I asked which movie would make the most in 2013 last year and the answer was undoubtedly “Iron Man 3.”
This year I don’t think we’ll have as much of a front-runner.
We have multiple superhero movies (two from Marvel studios, another two are Marvel comics), sequels to some big movies (How To Train Your Dragon) and a myriad of others.
Which do you think will make the most in four weeks? Any you think are going to be a bust? Dark horses?
Im voting for Spiderman 2, even though I won’t see it and hate the character and the reboot. Cap2 and Days have a shot, but Spidey is too popular with the masses. If there is truly a merciful god, Guardians will be excellent and a runaway smash.
Yeah, I think it will be between Spiderman and Captain America…although since Winter Soldier comes out in a couple days I don’t think it’s really a “Summer movie”…
I’ll guess the X-Men movie. But I don’t see an original movie among any of those. Everything is either a sequel, reboot or book adaption.
Actually, on review, it looks like Jupiter Ascending is an original concept; not based on a book, graphic novel or comic book.
New rule: any movie that comes out before Easter is not a summer movie.
I do think Captain America will do well, but it’s a too early in the year to grab the crown. In the past 2 years, the biggest “summer” movie has been an MCU movie in May and not April. Also, are we only considering U.S. Domestic box office or Worldwide?
U.S. - X-Men
Worldwide - Transformers (China can’t get enough of them plus robot dinosaurs)
Domestic. I tried to edit it in the op but I was outside my window.
Wait, this is US domestic only?
Either Captain America or Guardians of the Galaxy. As GotG is a slightly riskier prospect, I went with Cap2, especially as the early buzz for it is terrific.
Plenty of the others listed should do well, though. It’s potentially a strong year for VFX extravaganzas.
We just did our movie league auction draft last night, actually. Spidey 2 and X-Men went for the highest prices, but I think there may have been some fanboy-ism going on with the X-Men pick. I’ve got Spidey projected for the most on my rankings, at around 250m US Domestic.
Taking the analytics out of it, I think there’s a pretty good chance that Cap’n A puts up a pretty huge number this coming weekend, with the strong early reviews and as the first blockbuster release in quite a while. Bonus points if the miserable weather continues for much of the country. Force me to make a pick and I think I’ll take the Winter Soldier.
GotG is interesting because it’s the highest variance movie of the summer. I’ve got it projected for 160m, +/- 100m. Which is about the most useless projection ever, but this far out on such a… nontraditional… property, it’s sort of hard to say.
I do think Transformers is the favorite for the worldwide title, given how well the big dumb CGI action movies always seem to play internationally.
I went with How to Train Your Dragon 2. Never underestimate kiddie flicks.
I voted for Jupiter Ascending. It looks fucking DELICIOUS from the trailer … an original Galactic Empire SF story, by the Wachowski’s, yet. CANNOT WAIT for this one.
i saw Cap 2 on Friday, and can confirm that it is great fun. Even though its an early release, I think the word of mouth on this movie will be very good.
It’s likely going to be Spidey 2, but I went with Transformers. You cannot underestimate the American public’s appetite for Michael Bay robot movies.
Yes, but will Americans (or for that matter anyone) be eager to see a Transformers movie without the acting talents of Shia LaBeouf?
The X-Men series hasn’t produced a decent movie since X2, and hasn’t cracked $200M since The Last Stand.
Amazing Spider-Man was terrible, and while it made $262M, that was the lowest of all the recent Spider-Man films, by a lot (Spider-Man 3 made $336M).
Transformers has always done very well; each movie has done well over $300M, despite being colossal piles of steaming shit.
I’d *like *to go with Captain America, but the first only made $176M, and while Thor 2 seems to have gotten a boost from the popularity of The Avengers, that movie (Avengers) was 2 years ago and I don’t think The Winter Soldier will be able to top much past $200M.
I have to go with Transformers.
After I voted I really think How to Train will win. The original made about half a billion dollars.
Probably Transformers.
Seeing them listed, I suspect my favorite will be Captain America 2.
I went with How to Train Your Dragon 2. Those kids movies just kill at the box office and sequels even more so.
I went out on a limb and voted Guardians of the Galaxy, though I wouldn’t be too surprised to see Winter Soldier beat it. As others have said, GotG is a big unknown.
Only 218M domestic.