While Trump is ahead in PA, have a look at the county reporting. Virtually every rural county is 75% in or higher; many have reported everything. All the urban counties appear to have been caught completely by surprise that many people live in big cities and so might cast many votes. They’re all in the teens and twenties. Philadelphia is at just 22%; Allegheny (Pittsburgh) is at 16; Delaware is at just 15.
That’s kind of a disgrace.
If this ends bad, I hope the only employment Nate Silver is eligible for in the future is flipping burgers or mopping airport bathrooms.
I’m hitting the rack. Have to get an early start. Goodnight all. Let’s plan for the best.
So is the night over for the election results?
Is that at all comparable to past national elections, I wonder?
Yep. I am temporarily living in a house where FOX News is on all day long. I also have not even bothered, for years to tune in to FOX News just to see what they are saying. Have done so for the past week, although I cannot last more than a couple of minutes. It is astounding how many lies can be told in five minutes. And the people in this house beleve every single word. They never, ever ever never, switch over to MSNBC or CNN. And the people in this house are not hateful, stupid people. They are just ignorant, they really believe Joe Fucking Biden will be a dictator
Is Trump winning the “popular vote” so far?
FOX is reporting FL for Trump.
ETA 51.3% - 47.8%.
ID, MS, AK, and MT will all but certainly go Trump, and Biden is a lock to win MN, HI, and probably ME and IA. Those are all safe states.
Yeah, that’s my inlaws all over. Lovely intelligent people, but virtually swimming in the FoxNews Flavor-Aid without engaging a braincell.
538 is pointing out that there’s a large chunk of uncounted mail-in votes in Georgia left that will likely skew blue. Even so, I’m not holding my breath.
Anyone have any hope that Iowa might go Biden? I’m grasping at straws, but what else is there to do at this point.
Yes, but only because California hasn’t been counted. They’ve been called, but not counted.
All while eagerly hoping Loser Donald will be a dictator, I assume.
Biden is absolutely not a lock for Iowa. MN is still too early to call.
Biden will not win Georgia. There aren’t that many mail ins. He’s way behind.
He wins through PA, MI, and WI, the latter two of which look terrible.
Earlier they were reporting MN locked by Biden. Then later they shwed it in play, competitive.
Biden probably did better than expected in MN. However, I’ve heard at least one network suggest that Nevada might be…interesting
WINS(??) those states?? No.
Sheesh, I’m so pessimistic and realist Octopus might befriend me! 
Washington Post has 188-114 Biden BUT their projection overall has Trump over 270.
FiveThrityEight has Biden winning with over 300 ECV.
So, basically, we won’t know tonight. No one seems to know anything.
He wins through them. I’m not saying he WILL win them, but that is his path to victory. There is no other likely way, except he could drop one of MI and WI, and make that up by winning AZ. Given how close those states may be that is a possible outcome.