Do we want to place any bets at this point on the final count? I’ll go 222R-213D – an inversion of where things stood after the 2020 election.
I’ve been keeping an eye on NBC news, they been updating an estimate with error bars. Currently it’s reading
220 R vs 215 D +/- 3.
Of course I’d like the Dems to squeak out a win in the house, but being realistic, I’d be quite happy with a 5 or even 8 seat difference.
That’s what I have as the most likely outcome.
I’m mildly worried about recent trends in CA-47. That would make it 221 R vs 214 D and would also knock Katie Porter out of the House.
Could free her up for a Senate run if DiFi retires.
I don’t think there is an ‘if’ - even though she preemptively filed some paperwork, Feinstein will by 90 in June. She’d be running at age 91 and serving until age 97 if elected 
. I having sneaking suspicion that if even she made another run at it, she wouldn’t win. Other Democrats would primary her just like in 2018, it would another Dem vs Dem election just like in 2018 and this time she’s lose to Porter or someone else.
Porter loses, Feinstein retires, Newsom appoints Porter. Hooray!
Probably won’t go down like that.
It would be great for the nation, though.
And if Newsom really does cherish Presidential ambitions (and most seem to think he does), elevating Katie Porter could only win him friends among Democratic voters…
Background, please: Katie Porter?
Katie Porter is a Congresswoman who joined the House after the 2018 election. She won one of several traditionally red districts in or around Orange County, California.
Before she was in congress she studied bankruptcy law under Elizabeth Warren at Harvard and then went on to be a law professor at a few schools before landing at UC Irvine.
She is a national treasure.
If she had a TV show I would watch it. She is AWESOME.
And she just got a good vote drop.
R is at 217 now.
Republicans have 218 now. Now to see how many more they get.
218r - 210d.