Not necessarily. My understanding is that Arizona is a different ball game for that. The Republicans have had a decent mail-in vote program running there for awhile so “mail-in=Biden” doesn’t hold there.
NC decided to just punt until they have everything, I think, since ballots can arrive until Friday (or maybe the 12th?). It was like 2000 posts ago, so I can’t dig it up. But I think we shouldn’t expect anything else from NC for a long time.
Lehigh County (Allentown) just reported 10k votes, 75% Biden. Lead at about 53k. Philadelphia County seems to have 65-70k left to count, at their ration they can wipe out the 53k pretty much by themselves.
It’s surreal (but then, I’m getting pretty punchy so everything seems surreal) how much excruciatingly detailed analysis is going on, trying to guess the results of something that already happened. the ballots are in. They’re done. The decision has been made. But the talking heads are saying things like “We’ll see if Trump can maintain this trend of drawing 59% of mail-in ballots in counties outside Maricopa…” Trump’s not doing anything (nor is Biden). He has no impact on what will happen. To coin a phrase…it is what it is.
So weird.
Since when has he ever given money to other people? He’s going to keep grifting his MAGA-heads and suck the oxygen from other Republicans.
David Perdue. David Perdue. Sonny Perdue is a different politician, a cousin of David.
You don’t think Trump will run again in 2024?
The Arizona votes left to count are “mail-in” ballots that were dropped off at the polls on election day. Most regular mail-in ballots were counted before election day since AZ will start counting 14 days early and were more Democratic. So the ballots left are more like election-day ballots. Maricopa county update due any minute.
True - but still wondering if in person voting skewed more Trump, which would totally explain the shifting sands in the counting. However I just heard that the next report from AZ will include a lot of postals. I guess the only thing we know is that we don’t know…
EDIT: will defer to @Marvin_the_Martian
I guess I’ve made an ass of us both!
Holy crap. I just realized they were different people… and I follow politics pretty closely. Sonny was the Governor of Georgia and now Sec of Agriculture… I guess I sort of assumed “Sonny” was a nickname or something.
But surely the analysts at AP and Fox knew this when they called AZ for Biden more than 24 hours ago. (Fox projections have been pretty good, I must admit.) I’m still skeptical about PA but Biden is definitely closing the gap, so maybe. If Biden gets PA it’s over – all the rest is decoration.
I just heard that AZ will not be dropping any new numbers until 11a EST tomorrow (9a local in AZ).
Post election-day votes even in Maricopa have been 60:40 for Trump. 60:40 is the ratio that Trump needs from the remaining ballots to pull even. My hope is that Pima County might come in somewhat less than 60:40 and keep a lead for Biden.
I think Kelly’s lead over McSally (which is larger than Biden’s over Trump) is safe.
So far, the late-counted AZ ballots have been coming in at 55-64% for Trump. Biden holds on if the remaining ones are less than 57% Trump. So it’s not very promising, but the Maricopa batch should give a good indication of where things are headed.
MSNBC just said after the break. Where did you hear?
Selina Meyer, duh.
Arizona is poised:
