Election Day [Week][Month[s]] [Year] 2020 follow-along thread

Welcome to the Dope Uno!

Yavapai County, AZ here. I voted early. Hubs who drank the Trump koolaid voted on election day. I sat in the parking lot and watched. I judge people by appearance (wearing a mask or not), and saw that most of the folks in line were not wearing masks. I assumed they were Trumpers. About half of the people who carried green ballot envelopes were not wearing masks.

My BFF has never voted in person before thought she would do it this election. She saw about the same thing where she was.

Stacey Abrams will do her best to make sure it doesn’t happen this way. She’ll have her hands full the next two months, but I think she will do a good job organizing the Democratic vote. In addition I think there is a sizable segment of red voters who came out only because Trump was on the ballot. They may stay home for the runoff.

A friend of mine just shared a video of downtown Philly outside where the vote counting is going on. It’s a giant dance party right now, complete with dancing mailboxes. I was born in Philly, and right now the tears are streaming down my face.

You know where they need to have a giant dance party if PA puts Biden over the top? In front of fucking Independence Hall.

Ok…I kinda misheard.

They will be dropping numbers on 70,000 very soon and another 70,000 tomorrow morning:

(If you use the video below and go back about 6-7 minutes from now you will see it)

About a 20k reduction in AZ based on late-arriving day-of votes in Maricopa. It’s gonna be pretty damn close there - we’ll see if Fox/AP really knew what they were doing.

The NBC News map is showing Trump now down by 46K in AZ – it looks like he picked up about 10K or so?

Yeah, I did the math wrong. Maricopa gave Trump about 10.5k or so net.

The spreadsheet guy’s spreadsheet no longer even has a scenario on it where Trump wins Georgia.

His PA chart is broken tho, he suddenly added 3,000,000 new votes by accident.

Per News Nation Now, PA still has a quarter million ballots uncounted.

AZ misreported the number of ballots yet to be counted. At first they reported c.92% counted (working off memory), then AZ stated an error on their dashboard and reset it to 83%. That was the opportunity for AP and Fox to backpedal but for some reason they doubled down.

I think PA has been more certain than AZ for at least the last 24 hours but nobody wants to call PA for one candidate while the other candidate is in the lead. As soon as Biden overtakes they will call it.

Gap in PA is now at about 51K; in GA, it’s down to 2500.

Edit: 49K in PA.

That batch was 57.1% for Trump. My calcs say Biden needs it under 57.0% to win.

And these were in Maricopa, which while not dark blue, is a lot bluer than some of the other remaining counties. I don’t think Biden holds AZ.

Yeah, I’m not optimistic about AZ for Biden.

Philly hasn’t updated in a while. I wonder if they’re waiting until they’re pretty sure their drop will be the one to push it over.

I must be an insane person, but I’m not convinced he has lost the election yet. Looks like people are saying Arizona is heading towards Trump.

How certain are we Georgia or Pennsylvania are going to Biden?

They must have sent at least some votes today. Their percentage reported is up.

They did some early in the day (went from 85 to 89 in one jump then nothing).

CNN has taken the gloves off after four years of trying to play by the rules. They are throwing all kinds of shade at Trump, slamming his attacks on the votes and scorning them as anti-democratic, infuriating, baseless, etc. I would bet they’re enjoying this immensely.

Yeah…as of tonight AZ is maybe leaning Trump (if barely). NC is almost definitely Trump. PA…long way to go. GA…eh…so close.

I’m getting ulcers.

About 200K left in AZ as well.