There have been various articles lately about how many voters who are registered as Independent really aren’t–they may not like to be labeled as supporting a party, but their voting patterns tell a different story.
The only way for Biden to have an early lead like he has is for the early Independent votes to skew heavily his way. We’ll see if the later Independent votes keep that up.
Quite possibly if Ohio is the bellweather. However weirdly NYT is now tilting Georgia towards Biden because of the outstanding Atlanta vote and I’m a lot less confidant than you that Trump is going to win AZ. We’ll see. Not looking positive, but still a ways to go.
I still don’t get the “calling VA” with Trump having more votes. I know they have projections and all, but, dude, light blue and wait would be my call.
They really might. If we have an election where Joe Biden wins Georgia but loses Michigan, most of the assumptions about what states are red and what states are blue, and how they interact, need to be rethought.
The outstanding votes in Georgia seem to largely be absentee ballots in the Atlanta area. MSNBC currently has a reporter on who’s at the State Farm Arena in Atlanta, which is where Fulton County’s absentee ballots are being tabulated. She reports that various sources are telling her various things, but it may be up to 2 days for them to finish (other sources are telling her they will finish it later tonight).
It looks like the race will go down to Arizona and Georgia. I agree that PA is looking very dicey. Biden is running a fair way behind Hillary in the Philly area and unless that changes quickly he will struggle to win.
I’m actually surprised Trump hasn’t declared victory already. You know he wants to, and data is convincing a lot of us common folk he will win, so I wonder what’s holding him back.