The GOP Super Tuesday Thread

I’ve got it on as the best of a bad lot for constant coverage. They’ve made it clear that they’re basing the call on exit polls. We’ll see.

In my county, all the polling places for the primary are separate, so I didn’t have eyes on a Republican turnout for comparison. Turnout for the Democratic primary seemed locally heavy, though–the line stretched out the door of the library. The poll workers were talking about turnout being unusually high.

First time you’ve seen three democrats in Texas?

Rubio is currently in the lead in Vermont.

Aaaaand just like that, Trump is back in the lead in Vermont.

The big deal is Trump is edging close to 50% in Georgia. If he gets that it’s a big delegate swing.

Exit polls seem to hint at a Kasich win. That would be awesome.

In Virginia, Rubio’s keeping it close. The polls showed Rubio down by 14, but he’s currently only down by 4.

CNN has called Massachusetts, Tennessee, and Alabama for Trump. Exit polls in Oklahoma show Cruz leading.

That would be a bigtime upset. Trump was ahead by double digits and Cruz was in 3rd according to the polling.

Rubio predicting win in Virginia. Big Rubio numbers in Fairfax, Prince William and Loudoun Counties and many votes still out. Only 4% of Fairfax reporting.

Texas polls close soon. On both sides the results are very meaningful, more of course on the GOP.

Polls are already closed in most of Texas. Polls close at 7pm, and the only ones still open are in the section of the state that is on Mountain Time. (Or, of course, where voters are still in line.)

Other posters in other threads have mentioned how ignorant CNN announcers seem to be about what the rules are, and it seems to me that their screwup on Texas polls closing supports that.

As an outsider (I’m Canadian), I would have thought that Massachusetts is a pretty liberal place and that even Republicans in that state would be wary of most of their candidates.

So, am I right to be surprised that Trump was an early, clear winner there? Wouldn’t you have expected Kasich to prevail on the GOP side?

Kasich should have prevailed, but Trump is actually the most liberal candidate in the race, despite his bluster. He’s been a Democrat most of his life and except for immigration and possibly saying some of the things people want to hear on hot button issues, he’s not actually a conservative. If you look into his exit polls, he’s winning a lot of moderate Republican voters, probably folks who think he’ll just be a Rockefeller Republican once in office.

Massachusetts is a liberal state, and all the liberals, and almost all the moderates are Democrats. Rockefeller Republicans are extinct. But it’s worth noting that the state elected Romney as governor, and that the current governor is a Republican.

Big story for Rubio would be missing the 20% threshold in TN, TX, AL, VT, GA and get 0 delegates in those states.

Cruz wins Texas. With 32% in, he’s well under a majority, and may not even break 40.

Texas was called for Cruz. No surprise there.

Looks like he’ll make it in GA at least. And he’s doing much better than expected in VA. Still, he’s just not proving he’s the guy. Kasich’s got just as much chance to get a couple of wins and seconds as Rubio, and Cruz might actually get two wins tonight.

Has there ever been a case during a primary where a state was called for a candidate and then had to be reversed?