to entertain the notion of keeping the Raro three around. But seriously, they have to go immediately. One leaves as little to chance as possible. Breaking up the obviously tight Adam - Candice bond is imperative. Pagong all three if possible, as soon as possible.
You must not offer sinking and desperate enemies any sort of way to turn the game back around on you. Anything can happen… new rules pop up all the time. Or someone wins an immunity challenge at an inopportune time.
After that, it’s an easy sell to get rid of Ozzy. Sundra and Becky see him as an enormous physical threat. If Ozzy gets immunity, then Jonathan goes. Reuse the same argument: he is a physical threat.
They’re down to 4: Yul, Becky, Sundra, and either Ozzy or Jonathan. At this point, the immunity idol gets Yul to final three no matter what. If he wins the immunity challenge, he can choose to use it or not… he will most likely only save Becky with it. This is due to his sense of honor, because he originally talked to Becky. In return, I do not believe Becky will entertain notions of a new alliance with anyone.
Finally, it is imperative that Yul purposely throw all reward and immunity challenges until the final four. There is absolutely no advantage to winning them, even if it comes with the keys to a car.
I think this gives Yul his best chance to get to the final three, after which, anything can happen, even with his currently enormous advantage.