One of the problems with Hillary Clinton’s loss for the democrats is I don’t think they currently have a very deep bench. By this I mean that during the Obama Administration they felt is was so important for her to shine that they didn’t really give anyone the chance to do so. This is coupled with the fact that they have a limited number of governer seats, I don’t know who they can run in 2020 that has a lot of recent, people’s memories are short, acomplishments.
On the other hand Republicans have all sorts of cannidates from both state and federal posts. Personally I’m looking at Nikki Haley as a likely next canidate on the republican side. Being a state governer is traditionally the best stepping stone towards the white house and coupled with her new posting as US ambassador to the UN, giving her foreign policy experiance, I see her as one of the best rising stars in the Republican Party. The fact that she’s a “woman of color” probably won’t hurt her chances either.
So what do you think? Who are the rising stars in the two parties that we should pay attention to?
Who thought it was “important for her to shine?” I don’t think it works that way. People shine or don’t shine, I wouldn’t blame Obama for lack of a deep bench.
Anyway, it seems like there are plenty of Democrats to draw from, they only need three or four to have a good primary season. 17 is probably too many.
“I will not exploit, for political purposes, my opponent’s youth and inexperience.” 73-year-old Ronald Reagan, running against 56-year-old Walter Mondale.
I think progressives will play a bigger role in the 2020 primary. The 2016 election saw them get involved and buck tradition, but I think in 2020 they will be more organized. But I hope they do not start becoming too intent on ideological purity tests like the tea party did. Or like the tea party picking candidates who couldn’t win a general election.
I think Warren has said she doesn’t want to run behind the scenes. The investment is too much for her.
Martin O’Malley would make a good candidate, but he was crowded out in 2016.
My prediction is that Cruz will try to wrest the Republican nomination away from Trump in the 2020 election, much like Reagan tried to take the nomination away from Ford in 1976.
My wild, crazy prediction is that before the end of the year Trump will decide that Pence is “too low energy” and lean on him to resign, so he can be replaced by Rudy Giuliani.
Of those, only Pierce was elected to the presidency, then failed to secure his party’s nomination for a second term.
The OP’s claims about Nikki Haley are interesting, but he seems to be assuming, against available evidence, that the Republican Party values political and foreign policy experience in an executive.
I’d actually like to see either of my Senators, Ron Wyden or Jeff Merkley, throw their hat in the ring. Both are spearheading efforts to filibuster Gorsuch’s appointment to SCOTUS, working to get Trump’s tax returns released, fiercely trying to protect the rights of all Americans. I keep a close eye on their doings and have always been impressed with their integrity. I don’t agree with them on everything but certainly a majority of things. My preference is for Wyden.
Alternatively, it might be a good year for Al Franken to consider a run. While his former history as a comic may have been a liability in prior election years, after Trump, that won’t be much of a basis for criticism. I’d rather have a comic than a clown. Franken is very intelligent and well-spoken. I’ve been extremely impressed with his work on committees and keen grasp of issues. His time in the Senate has tempered him and created an effective politician. Plus being from Minnesota, he may have better credibility with upper midwest constituents. But I don’t have any personal understanding of his popularity there.
Anyway, just to throw in a few names not often mentioned.
I watched most of the Keystone Progress Summit on television and at least right now our Democrats are looking to blame President Obama for almost everything. Or at least a toss-up between him and President Clinton. It was rather odd to see and hear but it kept happening time and time again.
As for the OP, I expect to see the Democrats go more to the farther left in 3 years. One of the other things that kept coming up during the summit is that Democrats have got to go back to being Democrats and the things that made them great. What those things are is a little vague but I get the idea that pushing the expansion of unions and the return to some federal form of welfare possibly spun out of the ACA.
I expect we’ll see full-throated support of both unions and universal healthcare in 2020 from the Democrats. This current toying with the ACA has gotten the citizenry hungry for actual reform, not the mealy-mouthed “reform” the Republicans are trying to figure out. And the Dems will do whatever they can to lure those blue-collar Trumpers back into the fold.
Come 2020, for the general electorate, almost anybody will look like a mature grown-up president after four years of Trump’s/Ryan’s/McConnell’s/Bannon’s/Pence’s horse shit. And for the primary electorate, I suspect it’ll be a race to prove who can move the country forward with honest-to-goodness progressive policies. JMO.
