Yes. 1964 on the R side, and 1972 on the Dem side.
And even in 1976 to a lesser extent. The Dem power brokers didn’t try to stop Carter at all costs, but they tried hard, certainly. The ‘anybody but Carter’ effort was a real thing.
True, but even given that, Rubio’s slim chance is better than Cruz’.
And yeah, Cruz will score most of Texas’ delegates, once the totals are tabulated by Congressional district. Cruz wins all 3 delegates for a CD where he gets >50%, and 2 out of 3 for any other CDs where he wins, with 1 going to the second-place candidate in that district.
The GOP poohbahs and apparatchiks will have to make decision tomorrow. Do they go with Trump, try and get behind some new GOP candidate coming into the race late, or just go sit on the sidelines.
When Rubio came just two percentage points of Trump in Virginia, I was like damn we are going to see the first Marco Rubio win. It however did not pan out. But to give credit he did come just four percentage points. But he had to win, not come in strong seconds.
Good second place showing for John Kasich behind Donald in Vermont. I had thought Ted Cruz could win or come in second place in Arkansas, but he is behind even Rubio.
I find Bernie Sanders’ win Oklahoma pretty weird. I thought he woukd get Massachusetts.
While I agree that Trump is dominating this thing, this is also a strange year.
Let’s say Rubio throws in the towel, and his delegates go to Cruz. Cruz could pick up 100 delegates in Texas, against 50 or to Trump. Given their wacky rules, it could even go 115 to 35 or something like that. In that case, Super Tuesday could end with Trump having 400 delegates or so, and Cruz in the neighborhood of 200.
Bottom line is that this was a good night for Cruz - not only did he over-perform, but Rubio underperformed, and so did Trump a bit. That could change the narrative. Tomorrow this is going to look like a two person race, and if all the anti-Trump energy falls behind Cruz, he could start to gain.
Make no mistake - this thing is Trump’s to lose, but the odds for Cruz went up tonight. He’s still a huge underdog, but winning the nomination is not an impossible task.
I think it is. I don’t think anyone has a chance anymore to get more delegates than Trump, but possibly three guys can together get more delegates than Trump. No one should drop out before Mar. 15, not even Carson, who I suspect is taking votes from Trump as much as anyone.
He’s finally going to win a state (I think) in Minnesota and sees himself (and more importantly so do many of the GOP grandees) as the viable anti-Trump candidate. IOW, all he has to do is continue to hang in there.
I disagree. The hatred for Cruz among the GOP establishment is not measurably less than it is for Trump. Plus, he doesn’t have the broad based support necessary to win a national campaign. Sure, he can win his home state and the state next door, but look how poorly he is doing in MA and VT.
If anyone has a shot at dethroning Trump, it is Rubio. If he can catch fire and not fall below 20% in most of these states today, he won’t be swamped in the delegate count. I think Rubio is the only chance to stop Trump.
This just in: Ben Carson is remaining in the race. He should not be invited to the debate. He will be wasting valuable time.
Cruz was supposed to dominate the SEC primaries after his Iowa win. His path was to win IA, then SC, and then take the very states Trump is dominating in in the South. Cruz’s sleazy campaign tactics turned off a lot of voters I suspect.