Is there a danger to the Town that the Serial Killer is getting close to winning? :eek:
Several posters (including me) have suggested there were about 9 Mafia to start with (giving decent ratio to Citizens without allowing a Mafia-only lynching).
If so, there are now only about 5.
Currently the Town are happily retro-analysing the posts of the 4 confirmed Mafia and think we may already have the Godfather (Autolycus?) in our sights.
We also have an enthusiastic Vigilante, plus at least one hard-working Beat Cop (who thinks he’s found the Serial Killer!)
But suppose these next two kills are both Mafia, plus SK takes out another Mafia as well.
Then there would be only about 2 Mafia left - and if we can’t find SK fast, SK will win. :smack:
Now there are 24 players alive at present, so the Mafia are a long way from winning (approximately 5 Mafia, 1 SK, approx 18 Citizens).
If we don’t get the SK tonight, should we change our approach?
I suppose I was wondering, assuming the SK isn’t found soon, if the Town should consider deliberately lynching its own Citizens. :eek: :rolleyes: :smack:
I hope I’m still making sense - I’m feeling a bit light-headed about how well this game is going. (This means I start checking for unlikely bad things which might happen.)
NAF1138, thanks for your patience, but I have another rules question. :eek:
If all of one type of player have been unmistakenly identified (e.g. Godfather killed), can a Beat Cop still get that type as an answer if they hit their 50% chance of a mistake?
This is getting exhausting. Auto, I’ve defended you pretty frequently, but whatever it is you’re doing here, it’s not particularly helpful. The only reason that you should have to think this much is if you are formulating a lie; the truth should be relatively easy to lay out.
Wow, a little angry aren’t you? And just because a few people asked for you to be investigated? No votes, no real danger of being lynched, yet your post is full or righteous indignation and venom. So much so that you don’t even know why I want you investigated.
You defended Autolycus. In the confirmed mafia posts I have looked at I have seen 2 themes. 1 is defense of Autolycus. Which you have done. The second is the mention a lot. Therefore both of you have made it to the top of my “hey cops if you want any suggestions on whom to investigate I think you should check these 2 out” list.
What I’ve done, and it seems to work great, is use the search, search by the poster’s name, select “by post”, select MPSIMS, and then select a minimum post count. Now that this thread has so many replies, if you put a minimum post count of like 2000 or 2500, there are VERY few threads that meet that requirement.
I’m not convinced by the defense of either of today’s targets. Any reason I shouldn’t vote Auto and vote to assissanate FF? I am inclined to agree with
Umm… the only reasons you don’t have ten votes are because A, we want you to have time to defend yourself, and B, we want to have time to change our votes if we’re persuaded by your defense. If you show you have no desire to defend yourself, then I’d say we should start the clock today. That said, before we start the count, I want to make sure we have our night strategy figured out.
pimaspinner, do you intend to announce your investigation target? Understandable if you do not.
and
Fern Forest, it doesn’t look like you’re convincing many people. I have every intention of continuing to treat the VIG kill like a pseudo-lynching; thus, lest you can convince several people that I should target someone else, you’re my target tonight.
I would say… no. His only defense at this point is to claim vanilla townie. If he claims beat cop, he’s done a piss-poor job of laying crumbs. If he claims miller, we’ve already established that a miller defense is pretty much worthless especially since he’s a suspected GF. Plus, I’m inclined to believe there are no millers (remember, “not all roles will be used” and only GA and miller are left unconfirmed). Thus, if he IS going to claim vanilla townie, he is going to have a hard time establishing a buyable defense.
That said, since it looks like he has little desire to defend, I have a VIG target, and we have several investigation targets for pimaspinner and potentially our other beat cop, how long does this day need to last?
Oh, and on further consideration about the Masons. Last night’s target makes it clear that the mafia are ready to start killing confirmed townies because most of the power-roles have been outed at this point (assuming **JSexton ** is telling the truth; and if he isn’t, if he’s not mafia, they probably still believe him). That said, leaving the Masons unclaimed at this point gives them few targets. If the Masons claim, it gives them a lot more targets, giving our unclaimed beat-cop a few more days of investigation and bread-crumbing before he finally gets targetted, while **pimaspinner ** is protected by our doctor.
Further, if it turns out that **Fern Forest ** isn’t the SK, then will turn in their favor to start targetting the SK instead of townies, which means going after unconfirmed townies, which would then ALSO help them to help us find the SK, while later helping us AFTER the SK is killed.
