I can’t help but wonder what the election would’ve looked like between Obama and Trump. Reagan-like electoral votes?
CNN always seems to find a picture of Trump to use that makes him look like a raving mad man. I wonder if it’s intentional or if Trump actually is a raving mad man?
But Mighty Donald does.
Perhaps, but it’s not like Donald has any edge over Hillary when it comes to mindless warhawkery.
I agree. The Senate is definitely in play, but it would take a strange scenario indeed for the House to Democratic.
As for Trump and how he’ll do… as someone who swore up and down that there was no chance he’d be the Republican nominee, I decline to make further predictions about him. 
“I am not a member of any organized party. I am a Democrat.”
That’s been true for 100 years. Ordinarily I wouldn’t put it past the Dems to botch a sure thing.
But the Cubs, man. Look at the Cubs!
This is the year of the meteor.
It used to be that the Democrats never missed a chance to miss a chance, but I think the GOP has them beaten at that skill by a long shot these days.
From the article you linked:
IOW, in 2012 Obama and Romeny were effectively tied in the same states at this point and in 2008 Obama and McCain were effectively tied in two of those same states at this point.
So not really that big of a deal.
Nice, D’Anconia, right out of the gate!
I’m not especially interested in mindless warhawkery. I’m wondering what happens if Trump says his general Ban-All-Muslims-From-Entering policy – which is surprisingly popular even now – would’ve stopped these particular Radical Islamic Terrorists from coming here and doing that.
Sure, he then talks about killing their families or turning sand radioactive or whatever. But even aside from pound-of-cure warhawkery, what happens when he enthuses about his longstanding support for the ounce-of-prevention ban?
If she loses Pennsylvania then she is probably losing in Virginia as well.
She might want to rethink beating on Sanders by moving to his left on Gun control.
I am willing to bet a good bottle of scotch that we see Clinton “caught” hunting ducks or something like else that shows she is not rabidly anti-gun.
Maybe she’ll just shoot Sanders. 
This is the kind of thing that shows the reversing magnetic field of ideas between the parties. At any one time one side is the party of no ideas and the other is the party of bad ideas. They’ve just switched places again.
Don’t be. We might not break up the big banks, or make college free, or have single-payer, but incremental progress is an incredibly positive force and will lead to better lives for millions.
Even during this historic Republican obstructionism, Obama was able to do things like pass Obamacare, win the gay marriage case, kill Bin Laden, reduce incarceration rates, stop torture, work towards more equal pay and allow women more time and opportunity to sue for discrimination, sign a nuclear treaty with both Russia and Iran, normalize relations with Cuba, and (hopefully) prevent children of undocumented immigrants to stay in the US.
Under Clinton, we’ll have 1-3 more liberal SCOTUS justices, probably a big increase to federal minimum wage, even more pay equality, shoring up the loopholes in Obamacare, probably reduce student loans, strengthen unions, and much much more. I would gladly have things continue like business as usual, if it means Democrats are in charge. Plus we know that Democrats won’t pay for a war on a credit card and loot the treasure to give out tax breaks for the rich.
That just makes things unpredictable, not an automatic Trump win, IMO.
Anyway, there’s a similar thread for the reverse prediction (not as all encompassing, granted), so there’s no harm in this one coexisting.
My predictions:
Presidency - Yep
Senate - Possibly
House - Nope
Bill Kristol, is that you…?
My understanding is that the 2016 Senate seats look very good for Democrats, as they’re the iteration of the off-year 2010 seats; the 2018 seats look very bad for Democrats, as they iterate the presidential 2012 seats. I want Democrats to scourge Republicans this year, form a bulwark against two years from now.
Like the last time Reid was in control?
No, Sanders will win some backwoods fly-over state, proclaim that the path is wide open for him to win the nomination, and wonder why he’s not president when January comes.
Meanwhile, Hillary will continue ignoring him and taking shots at Trump. Hillary needs to sit back and be entertained by his posturing.