U.S. Senate races 2020

We’ll see how this plays out. Right now all we have is someone claiming that her friend is having an affair with Cunningham. I feel like it has a better than even chance of being true since Cunningham has already demonstrated himself to be a dumb ass, but if the woman is never identified I don’t know that Cunningham gains anything by putting a spotlight on this with a denial.

if the other woman gives her name and grants an interview that’s a big difference. If it’s been going on for 8 years then she probably has texts, pictures, emails,etc.

I know this thread is about the 2020 cycle, but Senator Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania announced today that he will not run again in 2022, setting up what is likely to be an excellent opportunity for a Democratic pick up.

He’s the second Senator up in 2022 to announce his retirement, Richard Burr in NC having previously announced he would not run again.

still nothing in NC media on the 2nd Cunningham affair story

This isn’t good…

PPP poll for North Carolina was in the after the sexting story broke and they polled on it.

About half the people have heard the story and Cunningham still had a 6 point lead.

Q14 Does the information about Cal Cunningham having a relationship with a woman who is not his wife make you more or less likely to vote for him, or does it not make a difference?

More likely 3%
Less likely 37%.
It doesn’t make a difference 58%
Not sure 2%

If you look at the crosstabs though, that 37% were overwhelmingly people who weren’t voting for him anyway.

If the second woman never materializes, he could survive this.

Sounds like an interesting first line to a sci-fi story.

Get to the typeitty typeitty. Don’t leave us hanging.

you can bet media is looking for woman #2 . Maybe they won’t be able to find her

It’s possible she doesn’t exist. I wouldn’t count on it though.

What a maroon. Priorities, man, priorities!

if the friend who started the story does not give a name then that’s probably it. Or if the media gets a name and she won’t talk then it is pretty much over.

If Wohl and Burkman weren’t currently having legal troubles of their own, they’d be down there in a flash claiming to be able to produce her .

I think there’s a really good chance that even if she exists and is really pissed off at Cunningham - she realizes what’s at stake and and would keep her mouth shut until Nov 4th. She’ll have plenty of time to exact revenge after the election.

I was thinking this exact same thing - if she’s real, then she may be waiting until later to get her payback.

Just amazing, that so much depends on an idiot who exercises less self control than a hormonally charged teen!

Right now, he is hormonally charged.

Isn’t his opponent currently in quarantine with COVID-19? I assume he wants to avoid any kind of direct contact with him. Or is this a just the Democratic candidate type event?

Fox News, at least, is now reporting on the allegation of Cunningham having a second affair partner.

Four weeks until E-day poll dump.

Iowa looking possible! One subtle thing I noticed about this week’s senate polls is that no one felt the need to even bother polling Colorado. That’s bad news for Cardboard Cory.

State Dates Pollster Sample D R Net
Alabama 9/30/2020 - 10/3/2020 Auburn University at Montgomery 1072 RV Doug Jones 42% Tommy Tuberville 54% R + 12%
Arizona 9/23/2020 - 9/28/2020 Data for Progress 808 LV Mark Kelly 51% Martha McSally 42% D + 9%
Arizona 9/26/2020 - 9/30/2020 Suffolk University 500 LV Mark Kelly 49% Martha McSally 40% D + 9%
Arizona 9/22/2020 - 10/1/2020 Morning Consult 1048 LV Mark Kelly 51% Martha McSally 38% D + 13%
Arizona 10/1/2020 - 10/3/2020 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot 655 LV Mark Kelly 50% Martha McSally 39% D + 11%
Delaware 9/21/2020 - 9/27/2020 University of Delaware 847 LV Christopher A. Coons 57% Lauren Witzke 27% D + 30%
Georgia 9/23/2020 - 9/26/2020 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 789 LV Jon Ossoff 47% David A. Perdue 42% D + 5%
Georgia 9/24/2020 - 9/27/2020 Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group 400 LV Jon Ossoff 46% David A. Perdue 49% R + 3%
Iowa 9/23/2020 - 9/26/2020 RABA Research 780 LV Theresa Greenfield 51% Joni K. Ernst 39% D + 12%
Iowa 9/24/2020 - 9/27/2020 Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group 400 LV Theresa Greenfield 48% Joni K. Ernst 48% Even
Iowa 9/23/2020 - 9/28/2020 Data for Progress 743 LV Theresa Greenfield 46% Joni K. Ernst 45% D + 1%
Iowa 9/23/2020 - 9/28/2020 Data for Progress 743 LV Theresa Greenfield 44% Joni K. Ernst 42% D + 2%
Kansas 9/15/2020 - 9/16/2020 co/efficient 794 LV Barbara Bollier 39% Roger Marshall 43% R + 4%
Kansas 9/24/2020 - 9/27/2020 GBAO 600 LV Barbara Bollier 45% Roger Marshall 43% D + 2%
Kansas 9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020 Civiqs 677 LV Barbara Bollier 43% Roger Marshall 50% R + 7%
Maine 9/23/2020 - 9/28/2020 Data for Progress 718 LV Sara Gideon 46% Susan M. Collins 41% D + 5%
Maine 9/23/2020 - 9/28/2020 Data for Progress 718 LV Sara Gideon 50% Susan M. Collins 42% D + 8%
Massachusetts 9/16/2020 - 9/17/2020 Remington Research Group 907 LV Edward J. Markey 50% Kevin J. O’Connor 40% D + 10%
Michigan 9/26/2020 - 9/28/2020 Trafalgar Group 1042 LV Gary C. Peters 48% John James 47% D + 1%
Michigan 9/30/2020 - 10/1/2020 Public Policy Polling 746 V Gary C. Peters 48% John James 41% D + 7%
New Hampshire 9/24/2020 - 9/28/2020 University of New Hampshire 972 LV Jeanne Shaheen 54% Corky Messner 41% D + 13%
New Hampshire 9/25/2020 - 9/28/2020 American Research Group 600 LV Jeanne Shaheen 56% Corky Messner 40% D + 16%
New Hampshire 9/30/2020 - 10/1/2020 Emerson College 700 LV Jeanne Shaheen 55% Corky Messner 40% D + 15%
North Carolina 9/24/2020 - 9/27/2020 Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group 400 LV Cal Cunningham 54% Thom Tillis 41% D + 13%
North Carolina 9/22/2020 - 9/28/2020 ALG Research 822 V Cal Cunningham 53% Thom Tillis 41% D + 12%
North Carolina 10/4/2020 - 10/5/2020 Public Policy Polling 911 V Cal Cunningham 48% Thom Tillis 42% D + 6%
Oregon 9/26/2020 - 9/29/2020 Civiqs 944 LV Jeff Merkley 55% Jo Rae Perkins 35% D + 20%
South Carolina 9/23/2020 - 9/27/2020 Quinnipiac University 1123 LV Jaime Harrison 48% Lindsey Graham 48% Even
South Carolina 9/23/2020 - 9/28/2020 Data for Progress 824 LV Jaime Harrison 44% Lindsey Graham 45% R + 1%
South Carolina 9/23/2020 - 9/28/2020 Data for Progress 824 LV Jaime Harrison 46% Lindsey Graham 47% R + 1%

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