I still like Denise, and hope that she wins. Her ‘ripping on Abi’ is fairly mild, I think. She tries to explain to Abi Normal what she (Abi) does that annoys people. Unfortunately, Abi isn’t listening.
So the five remaining players are Abi Normal, Denise, Lisa, Malcolm, and Skupin. Abi and Malcolm both have ‘use or lose’ HIIs, so I presume they’ll both play them at the next TC. That means Skupin, Denise, or Lisa will be voted out. Both Malcolm and Denise have played a good game. They’ve both proven themselves as formidable physical threats, their joint strategy has so far been successful, and everyone likes them. Since Malcolm will presumably play his idol, Denise is the logical choice to vote out next week.
Denise says she wants to stand next to ‘deserving’ players at the FTC. That’s risky if she wants to win a megabuck, but she wants a ‘fair fight’. For all of his protestations that voting out Abi would be good for his sanity and his stated sentiments that he too wants a ‘fair fight’, I think Malcolm is playing to win. I think he really does want Abi in the FTC. The final IC often an endurance challenge. Denise has the perfect body for an endurance challenge. She’s too big a threat for the others to let her stay.
The preview makes it seem like Denise is in trouble. Based on the above, she needs to win immunity. If she doesn’t, she’s the obvious choice. Only… Malcolm knows that he has a lock on the million if Denise is gone. So does everyone else. If he votes out Denise, what’s to stop Abi, Skupin, and Lisa from voting him out the next round? Malcolm needs Denise around a little longer. So I think Skupin or Lisa will be voted out next week. (I could be wrong of course, and the preview isn’t a red herring.) Skupin has been wishy-washy on his votes. He seems easily convinced to switch votes half the time. Lisa has been fairly consistently ‘sticking by her word’, only she was gunning for Malcolm this week. Which to choose…? Abi dislikes Lisa more than she does Skupin. OTOH, I think she knows that Lisa is not a physical threat. I think Denise thinks Lisa has not played a strong game, and going by Denise’s stated comments about wanting to stand with strong players at the end I think she might vote Lisa off. So I’m going to say Denise votes for Lisa. Malcolm votes for Lisa, since he’d rather stand by Abi in the Final Three. Skupin votes for Lisa because (assuming that Malcolm decides he needs Denise around for another vote) she’s the only option. Abi? She’ll vote for either Lisa or Denise because she dislikes them. But it Malcolm, Denise, and Skupin vote for Lisa, Lisa is going home.
Have I ever been right? I don’t know. Probably not. Assuming Denise does not win immunity, Malcolm may decide that her physical prowess – especially in a potential endurance challenge – is more of a risk than having her ‘protection’ is a benefit.