Here’s CNN Politics on the Mass. race: Massachusetts Senate primary: Ed Markey tries to defend his seat from a Kennedy | CNN Politics
Here’s some polling for the MA Democratic Senate primary. Older polls mostly had Kennedy ahead, but both recent polls had Markey. Pretty thin polling overall though.
There’s also a PredictIt market for this race. Kennedy was about a 3 to 1 favorite for months, and then things flipped and now he’s a 3 to 1 dog.
MA primary is Tuesday September 1st. 16 days.
Tuesday poll dump. 11 weeks to e-day!
No huge surprises. Promising poll from Iowa.
| State | Dates | Pollster | Sample | D | R | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 8/2/2020 - 8/4/2020 | OnMessage Inc. | 400 LV | Mark Kelly 48% | Martha McSally 48% | Even |
| Arizona | 8/7/2020 - 8/9/2020 | Change Research | 428 LV | Mark Kelly 49% | Martha McSally 43% | D + 6% |
| Arizona | 8/8/2020 - 8/10/2020 | Emerson College | 661 LV | Mark Kelly 52% | Martha McSally 41% | D + 11% |
| Georgia | 8/13/2020 - 8/14/2020 | Public Policy Polling | 530 V | Jon Ossoff 44% | David A. Perdue 44% | Even |
| Iowa | 8/13/2020 - 8/14/2020 | Public Policy Polling | 729 V | Theresa Greenfield 48% | Joni K. Ernst 45% | D + 3% |
| Kansas | 8/5/2020 - 8/9/2020 | SurveyUSA | 1202 LV | Barbara Bollier 44% | Roger Marshall 46% | R + 2% |
| Maine | 7/28/2020 - 8/9/2020 | Critical Insights | 500 RV | Sara Gideon 43% | Susan M. Collins 35% | D + 8% |
| Maine | 7/28/2020 - 8/9/2020 | Critical Insights | 453 LV | Sara Gideon 43% | Susan M. Collins 38% | D + 5% |
| Maine | 8/13/2020 - 8/14/2020 | Public Policy Polling | 571 V | Sara Gideon 49% | Susan M. Collins 44% | D + 5% |
| Michigan | 8/7/2020 - 8/9/2020 | Change Research | 413 LV | Gary C. Peters 48% | John James 45% | D + 3% |
| Michigan | 8/10/2020 - 8/13/2020 | Tarrance Group | 602 RV | Gary C. Peters 49% | John James 44% | D + 5% |
| Mississippi | 7/30/2020 - 8/9/2020 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | 600 LV | Mike Espy 42% | Cindy Hyde-Smith 47% | R + 5% |
| North Carolina | 8/7/2020 - 8/9/2020 | Change Research | 491 LV | Cal Cunningham 48% | Thom Tillis 43% | D + 5% |
| North Carolina | 8/6/2020 - 8/10/2020 | Harper Polling | 600 LV | Cal Cunningham 41% | Thom Tillis 38% | D + 3% |
| North Carolina | 8/8/2020 - 8/10/2020 | Emerson College | 673 LV | Cal Cunningham 44% | Thom Tillis 41% | D + 3% |
| North Carolina | 8/12/2020 - 8/13/2020 | East Carolina University | 1255 RV | Cal Cunningham 44% | Thom Tillis 40% | D + 4% |
| South Carolina | 7/30/2020 - 7/31/2020 | Public Policy Polling | 1117 V | Jaime Harrison 44% | Lindsey Graham 47% | R + 3% |
| Texas | 8/4/2020 - 8/13/2020 | YouGov | 846 RV | Mary Jennings Hegar 37% | John Cornyn 44% | R + 7% |
How Gen-Z is going gaga for Markey in Mass.: How 74-Year-Old Ed Markey is Stealing the Youth Vote from a Millennial Kennedy - POLITICO
Doug Jones gets an out-of-state hand in Alabama: Doug Jones: Vulnerable Democratic senator gets first outside spending support in Alabama | CNN Politics
Pelosi endorses Joe Kennedy in Massachusetts Senate primary against Ed Markey
This is pretty hypocritical considering Pelosi’s and the DCCC’s policies against supporting primary challenges to Democratic incumbents.
“For two years, Democratic Party leadership has endorsed incumbents over progressive primary challengers claiming it is their policy to always back incumbents – even when the incumbent was anti-choice and endorsed by the NRA,” Justice Democrats executive director Alexandra Rojas said. “But now, when a sitting US Senator champions the Green New Deal while wildfires blanket Speaker Pelosi’s home state in smoke, she chooses to endorse a challenger.”
IIRC Pelosi has a policy in which she always supports sitting Democratic House members, no matter what they’re running for, aside from Prez or if they’re running against each other (i.e. two Dem House members in a state running against each other for an open Senate seat).
Well, there’s got to be some limit to that unless I missed Pelosi’s endorsement of Tulsi Gabbard. 
Never mind, I didn’t read closely enough to see that you exempted Presidential candidates. I do see that she endorsed the only other sitting Dem House member running for Senate this cycle, Ben Ray Lujan in New Mexico.
My apologies, a day late this week. Ten weeks minus one day to go.
If one poll in this group stands out it is Ossoff (D) +2 in Georgia. It’s just one poll though so I wouldn’t go too crazy about it.
| State | Dates | Pollster | Sample | D | R | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 8/16/2020 - 8/18/2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 856 LV | Mark Kelly 53% | Martha McSally 34% | D + 19% |
| Colorado | 8/18/2020 - 8/19/2020 | Public Policy Polling | 731 V | John Hickenlooper 51% | Cory Gardner 42% | D + 9% |
| Georgia | 8/10/2020 - 8/13/2020 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | 601 LV | Jon Ossoff 48% | David A. Perdue 46% | D + 2% |
| Michigan | 8/16/2020 - 8/18/2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 812 LV | Gary C. Peters 48% | John James 39% | D + 9% |
| Michigan | 8/21/2020 - 8/23/2020 | Change Research | 809 LV | Gary C. Peters 50% | John James 45% | D + 5% |
| North Carolina | 8/16/2020 - 8/17/2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 967 LV | Cal Cunningham 47% | Thom Tillis 38% | D + 9% |
| North Carolina | 8/14/2020 - 8/23/2020 | Morning Consult | 1541 LV | Cal Cunningham 47% | Thom Tillis 39% | D + 8% |
| North Carolina | 8/21/2020 - 8/23/2020 | Change Research | 560 LV | Cal Cunningham 52% | Thom Tillis 42% | D + 10% |
| Virginia | 8/9/2020 - 8/22/2020 | Roanoke College | 566 LV | Mark R. Warner 55% | Daniel M. Gade 34% | D + 21% |
I sure like seeing all D’s, though!
So how much longer before national Republicans write off McSally? They have too many seats to defend and she’s been significantly behind for months.
Just what I was wondering. That’s a huge difference in the poll numbers as September approaches.
She is sounding a tad desperate: Republican Senator Martha McSally begs supporters to "fast a meal" to donate money to her | Salon.com
I think they already have.
I thought McSally (AZ) and Gardner (CO) would get speaking spots at the convention as a little campaign boost. Nope.
If only they’d changed their last names to Trump!
From here in NC still surprised Tillis is not leading in the polls. I will believe he will lose when he’s down in polls in October
There doesn’t seem to be a lot of polling about McConnell’s race; what’s up?
KY leans pretty far right so I can see why it is sparsely polled, but some reputable pollsters have shown a moderately tight race. The most recent poll is from Quinnipiac and only R+5.
Kentucky polls…
| State | Dates | Pollster | Sample | D | R | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | 7/30/2020 - 8/3/2020 | Quinnipiac University | 909 RV | Amy McGrath 44% | Mitch McConnell 49% | R + 5% |
| Kentucky | 7/24/2020 - 8/2/2020 | Morning Consult | 793 LV | Amy McGrath 36% | Mitch McConnell 53% | R + 17% |
| Kentucky | 7/25/2020 - 7/29/2020 | Bluegrass Voters Coalition | 3020 RV | Amy McGrath 46% | Mitch McConnell 49% | R + 3% |
| Kentucky | 7/11/2020 - 7/16/2020 | Spry Strategies | 700 LV | Amy McGrath 33% | Mitch McConnell 55% | R + 22% |
| Kentucky | 7/7/2020 - 7/12/2020 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | 800 LV | Amy McGrath 41% | Mitch McConnell 45% | R + 4% |
| Kentucky | 6/13/2020 - 6/15/2020 | Civiqs | 898 RV | Amy McGrath 33% | Mitch McConnell 53% | R + 20% |
| Kentucky | 5/21/2020 - 5/24/2020 | RMG Research | 500 RV | Amy McGrath 41% | Mitch McConnell 40% | D + 1% |
| Kentucky | 4/7/2020 - 4/12/2020 | Bluegrass Voters Coalition | 4000 RV | Amy McGrath 38% | Mitch McConnell 40% | R + 2% |
| Kentucky | 1/17/2020 - 1/21/2020 | Change Research | 1281 LV | Amy McGrath 41% | Mitch McConnell 41% | Even |
| Kentucky | 1/8/2020 - 1/13/2020 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | 802 LV | Amy McGrath 40% | Mitch McConnell 43% | R + 3% |
| Kentucky | 7/29/2019 - 7/31/2019 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 600 LV | Amy McGrath 46% | Mitch McConnell 47% | R + 1% |
| Kentucky | 6/15/2019 - 6/16/2019 | Change Research | 1629 LV | Amy McGrath 45% | Mitch McConnell 47% | R + 2% |
Awesome; thank you Lance.