I wouldn’t think it would win, but I do hope Lone Ranger gets good reviews and does good numbers.
Both because I’ve always loved the property (thanks to two different Lone Ranger cartoons that ran when I was a kid) and for my darling Armie Hammer’s sake.
It’s always difficult to judge movies by their trailers. A trailer can always find sixty seconds worth of cool special effects and snappy one-liners in a movie. But it can’t tell you if a movie has a good story and good characters or if the movie drags between a couple of good action scenes. It makes it hard to tell which future movies are going to be Avengers or Transformers and which are going to be Green Lanterns or Battleships.
Pixar films make ghastly amounts of money, so don’t be surprised if Monsters University gives them a run for their money.
People are overestimating Star Trek’s chances. To be honest I don’t think there is ANY chance Star Trek Into Darkness will be this year’s biggest hit; I’ll take $100 bets from anyone who cares to make them. Star Trek 2009 was hugely successful** for a Star Trek movie**, but adjusted for inflation it was far less successful than any of the three Toy Story movies, and less successful than either Iron Man movie. Adjusted for inflation it is not one of the 200 most successful movies of all time (no Star Trek movie is.) Star Trek’s brand turns a lot of people off.
Indeed, if one expands the definition from Summer 2013 to “Anytime in 2013,” I’d bet everything I own it won’t be #1, since it is a slam dunk that, unless it is released late, “The Hunger Games: Catching Fire” will easily surpass Star Trek Into Darkness.
I voted Star Trek the other day, but thinking about it more I think I should have voted Iron Man 3 or Monsters University.
I’m most looking forward to Pacific Rim (welcome back Guillermo del Toro!), World War Z, The Great Gatsby, Elysium, and these very welcome sequels, Kick-Ass 2, IM3 and Star Trek. I plan to see all of the listed movies in the theater except for Fast and Furious 6, The Hangover III, The Smurfs 2 (unless anyone wants to pay me big bucks? she asks hopefully).
I’m iffy on seeing several 1st run and unless they get stellar reviews I’ll wait until The Wolverine (I’m tired of his character), Machete Kills, Red 2, 300: Rise of An Empire (no Zack! No Gerard! What’s the point?), After Earth (I’m more excited that it’s an M. Night Shyamalan film. It’s the Smiths that make me wary) and Oblivion (I loved the 1st trailer and couldn’t wait to see it, but the 2nd trailer is horrible and knocked it way down in priority) hit 2nd run theaters.
I went with the dark horse, World War Z.
The Walking Dead has given the public zombie apocalypse fever, so the timing is good. Plus Brad Pitt. Whether this movie can bust a block depends partly on reviews and word of mouth, so my pick is a gamble.
Despicable Me 2 would have been my safer pick. Do not underestimate the box office power of kiddie movies.
Hobbit : Desolation of Smaug will relase in the summer in New Zealand 
Brian
Heh.
Still, the first one didn’t make a huge amount of money (relatively speaking), an the next two will probably make less.
No, not according to IMDB.
(Sorry about that link. I’m on my iPod Touch)
If you have another cite I’d like to see it. Being released in NZ a couple weeks early I could see, but not by several months. I’d imagine they’ll be working on the CGI until the last minute and they’ll need those extra few months.
What is the sound Smaug makes when he flies over your head?
That is summer in New Zealand…
Yeah, agreed, it’s just easier to pull giant tables of numbers for domestic. 
Foreign tracks pretty proportionally for most summer blockbusters… one of the big exceptions, oddly enough, is the first Star Trek, which did significantly less foreign business than we’d expect of an action movie given its domestic gross. Also of interest is that Toy Story 3 outperformed more than expected on the foreign front, though that isn’t something that has been the case with most other big animated movies (including Monsters, Inc.), so it might just be a one-off.
Looking at Box Office Mojo, I see that the first Hunger Games movie made most of its money domestically. I assume this means the books aren’t well known in other countries.
:smack::smack::smack: What a great joke too, and it whooshed right over my head! I should have known better too.
The proper response, belated and embarrassed: laugh!
Here’s the first update of the summer. After it’s first weekend Ironman III has made $174,144,585 while Oblivion has pulled in $75,814,250 so far.
I’ll keep periodically updating the films until two weeks after the last film gets released, or I forget, or I get bored. Whichever comes first.
It does certainly appear that if the super-hero genre is going to collapse, that collapse isn’t starting with Iron Man III. That movie looks like it’s going to be as successful as its predecessors.
One upcoming movie the OP didn’t mention was Now You See Me. I’ve seen trailers and it looks good (to the extent you can judge a movie by its trailer). I think it could be a hit.
Totals update part deux:
Iron Man III: $337,661,977
Star Trek Into Darkness: $83,701,981
The Great Gatsby: $90,682,832
Upcoming:
This week we have Fast and Furious and Hangover sequels coming out and next Friday the Smith’s After Earth.
That list seems incomplete. They’re not counting movies that were released before May but are still selling tickets. A more accurate top ten would be:
Your list is less accurate since the question was “Which Summer 2013 Film Will Make the Most?”
Sorry man.
That’s why I only counted movies that are still playing now that we’re in the summer season.
But you’re including totals from the Winter and Spring. That’s a cheat and not at all what people talk about when they talk about the “Summer Movie Season.”